I said: 0% appreciation for NSDCC (La Jolla to Carlsbad) in 2023. Zillow says: +1.5% to +1.9% for NSDCC. Goldman Sachs says: -1% for San Diego. Moody's has San Diego County home prices changing –3.65% between now and the end of 2023, and then -2.9% by the end of 2024....
The wildcard on pricing is that every potential seller has sufficient equity to dump on price if needed. Why a seller would give it away when there are so many other alternatives (renting, reverse mortgages, hard-money loans, etc.) is beyond me. Even flipper...
These guys are among the most negative in the business, so if they have San Diego County home prices changing -3.65% between now and the end of 2023, and then -2.9% by the end of 2024, then prices in the better areas will be positive. The most likely to happen is that...
There will be a few more late-reporters, but it looks like this year's July sales will be about half of what they were last year: NSDCC (La Jolla to Carlsbad) July Sales Year Number of Detached-Home Sales Median Sales Price Median DOM 2016 273 $1,100,000 45 2017 260...
The July stats have been updated on these interactive graphs of the 92009 (SE Carlsbad), 92024 (Encinitas), and 92130 (Carmel Valley) markets: We hear how the inventory has exploded, but compare it to history: Sales during the 2022 selling season have been similar to...
Last week, we saw here how the number of July sales has been plummeting, and with three days to go in the month, we are now at 119 NSDCC sales - which means we will end up with around 40% to 50% of last year's July sales. We also hear about how inventory is rapidly...
The biggest barrier to prices going down is that sales are needed to prove it. Back in the old days when we had foreclosures, the banking rules forced lenders to keep selling their REOs, regardless of price. But who or what is going to force regular homeowners to sell...
We knew at the beginning of June that we wouldn't get to 200 sales, just by the number of pendings: NSDCC June Listings and Sales Year # of Listings # of Sales L/S 2015 527 340 1.55 2016 513 312 1.64 2017 416 360 1.56 2018 476 299 1.59 2019 435 282 1.54 2020 448 274...
The frenzy wasn't going to last forever. Coming off the initial covid months, everyone thought the red-hot market was an acceptable reaction to the way our world had changed. But it's gone too far, and somebody had to do something - and the Fed is going to do it...
Realtors are saying that the market is slowing, and Marc D. suggested that we define what that means: A slowing market is when fewer active listings are priced to sell. It is a result of..... Fewer buyers - Higher mortgage rates priced out some or most of the buyers...
