Zillow has every reason to be the nation's real estate cheerleader since they derive the bulk of their income from realtors. They had been predicting 3% to 6% appreciation locally this year....at least up until two weeks ago. Something has changed: Carlsbad NW - 92008...
If Zillow made their predictions based on traffic to their website, it would be impressive. I'm not sure how they figure these though. Generally, they are expecting +3% to 4% in home values around here over the next 12 months: Carlsbad 92008 Carlsbad 92009 Carlsbad...
It’s a new year and many, including Zillow economists, are optimistic. After a year in which almost half of agents reported selling one home or less, optimism is a valuable tool. To that end, there are a few major macroeconomic tailwinds that might fuel the early...
San Diego did about as well as any of the higher-end markets last year with a +8.5% year-over-year pricing gain, in spite of some of the ivory-tower doubters! I think we will see a positive pricing trend in 2024 too.
Yesterday, Jay Powell shocked the world by declaring three rate cuts in 2024! It was Fed speak of the most unusual order - open and transparent, instead of the opaque mumbling of previous chairmen. The predictions are for rate cuts early in 2024 too. The CNBC survey...
A former federal regulator who served when the 2006 housing bubble burst is concerned that today’s housing market is on an unsustainable path. The housing market’s affordability is worse than it’s been in decades as mortgage rates toy with 8%. The median price of a...
Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, believes mortgage rates could remain around 7 percent for most of 2024. However, he thinks rates have likely crested: “I believe we’ve already reached the peak in terms of interest rates.". Within two years, he says, the rate...
We're in the forecasting time of year! The chart above is from Realtor.com. We are used to the ivory-tower types who don't bother to get out of their office or even pick up a phone. They just shine up their previous guess with some current events, like lower mortgage...
Ok, ok - yesterday I said that we're at the highest pricing ever, but the San Diego non-seasonally-adjusted Case-Shiller Index isn't quite there yet. But it feels like record pricing around the north county coastal region, doesn't it? The index dropped eight months in...
Morgan Stanley analysts previously expected national home prices to fall 4% in 2023, as the housing market continued to crater, and reaffirmed their pessimistic forecast in April of this year. But the analysts recently changed their tune in a big way: They now say...
