Last Friday I had my nine reasons why inventory is going to surge in 2025, and it's going to start up in January just like it did this year. It wasn't a bad thing in 2024 because NSDCC sales have increased +6% year-over-year as the demand picked up some of the extra...
Market Surge
Big Mo in SE Carlsbad
To demonstrate further how the momentum is building, let's look at SE Carlsbad. 4th Quarter SFR Closed Sales Between $2,000,000 and $3,000,000 in the 92009: 2023: 9 2024: 23 The optimism coming off the election helped, because ALL of these went pending since November...

Frenzy Monitor – Big Mo
There are 20% more active listings, and 21% more pendings than we had last December - a monthly trend here in the fourth quarter of 2024 as the demand is keeping up with the supply. Compare it to August when there were 26% more homes for sale year-over-year, but 17%...
Inventory Surge in 2025
My Reasons Why NSDCC Inventory Will Surge in 2025: 1. Been trending that way - there has been 15% more NSDCC homes for sale this year than in 2023. 2. Since October 1st, there have been 90 more listings that cancelled than last year. They'll be back! 3. Prop 19 was...
Thanksgiving Checkpoint
It's just one example but how about this - it's also our fifth sale since election day. An old guy once told me, "The market is as hot as you want it to be!"

NSDCC October Sales, Prelim
NSDCC Monthly Detached-Home Sales, 2024 Last October, there were 140 NSDCC sales with a median sales price of $2,182,500 ($810/sf). This month's final count should be 160+ sales and a median sales price that's +10% above last October! Statistically, the political...

Wait Until 2025….Or Sell Now?
We just had it happen. A potential seller who had decided to wait until next year had not one but TWO competing new listings hit the market nearby. Both listings were priced $100,000+ LOWER than what we were thinking. Ouch. When is the best time to sell your home? It...
Does It Take Longer To Sell?
I was on a national sales call yesterday where agents from coast-to-coast were complaining about how bad their market is currently. I kept thinking, "It's nothing price won't fix!" Instead, the common fallacy that 'it just takes longer to sell a home' will prevail....
Under A Million
Here's a snapshot of how fast the local market has changed. It went from a relatively-modest suburban area where 3/4s of the houses sold for less than a million dollars in 2003......to a very affluent market! NSDCC Detached-Homes Annual Sales True, the inflation rate...
Overly Optimistic
Pardon the casual presentation. I'm used to working with this same basic graph format but it's limited to 50 datapoints - we'd really like to take these back a few years to see the long-term trends. But in early 2023, the active listings in the $3M - $4M category were...