The last coffee bet began in 2006 when it was obvious to me and others that the market bubble was popping, so let's examine the data back to those years to see if we can learn anything that might be helpful when trying to predict the future: NSDCC Listings and Sales...
The reason for breaking down the active and pending listings by zip code is to give the readers a closer look at their neighborhood stats. We've considered a 2:1 ratio of actives-to-pendings to be a healthy market. Most areas today have the same or better stats as...
The graph above shows how the 2021 off-season wasn't off by much, with nearly half of the Nov-Jan sales closing over their list price. We probably won't see that happen this year! On the street, it feels like the off-season is already here, which is fine. The...
Yesterday I joined Molly of Real Talk Media for a couple of thoughts about next year's market: The key to market conditions will be the inventory - no surprise there. If there was a surge of newer McMansions for sale that were upgraded, well-presented, and had decent...
There will be a few more late-reporters, but it looks like this year's July sales will be about half of what they were last year: NSDCC (La Jolla to Carlsbad) July Sales Year Number of Detached-Home Sales Median Sales Price Median DOM 2016 273 $1,100,000 45 2017 260...
The July stats have been updated on these interactive graphs of the 92009 (SE Carlsbad), 92024 (Encinitas), and 92130 (Carmel Valley) markets: We hear how the inventory has exploded, but compare it to history: Sales during the 2022 selling season have been similar to...
Last week, we saw here how the number of July sales has been plummeting, and with three days to go in the month, we are now at 119 NSDCC sales - which means we will end up with around 40% to 50% of last year's July sales. We also hear about how inventory is rapidly...
The reason for breaking down the active and pending listings by zip code is to give the readers a closer look at their neighborhood stats. In the recent years prior to the pandemic, the actives/pendings in Rancho Santa Fe ran at a 10:1 pace. Nobody is in a hurry...
The doomers are hoping to drive the real estate market into hysterics, just for fun. It's easy for buyers and sellers to get caught up in it too, and think the sky is falling. Let's identify the terms, what doomers want you to believe, and the truth: Inventory Surge...
The latimes continued their assault on the truth today. The number of homes for sale has a major impact on the number of sales. What we've had is an inventory problem, yet they make no mention of it here: Southern California home prices and sales edged lower in June...
