The Zillow Way

This is a good summary of the Zillow Offers homebuying machine. Like Amazon, they are hoping that consumers are willing to overpay for convenience:

The website that allows you to imagine living in homes you could never afford is out to do to real estate sales what Amazon did to retail.

“Our vision with Zillow Offers and Zillow is a one-stop shop, buy, rent, sell, lending and closing service,” says spokeswoman Jordyn Lee, who says the company is working toward a more streamlined approach to cumbersome real estate transactions.

It’s even partnering with homebuilders to buy their customers’ old homes, with closings scheduled to coincide with completion of the new property. The inability to sell a home is a primary source of new home purchase cancellations, experts say.  

“It makes complete sense for an entity like Zillow, that is a dominant force in the housing market with its listing and information service,” says Dr. Vivek Sah of UNLV’s Lied Real Estate Institute. “Expanding into its own brand of residential brokerage will align its services together and provide a one-stop shop to its customer base.”

It also eliminates the awkward process sellers face of showing their home while living in it, and synching the timing of buying and moving to a new property.  

A variety of “iBuying” services on the market cater to different niches.  Some provide loans to facilitate deposits on new homes before existing home sales have closed. Others allow buyers to design new construction.  Zillow is branding itself as the choice for stressed buyers seeking an immediate, hassle-free transaction.

Zillow says it’s not out to undercut sellers, citing a study by ibuying expert Mike DelPrete that indicates its purchase offers are about 3.3 percent less than market value.

That’s not the only seller concession.

“For the convenience of not doing repairs and holding open houses, we do charge a service fee of seven to nine percent,” says Zillow spokesman Viet Shelton, adding the fee is the primary source of revenue and profit from Zillow Offers.

That’s more than a conventional commission of six percent, generally split between agents for the buyer and seller.

In addition to the higher fee, Zillow deducts the costs of repairs the property needs from the amount it pays the seller.

Still, DelPrete says, it’s not a moneymaker for the biggest iBuyers, such as Zillow and Opendoor.

“The average percentage increase of a home purchased and resold by Zillow in 2019 and 2020 was 1 percent,” Del Prete said via email. “The iBuyers are not trying to profit on the resale value or appreciation of a home. This is part of the reason the model is so unprofitable and why the iBuyers are losing tens of thousands of dollars on each home sold.”

Read the full article here:

https://www.nevadacurrent.com/2020/11/09/will-zillow-make-housing-even-less-affordable/

SB 1079

Hat tip to Susie who sent in this article about a law recently passed in California:

The new rules apply to one- to four-unit properties sold at foreclosure auctions. If an investor wins one of those homes at auction, then people who want to live in it, as well as nonprofit organizations and government entities, get 45 days to submit competing offers.

If the home is a rental, the tenants living there could win by matching the investor’s offer. Other would-be buyers must offer more than the investor.

Known as SB 1079, the law takes effect Jan. 1, 2021.

State Sen. Nancy Skinner (D-Berkeley), the bill’s author, said her goal was to make it easier for individuals and affordable-housing groups to compete with investors.

“Homeownership is the primary way people have to build up generational wealth,” she said. “When we have rules that give advantage to a corporation, then that dream is just not available.”

The manager of the foreclosure auction is required to maintain a website that details the highest bid at the auction and how to submit competing offers.

Link to LAT article

I don’t know how many amateurs will be paying more than investors for homes sight unseen, and without proper title searches for additional liens.  But there will be a few!

It was the last paragraph that was the most intriguing.

The State of California has institutionalized transparency!

Making the highest bid known to the public could revolutionize our business. Can you imagine if Zillow ran a website that openly tracked the offers on their homes for sale – buyers would love the transparency!  Then every brokerage would be pressured into doing the same, and boom – no more agent shenanigans!

Are you thinking of selling?

Transparency can help ignite a bidding war, and get buyers to bid up the price because it becomes more about winning, then getting a deal.  It’s how I handle my listings – let’s talk about how I can help you!

Here’s the classic courthouse-steps example of how auctions help to drive up the price:

More Frenzy Fuel

San Diego didn’t make the NAR list of vacation-home areas (counties where 20% of the housing stock is for seasonal use), but our market should be enjoying some additional second-home purchases:

Vacation home sales are outperforming total existing-home sales. Sales of homes intended for vacation use rose to 109,100 in the past three months of July-September, a 44% gain from the level of 75,600 sales during the same period last year, according to NAR estimates based on information gathered from the monthly REATORS® Confidence Index Survey and NAR’s existing-home sales estimates. In comparison, total existing-home sales during July-September rose 13% year-over-year (1.72 million in July-Sept 2020 vs. 1.52 million in July-Sept 2019).

The pandemic and low mortgage rates have increased the desirability and affordability of owning a vacation home. Buyers may be desiring a vacation home as a weekend getaway as urban-based leisure activities are still constrained by social distancing. The ability to work from home also means buyers who can work from home can spend more time at and enjoy their vacation home. Historically low mortgage rates have also made a home purchase more affordable, while rising prices in past years have yielded larger home equity gains that can be tapped (through say a home equity loan) to use for a down payment.

Link to Full Article

Dog Lover’s Paradise in Cardiff

Check out my new listing in Cardiff-by-the-Sea!

1384 Evergreen Dr

2br/1ba, 922sf

YB: 1974

LP = $609,000 – Now Pending!

Tucked away in the very back of Park Place, this hidden jewel has new windows and slider, luxury vinyl plank flooring, practically new kitchen, and tiki lounge with spa! The HOA owns a 25-acre private park across the street with pool/spa, volleyball, baseball field, hiking trails and off-leash dog policy!





Post-Election Market

The election season is over (even if the election is not), and the vaccine news today is positive – which should bring more certainty, and relief, to the real estate market.  If we just had more homes to sell!

What’s hot these days?

Yesterday, I got the last appointment to show this one-story home in Encinitas, listed for $1,600,000:

https://www.compass.com/listing/2222-silver-peak-place-encinitas-ca-92024/635047271721032977/

It must have been shown at least 20 times between Fri-Sun, and the agent said she had received multiple offers before we arrived.  All in the November rain during the week of a heavily-contested election!

Here are the NSDCC counts for the last six weeks:

New SFR listings: 408

New SFR pendings: 509

Median list price of pendings: $1,595,000

SFR closed sales: 500

Median list price of solds: $1,605,000

These numbers are staggering for ANY six-week period!

For the market to be this red-hot leading up to the election, during a raging pandemic, is truly remarkable.  These conditions should continue too, as long as new listings keep coming!

Agent Referral Networks

Have you been seeing more of this guy lately?

He wants to hook you up with the top agents in your area – AND only charge you a 2% commission.

They keep the 2% circle at the bottom of the advertisement for the entire 30 seconds to engrain in your head that they have some magic network of top agents who will work for the discount rate.

Don’t believe it.

The agreement they have with agents is that you will be presented with a 2% option, which is the typical For-Sale-By-Owner plan – if you find your own buyer, then the agent will handle your paperwork for 2%. At that point, you’ll probably wonder about the more traditional plans where your listing agent handles the whole process. The next thing you know, you’ll be signing the listing agreement at 6%.

Why will these listing agents insist on the more-expensive plan?

It’s because they have to pay a finder’s fee to the advertiser.

Whenever a corporate third-party is referring you to an agent, there is a fee paid by the agent – and it’s hefty. Whether it is a TV-advertiser, an internet pitch, or relocation company provided by your employer, they all take a big cut out of your agent’s commission – usually 25% to 30%.

The great listing agents – the ones you hope will sell your house for the most money – will pass along this finder’s fee to you. It means you’ll be presented with 6% or 7% options, and/or a commission that drastically discounts the buyer-agent’s side of the commission.

The agent-referral industry relies on the bait-and-switch.

If this guy said that he had the top agents in your area that charge 6%, would he get any calls?  No.

Median Home Value to Median Income

If there is anyone left who still believes in market fundamentals, here’s a graph that shows how the traditional 3:1 price-to-income ratio is still a decent measuring stick in the rest of America.  But in California, it has escalated to dizzying heights!

San Diego County

Median Household Income: $75,456

Median Sales Price, YTD: $705,000

Price-to-Income Ratio: 9.3

Encinitas

Median Household Income: $113,175

Median Sales Price, YTD: $1,465,000

Price-to-Income Ratio: 12.9

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

With the affluent in full control of the real estate market, expect these numbers to get dizzier!

Bonsall Horse Property

29725 Margale Ln

5 br/3 ba, 2,970sf

YB: 2007

2.03 acres

LP: $979,000

What a find! A newer custom one-story retreat in the country with dazzling hardwood floors, high ceilings, eat-in kitchen with chef’s island and well-appointed master suite. The design reflects a sophisticated yet casual higher-end quality, plus the 2+ acres are professionally landscaped and include Rancho-quality horse facilities fit for a champion! Game room, guest suite, huge 3-car garage, and plenty of RV parking too – and be sure to relax under the pepper tree pavilion! Fully fenced property, private gated drive, horse area with 3 stalls and work area, 24’x24’ and 16’x24’ stalls and an arena, minutes from 1-15 with easy access to all the conveniences, golf, wine tasting, hiking and outdoor activities. Just 15 miles to the beach, 25 miles to snow, and 45 to the desert. Highly-rated Bonsall schools too, plus you can join the newly renovated Vista Valley Country Club that is only 1.5 miles away!

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/29725-Margale-Ln-Vista-CA-92084/82933764_zpid/

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