My Reasons Why NSDCC Inventory Will Surge in 2025: 1. Been trending that way - there has been 15% more NSDCC homes for sale this year than in 2023. 2. Since October 1st, there have been 90 more listings that cancelled than last year. They'll be back! 3. Prop 19 was...
Market Surge
Thanksgiving Checkpoint
It's just one example but how about this - it's also our fifth sale since election day. An old guy once told me, "The market is as hot as you want it to be!"

NSDCC October Sales, Prelim
NSDCC Monthly Detached-Home Sales, 2024 Last October, there were 140 NSDCC sales with a median sales price of $2,182,500 ($810/sf). This month's final count should be 160+ sales and a median sales price that's +10% above last October! Statistically, the political...

Wait Until 2025….Or Sell Now?
We just had it happen. A potential seller who had decided to wait until next year had not one but TWO competing new listings hit the market nearby. Both listings were priced $100,000+ LOWER than what we were thinking. Ouch. When is the best time to sell your home? It...
Does It Take Longer To Sell?
I was on a national sales call yesterday where agents from coast-to-coast were complaining about how bad their market is currently. I kept thinking, "It's nothing price won't fix!" Instead, the common fallacy that 'it just takes longer to sell a home' will prevail....
Under A Million
Here's a snapshot of how fast the local market has changed. It went from a relatively-modest suburban area where 3/4s of the houses sold for less than a million dollars in 2003......to a very affluent market! NSDCC Detached-Homes Annual Sales True, the inflation rate...
Overly Optimistic
Pardon the casual presentation. I'm used to working with this same basic graph format but it's limited to 50 datapoints - we'd really like to take these back a few years to see the long-term trends. But in early 2023, the active listings in the $3M - $4M category were...
Moving Towards Single Agency
It's been obvious that the entire real-estate-selling business has been deteriorating towards single agency. I see it every day on the street, and I've posted evidence of the shift regularly. The trend is moving quickly now on multiple fronts. The DOJ is going to...
Surge Detector
This is what a surge in listings looks like. We won't see a hundred new listings hit the market in one day....it will be two here, three there, four over here, etc. and pretty soon the buyers will think about stepping back to see where it might go.
An Inventory Surge?
While a surge in inventory next year would help to change the market dynamics, there isn't any hard evidence of it happening yet: How many would be considered a surge? If the number of new listings rose 10% or even 20%, would anyone notice? Probably not. Using these...