Inventory Watch

In the $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 category, the pendings count increased by ten this week. There are more pendings than actives in that range – which had been the case since mid-February, until last week.

The Over-$3,000,000 pendings increased by eight this week to 87 – the highest total in any price range.

There is one NSDCC house for sale under $1,000,000, and it’s in Solana Beach:

https://www.compass.com/listing/890-juanita-street-solana-beach-ca-92075/829881724464103689/

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America’s Frenzy

https://twitter.com/RickPalaciosJr/status/1428727747711361025

The Big Reshuffle is backlogged!

As people wait to relocate throughout the country, it really boils down to how patient you are.

If you want and need to move today, then join the fight.  The key is to find suitable answers on the buy side, and these are the choices:

  1. Sell and rentback for 30-60 days. It’s a gamble, and you will probably be under pressure to pay more than you’d like on the buy side, or be forced to….
  2. Sell and rent a different home. This gives you much more flexibility and patience to buy the right house, at the right price.
  3. Buy first, then sell.  Need ample horsepower, and/or a bridge loan.
  4. Sell your home contingent upon finding a home to buy. Getting the buyer of your home to hang around while you shop for a new home won’t be easy, and may require a discount. But it’s the safest way to make sure you don’t have to move unless you find the right home, at the right price. A good option for sellers when there are homes available for sale that you would buy today.

Those with more patience may decide to wait it out, in hopes of it getting better, later.  But there will always be some juggling of the choices above.

Whatever you do, don’t wait until we pull into Plateau City, when it becomes hard to sell, AND hard to buy.

Saturday Report

There’s nothing wrong with a normal market – just because it’s not as insane everywhere as it was six months ago doesn’t mean it’s not a steady strong regular market that benefits everyone:

ADU Approval Process Is Deplorable

Last month, we heard from an architect on how bad the ADU permit process had been in San Diego.

Now here’s a report from our good friends at the PLF:

https://pacificlegal.org/still-no-place-to-live/

An excerpt:

Pacific Legal Foundation obtained public records from San Diego and Riverside Counties (two of the most populous counties in the state) to determine whether local governments are abiding by the new 60-day permit-approval period, which took effect in January 2020. 

Unfortunately for California residents, local governments are failing miserably to abide by the new state law.  

    • San Diego County took a median of 187 days to issue an ADU or Junior ADU building permit after January 2020. Permits issued prior to the new law took a median of 112 days to be issued. Only 52% of permits issued prior to the new law fell within the previously required 120-day mark.

Currently, only 5% of permits issued by the county met the state’s 60-day deadline. Many times, the permitting process is held up by excessive fees or approvals needed from other departments within the county. As of July 21, 2021, there are 587 pending applications, of which 90 were submitted prior to 2020. If these permits were issued today, the median wait time would be 255 days after the application was submitted.

The government, and society in general, needs to recognize how dire the housing crisis is for the citizens.  We’re going to have continued upward pressure on home prices and rents, and building ADUs is one of the best ways to alleviate the problem. It doesn’t matter if the resistance by local governments is conscious or sub-conscious, the ADU-approval process needs to improve radically to implement the will of the people, and slow down prices.

https://pacificlegal.org/still-no-place-to-live/

Way Over List

San Francisco leads the 50 largest U.S. metros in the share of homes sold for 30% over their list price or higher at 7.4%. It’s followed by the hot market of Buffalo, NY, where 6.2% of homes sold for more than 30% over list, and Austin (5.3%). All shares in these markets are up substantially over the first quarter.

The markets with the most homes sold for half a million or more over asking in the second quarter are San Francisco (657), San Jose (283), Los Angeles (99), Seattle (88) and Miami (74).

https://www.zillow.com/research/share-of-homes-sold-way-over-list-doubles-29974/

Can we find the six that sold for $1,000,000 over list?  I went looking for that needle in a haystack, but couldn’t find any.  If you know of the properties that for more than a million dollars over list this year, let us know!  The 2021 numbers are staggering, given the pricing:

San Diego County First-Half Sales, All Property Types

Year
Total Sales
Median SP
Median DOM
Sales Over $3,000,000
2017
19,236
$521,000
22
150
2018
17,922
$554,000
14
156
2019
16,981
$569,000
20
159
2020
15,037
$593,000
14
155
2021
20,263
$702,000
9
485

Record pricing, and record sales at the same time – what a frenzy!

Rural Yet Close

Check out our new listing of this 2018 multi-gen beauty in Bonsall yet only 15 minutes from the coast!

Perfect for multi-gen, this upgraded gem features the primary bedroom suite downstairs with light-and-bright bath and large walk-in closet, plus three bedrooms with their own bonus TV room upstairs! High ceilings, downstairs den, ample storage and low-maintenance yard.  The home backs up to dedicated open space with generous views of the natural preserve! Walk to highly-regarded Bonsall Elementary School just a few minutes away. Wow!

LP = $1,069,000 – PENDING!
https://www.compass.com/listing/31534-calle-de-las-rosas-bonsall-ca-92003/852373146571679593/

Doobie Brothers 2021

I had a dream. After a brutal 18 months of no concerts, all of the oldtimers hit the road again. Their intent was to re-focus the messages of the 1960s and 1970s, and try to bring us all together again.

The Doobie Brothers will be here on October 8th!

P.S. I had that belt buckle in high school!

Culver-Myers-Capp House

Here is my video tour of the oldest home in Carlsbad.  The owners prefer if the buyer preserves the house, and it is only right – it is the only thing like it in town.

Hopefully the large 1.27-acre lot will enable the new owners to develop the remaining land to fulfill their investment, or just create the ultimate family compound!

Special thanks to Compass listing agent Gina Vreeberg for allowing me to publish this video tour of the oldest house in Carlsbad! @ginavreesellsre

https://www.compass.com/listing/3140-highland-drive-carlsbad-ca-92008/748996408467865465/

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