With all the talk about the presidential election being so close, some thought it could take weeks to determine the eventual winner - and only a powerful Trump victory could avert it. Standoff averted! No matter how you feel about it, another Trump presidency should...
Spring Kick
NSDCC and the Political Circus
The current market conditions are fascinating. There were 141 NSDCC listings that went pending in October, and 44 of them have already closed escrow! It leaves 133 listings in the pending category so the closed sales in November and December probably won't set any...

NSDCC October Sales, Prelim
NSDCC Monthly Detached-Home Sales, 2024 Last October, there were 140 NSDCC sales with a median sales price of $2,182,500 ($810/sf). This month's final count should be 160+ sales and a median sales price that's +10% above last October! Statistically, the political...
A Frenzy of Inventory
What would a frenzy of inventory look like? There has only been a 15% year-over-year increase in the number of homes for sale in 2024, which isn't that noticeable, especially to the casual observer. Plus, the top-quality homes still get swept off the market quickly,...
Inventory Surge in 2025?
There are several reasons why I think the local inventory will surge in 2025. It will be due to several causes contributing more houses for sale, and all combined it may look like a flood in some areas. Been Trending That Way in 2024 - The inventory this year has been...
Looking Forward to Next Year
Can we learn about what to expect in 2025 by reviewing the other recent metrics available? Here are alternative ways to gauge the market conditions - the most interesting numbers in red: Number of Sales - Just incredible that out of nowhere the July sales set the high...
Overly Optimistic
Pardon the casual presentation. I'm used to working with this same basic graph format but it's limited to 50 datapoints - we'd really like to take these back a few years to see the long-term trends. But in early 2023, the active listings in the $3M - $4M category were...
NSDCC Active Listings By Week
The blip in active listings over the last week isn't too concerning and could just be from the weather. The count of active listings is a good indicator of the demand though. During the mega-frenzy conditions from late-2020 through early-2022, you can see that the new...
NSDCC January Update
After a disappointing number of sales last month (87, the lowest monthly count ever), January is poised to reach 100+ sales. There are 128 houses in escrow today, and 39 of those were marked 'pending' prior to January 1st so probably 20+ of those stand a good chance...
Predicting The 2024 Real Estate Market
Yesterday, Jay Powell shocked the world by declaring three rate cuts in 2024! It was Fed speak of the most unusual order - open and transparent, instead of the opaque mumbling of previous chairmen. The predictions are for rate cuts early in 2024 too. The CNBC survey...