San Diego is already an affluent market, and with the extreme weather conditions now affecting the rest of the country year-round, we have to look like a fantastic upgrade to people who just came into some big money. From Leonard Steinberg, the Compass chief...
Market Conditions
Exodus Postponed
This is terrible news - nobody wants to leave! We need volunteers - homeowners, please contact me today in order to pick up your $2 million and be on your way! Greed is good!
Peak 2024
The local market got off to a hot start in 2024 (January was hot - something to remember in 2025), so it follows that the selling season could conclude sooner than hoped. Let's use the data to help decide it. The NSDCC inventory peak of the year has been in mid-July...
Where Is This Going?
It's natural to wonder what is going to happen next. Today's hot employment report squashed any hope for lower rates this summer. Home sales are waning. The realtor cartel is a mess. Yet, more listings are hitting the market at all-time high prices without any regard...
More Inventory Affecting Sales
Earlier this year, I speculated that the market could endure - and probably snap up - additional inventory, as compared to last year. The 2023 inventory was like the Mohave Desert! It seemed that 10% to 15% more would be easily digested, and maybe even +20% or +25%....
Local Trends
None of the pricing metrics are great but at least they demonstrate the trends over time. These graphs above are showing the latest data, including last month, and it's all fairly positive....for now. With the extra inventory, buyers aren't going to pay crazy money...
Under A Million
Here's a snapshot of how fast the local market has changed. It went from a relatively-modest suburban area where 3/4s of the houses sold for less than a million dollars in 2003......to a very affluent market! NSDCC Detached-Homes Annual Sales True, the inflation rate...
NSDCC Listings, YTD
NSDCC Listings, Jan 1 - May 15 Can we use statistics to describe the market conditions today? This chart above helps a little. Even though the number of listings is drastically lower than it used to be, apparently the market has been adjusting - mostly by price! I...
All-Cash Market
How does our market keep trucking along with sky-high prices AND mortgage rates 2x higher than they were three years ago? How does pricing levitate when money is so much more expensive - shouldn't prices adjust downward? We know that the generational wealth transfer...
The Buyer Pool
Here I talk about the current market conditions and how they relate to our new listing in NE Carlsbad. It's a real mis-match too, with estate sales supplying much of the inventory when a majority of buyers want turnkey only.