~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Trying to predict what will happen to our local real estate market in the short-term? No surprise that mortgage rates will play a big role in how it plays out, and they have been extremely volatile lately. But it's just not...
Market Conditions
Do You Have the Guts?
The market will coast through the next few months, and then pick up during the selling season when both buyers and sellers decide to quit dancing around and just go for it (after they see others doing it too).
Rest of 2022
It doesn't do any good to lower your price if there are no buyers. Sellers of superior homes should wait it out and take their chances later....because the next selling season is right around the corner.
Post-Frenzy Definitions
The doomers are hoping to drive the real estate market into hysterics, just for fun. It's easy for buyers and sellers to get caught up in it too, and think the sky is falling. Let's identify the terms, what doomers want you to believe, and the truth: Inventory Surge...
Fewer Listings = Fewer Sales
The latimes continued their assault on the truth today. The number of homes for sale has a major impact on the number of sales. What we've had is an inventory problem, yet they make no mention of it here: Southern California home prices and sales edged lower in June...
Money Supply Helped
Rob H. noted that home prices have simply followed the flood of money. The M2 definition: US M2 Money Stock refers to the measure of money supply that includes financial assets held mainly by households such as savings deposits, time deposits, and balances in retail...
The Gap Is Back
Today, there are 160 pending listings between La Jolla and Carlsbad, and 36 sales have closed this month so far - and currently, there are 470 active listings with a median list price of $2,997,000. It means that the July sales will be under 200 for the second month...
List-Price Wrongness
We keep hearing about price reductions, but it's a miracle that the list pricing isn't worse! Consider: We've had a strong seller's market for 10-12 years - would we recognize anything else, let alone know what to do with it? There is no guidance or formula for...
Remote Work Caused 1/2 Of Price Surge
There are many who insist that real estate will follow its historical trend, and I like to say ‘it’s different now’ just to irritate them. What are the things that are different? Every buyer has had to qualify for their mortgage and use a sizable down payment, the...
Fewer Are Moving
These are excerpts from Scott G's newsletter yesterday: The most recent migration headlines concern Silicon Valley. The narrative: It sucks and everyone is leaving. Venture capitalists who built their fortunes in the Valley say they’re "over" it. The Bay Area is...