FHFA Index

NickTim

I tweeted this last week but Nick re-tweeted today so it must be pertinent to something.  Note his comment section too:

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/07/28/are-home-prices-again-breaking-records-not-really/

An excerpt:

Median prices of new homes have hit records, both in real and nominal terms. This also reflects the mix of sales: Home builders are selling fewer than half as many homes as they were in 2006, when the old records were reached. Instead, they are selling a much larger share of luxury homes with bigger floor plans than before, which has pushed the median price higher and higher.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s repeat-sales index is unit-weighted, so that inexpensive homes sold in Kansas count the same as pricier ones in California.  The FHFA index shows prices are around 7% below their prior high, but adjusted for inflation, they’re around 19% lower.

Read full article here:

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/07/28/are-home-prices-again-breaking-records-not-really/

Caruso and the City Council

 

85-15 plan

The developer of the 85/15 plan (that hopes to bring a Nordstrom-anchored shopping center to Carlsbad) is using a new angle to get project approval – read the VOSD story, click HERE for link.

An excerpt:

One of the country’s largest mall developers, Caruso Affiliated, is pushing through a plan for a shopping center near coastal wetlands in Carlsbad using a novel method that could allow it to bypass many of the state’s environmental protection rules.

A California Supreme Court decision last August ruled that if a project gets enough signatures to put it on the ballot, a city council can approve it without going to voters and without a California Environmental Quality Act review, the state’s landmark environmental law that sets mandates for big projects to disclose their environmental impacts and reduce as many of them as possible. Two proposed football stadiums in Inglewood and Carson used voter initiatives to leapfrog CEQA, and Caruso is trying to make it happen for the first time locally.

Caruso only needed to collect 15 percent of registered Carlsbad voters’ signatures to qualify the measure for a vote – it submitted twice the number of signatures they needed in early July – and now it only needs to lobby the City Council for the three votes necessary to pass the measure in the next Council meeting on Aug. 25.

Read full story HERE.

What will the Carlsbad City Council do?  They’re not saying publically, but opponents think there are conflicts:

https://www.facebook.com/JoanofPark/posts/702111626560987

TRID Could Change Everything

loan disclosure

The effective date of the TRID has been determined – October 3rd:

http://www.realtor.org/topics/trid-tila-respa-integrated-disclosure

The way some people are acting, you would think it was the end of the world.

The changes in loan disclosures were supposed to take effect sooner, but the mortgage industry pleaded for more time.  The lenders’ software needs to be changed and employees need to be re-trained, but once in place it looks pretty simple to me.

There will be two required forms:  a Loan Estimate that must be delivered or placed in the mail no later than the third business day after receiving the consumer’s application, and a Closing Disclosure that must be provided to the consumer at least three business days prior to consummation.

Lenders will have to be a little sharper about printing loan documents in a timely fashion. The companies that already have strong, organized clerks who can handle their desk and can print out loan docs will take it all in stride.  The lenders who don’t pay enough to get good clerks will struggle with these new timelines.  Get Good Help.

People are worried that buyer credits arranged late in the transaction could delay the closing, because the lender will have to re-issue the Closing Disclosure.  But credits negotiated during the 17-day inspection period still give the lenders another 13 days to close a regular sale.  If your lender is on their game, there shouldn’t be a problem.

But if buyer credits are a problem, what other alternative is there?

“AS-IS” Offers.

Let’s have the sellers supply a written inspection report to every buyer.  Have each buyer make an ‘as-is’ offer after reviewing the inspection and termite report, knowing the condition of the house.  Buyers might procure their own inspection reports later, but with good inspectors, the findings shouldn’t vary much.

How often does it happen where the buyers make a retail-priced offer thinking the house was in good condition (staged or otherwise), only to find out it needs a lot of work. It happens ALL THE TIME.  The sellers won’t do much for them, they are tired of the pursuit, and close the sale any way – and then spend $50,000 to $100,000 over the next 12 months to make it right.

At least if the buyers saw a decent inspection report before offering, they can say that they made a knowledgeable decision.

Handling the repair requests are a major part of a realtor’s job.  We would prefer sales to be ‘as-is’, so once we make a deal we can just head for closing.

With ‘as-is’ sales, we’ll only be one step away from auctions.

Inventory Watch

As the summer selling season winds down, the tale of two markets continues.  The lower-end has stayed red hot, mostly because the floor feels like it is rising every day.  In the Under-$800,000 category, there are 28% fewer homes for sale today than a year ago!

But it gets downright leisurely above that – only a 4% decline compared to last year, even though the average list-price-per-square-foot stats are about 10% lower than they were in February/March!

Click on the link below for the complete NSDCC active-inventory data:

(more…)

‘Cargotopia’

housing of future

From Bloomberg (link HERE)

Luke Iseman has figured out how to afford the San Francisco Bay area. He lives in a shipping container.

The Wharton School graduate’s 160-square-foot box has a camp stove and a shower made of old boat hulls. It’s one of 11 miniature residences inside a warehouse he leases across the Bay Bridge from the city, where his tenants share communal toilets and a sense of adventure. Legal? No, but he’s eluded code enforcers who rousted what he calls cargotopia from two other sites. If all goes according to plan, he’ll get a startup out of his response to the most expensive U.S. housing market.

“It’s not making us much money yet, but it allows us to live in the Bay Area, which is a feat,” said Iseman, 31, who’s developing a container-house business. “We have an opportunity here to create a new model for urban development that’s more sustainable, more affordable and more enjoyable.”

More HERE

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