Removing Photos From Zillow

Home buyers who value their privacy don’t like seeing their home’s photo gallery advertised on Zillow after the sale is completed. Zillow has made it easier to remove those photos!

Here are the instructions:

To add or remove photos on your home’s property page, you must claim ownership of your home’s property page and navigate to the Edit Facts screen.

  1. Sign in to your Zillow profile.
  2. Click on the profile icon, then select Your Home from the menu option.
  3. Click on the tile for your home to load the property page. If you have not already claimed your home on Zillow, please follow these steps.
  4. Once you have claimed your home, click on the Edit Facts icon from the Owner View of the property page.
  5. To add photos, click the Upload photos button under Photos & media.
  6. You will be prompted to select photo files stored on your computer to upload.
  7. To remove a photo, click on an individual photo and click Remove Photo.
  8. To rearrange photos, click on the individual photo and hold the left mouse button down. Drag any photo to the desired place in the photo grouping order.
  9. Save your changes by clicking the Save Changes button at the bottom of the page.

https://zillow.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/202036344-How-do-I-add-or-remove-photos-of-my-home-

Inventory Watch

Everyone complained that we had no inventory….well, we have more now!  But the 286 active listings today is still well under the 349 actives that we had last year at this time, and more listings should cause more sales.

We’ll see if the slight pause in the market can be attributed to the usual graduation-season malaise, or if a full-blown buyers’ strike is underway.

This isn’t the only measuring stick, but it appears that pricing has been settling down:

Most sellers are going to wait it out, or cancel their listing – neither of which will satisfy the buyers who are hoping for a major adjustment.

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How to Fix Housing

Today, the White House released their plan to fix housing:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/05/16/president-biden-announces-new-actions-to-ease-the-burden-of-housing-costs/

I only skimmed it and I didn’t see the one thing that could really make a difference, which is re-purposing federally-owned real estate for residential use.

Let’s start with MCAS Miramar, which is 23,116 acres in the middle of San Diego that would be ideal for residential development. It’s big enough that you could have something for everybody!

We had our chance once:

In 1954, the Navy offered NAS Miramar to San Diego for $1 and the city considered using the base to relocate its airport. But it was deemed at the time to be too far away from most residents and the offer was declined.

Let’s leave the airport where it is and redevelop Miramar!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marine_Corps_Air_Station_Miramar

The Slow Unwind – Price Reductions

Imagine the pricing quagmire we are in.

The homes on the market today were priced according to comps from 1-4 months ago, which were the craziest-priced sales in the history of real estate.

To make matters worse, sellers are naturally drawn to the highest-priced sales – and today that means the ones that closed for hundreds of thousands above the list price. But there was probably only one buyer crazy enough to pay that price.

Then rates go up to the mid-5s, which to buyers feel like double what they were.

But the sellers have committed to their list price, and their ego is laid out bare for all to see – friends, family, neighbors – all are watching and waiting to see if another house is going to sell for an insanely high price.

What happens if it doesn’t sell right away?

The sellers have to be motivated enough about moving that they will address the results.  Many have been on the market for weeks without selling – and have they even received an offer yet?

They didn’t get this far in life without being smart enough to know that something different is needed.  But there are only three choices:

  1. Cut the price.
  2. Wait it out at this price.
  3. Cancel the listing.

That’s it, those are the choices.

Most will add a fourth choice – it’s my agent’s fault! If my agent would only advertise more, and do more open houses, and well, heck, do whatever agents are supposed to do to sell my house for my price, then it would sell! But you can spend a million dollars on advertising, and it still won’t sell if the price isn’t right.

This is why the market won’t adjust for a long time. The gap between those crazy comps from yesteryear and what more rational buyers will pay today has never been so wide.  It’s probably not 5% or 10% either.

The craziest buyers have already purchased, and left us with unattainable comps. The only question is whether there are any somewhat-crazy buyers left, or if it’s just the rational buyers.

Tip: Throw out all the sales prices of the comparable homes that have sold nearby, and just use their list prices. Those list prices were probably rooted in reality (hopefully), and then in all the commotion, one of the craziest buyers radically overpaid just to win the house. Their purchase price is unlikely to be achieved again, at least for the foreseeable future, but those list prices should be a good starting point.

Modern Hacienda

A new Compass listing in South Encinitas, priced at $6,290,000:

Tucked away in seclusion, this 3606 sq. ft. 3-bedroom 3 bath New Construction Modern Hacienda masterpiece with two additional detached units exemplifies a unique combination of an ultra-modern interior and the warmth of a welcoming hacienda exterior. Nestled in the depths of Berryman Canyon, with the inviting Enclave development serving as the veritable drawbridge to the estate, this home exists as a fortress of relaxation. Upon arrival, all guests are unequivocally certain that this estate is the crown jewel of the neighborhood.

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California Interest-Free Loans

This will help to keep home prices up:

A top California lawmaker is proposing to spend $10 billion to help families buy homes in the state with some of America’s highest housing prices.

Democratic State Senate Leader Toni Atkins on Wednesday unveiled details of a proposal she’s pushing to create a revolving fund that would provide interest-free loans for up to 30% of the purchase price of a home for low- and middle-income households.

If implemented, it would be the largest program of its kind in the nation, according to the people who designed it. Proponents hope that it will be included in the state budget that must pass by June 15 and go into effect as soon as January. The aim is for it to eventually help about 8,000 families a year.

The proposal calls for the state government to share in any appreciation in the value of houses it helps purchase when they are sold and then invest those proceeds back into the fund.

“The purpose of this is to create a long-term endowment,” said Gene Slater, chairman of CSG Advisors, which advises public agencies on affordable housing and helped design the program. “We’re investing in the future value of the home so we can help other people.”

Under the proposal, California would spend $1 billion a year for 10 years. Participation would be limited to households making 150% of the median income in an area. There would be limits tied to a region’s median home price allowing home buyers in the most expensive markets such as the San Francisco Bay Area to benefit.

In Los Angeles County, households earning up to $120,000 a year could qualify for assistance, while in low-income areas like the agriculture-heavy Central Valley, that number would be closer to $107,000, according to data provided by the researchers who drafted the framework. Proponents want to target certain groups through outreach, including residents of largely Black and Latino neighborhoods and those with high loads of student debt.

The homeowner would repay the loan when they sell or refinance the home, along with a cut of the profit from any appreciation in value based on how much assistance the state provided. If the home price declines, Mr. Slater said, the state would be repaid if money is left over after the purchaser pays back their mortgage loan and recoups their portion of the down payment.

The program would be limited in scope to cover only about 2% of home sales volume statewide in an effort to avoid pushing prices higher.

Participants would be chosen on a first-come, first-served basis, with slots set aside for certain geographic areas and income brackets.

To become law, the proposal would have to pass both chambers of the Democratic-controlled state legislature and be approved by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom. A representative for Mr. Newsom declined to comment on the pending legislation. In a statement, Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon praised Ms. Atkins’s work on the issue but didn’t say whether he supported her proposal.

An unlocked link to the full WSJ article:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/california-legislative-leader-wants-to-spend-10-billion-to-help-families-buy-homes-11652270401

The Slow Unwind

Even though real estate is local, the homebuyer psychology tends to be similar across the country – mostly because people are people, and have similar reactions to every variable.  When they see mortgage rates go from 3% to 5.5% in less than six months, it’s only natural to want to pause and see where this goes.

But the desperation among buyers – especially those who are out-of-towners and don’t own a home here yet – hasn’t changed, due to the low inventory.  It is unsettling to see so few of the quality homes coming to market, and they want/need to stay in the game so they don’t miss out.  It would take a flood of new listings to change that, which isn’t happening. At least not yet.

Let’s have the statistics help guide us on current market conditions.

1. We have considered the local real estate market to be ‘healthy’ when the active listings to pendings has been 2:1 ratio. Here are the detached-home listings between Carlsbad and La Jolla:

Monday:

Actives: 262

Pendings: 207

Thursday (today):

Actives: 262

Pendings: 202

The current ratio is very healthy, and the actives aren’t exploding.  Last year at this time there were 330 active listings, so only having 262 homes for sale in an area with a population of 300,000+ people isn’t bad. The only startling part is that there aren’t more homes for sale!

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2. Let’s talk absorption rate, another measuring stick for the health of the market.  The historic norm for a healthy market has been a 6-months’ supply of homes for sale.  In recent years, a 3-month supply has seemed to be more realistic, just because the supply has been limited.

What is it today?

There were 225 sales in April, so the 262 active listings is only a 1.2-month supply.  We would need 675 active listings to have a three-month supply, which sounds impossible in the current environment.

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3. How about the market time of the current pendings?  Is it taking longer to find a buyer these days?  Yes.  The median days-on-market for homes sold in the early months of 2022 has been nine days.  The current pendings have a median days-on market of 12 days, which isn’t alarming and still extremely low.

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4. Have the number of actives and pendings been consistent in 2022?

Yes, especially the pendings:

So while there is talk about a shift in the market, it may just be a pause. Statistically, the market looks steady – there isn’t a surge of unsold homes, and there are still plenty going into escrow every week.

If there aren’t as many buyers looking, and there aren’t crazy numbers of offers, then it’s just going back to a more-normal market. Not normal yet, but heading that way.

The list prices have been on a rampage, and it’s probably time for them to stop going up so much every month. It was going to happen sooner or later, and that day has probably arrived – finally!

Carlsbad Power Plant

The smoke stack and the rest of the Encina Power Station have been demolished.

What does this mean for Carlsbad?

Before agreeing to support the approval of the new plant, the city negotiated an agreement with NRG and SDG&E to help ensure the project would provide the greatest local community benefit possible.

Some of the provisions of this agreement include:

A guarantee that NRG will completely decommission, demolish and remediate the old Encina Power Station site within three years of Encina’s retirement, at no cost to taxpayers.

NRG will turn over to the city several pieces of property surrounding the lagoon and the blufftop across from the plant. NRG will work with the city and the community to create a plan for the site’s future use.

What can go on the site?

The General Plan envisions redevelopment of the Encina Power Station, as well as the adjacent SDG&E North Coast Service Center, with visitor-serving commercial and open space uses to provide residents and visitors enhanced opportunities for coastal access and services, reflecting the California Coastal Act’s goal of “maximizing public access to the coast.”

The Great San Diego Blackout of 2011

The full collection of Smokestack photos:

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