NSDCC Sellers Holding Back

The flow of new listings between La Jolla and Carlsbad has been frustrating for buyers. Even though NSDCC homeowners can likely sell their house for more money than ever, the count is lower than ever!

Here are the NSDCC new-listing counts between Jan 1 and Feb 5 – the 2006 period was the previous high:

Year
# of New Listings
LP Avg. $$/sf
2006
683
$548/sf
2011
586
$460/sf
2012
478
$478/sf
2013
491
$512/sf
2014
467
$556/sf

Money can’t buy you happiness, but it can buy you a yacht and pull right up next to it. Sell today!

Leucadia Cliff-Front

Here’s a new take on the house video tour – I’m not sure of the floor plan though, and I feel a little dizzy:

From the MLS: The “Crescent” is a world famous Wally Cunningham design that combines the symphonic resonance of the sea by curvilinear architectural elements. The 6,500 square foot masterpiece sprawls over a double oceanfront lot, capturing the energy, essence, movement and calmness of the Pacific in every living space. Outdoor spaces meld into the interior seamlessly, allowing peaceful travel to another world.

NSDCC Sales & Pricing, January

rising home pricesThanks for your patience with us about the Google Hangout On Air last night. We were able to get one person on-screen, so maybe Rich Toscano will join me to discuss his thoughts on this being a bubble.

One of the points to consider is the affluence in our area – check the preliminary NSDCC-sales stats for January:

January
# of Sales
Avg. $/sf
Avg. Days on Mkt
2011
149
$366/sf
85
2012
155
$374/sf
97
2013
185
$379/sf
64
2014
167
$506/sf
53

The Avg. DOM was a precursor to the frenzy – combined with the increased number of sales in January, 2013 you could tell that a surge was building.

This year reflects a whopping 34% increase in average pricing above last January, and once the late-reporters finish, we will probably be close to last year’s sales count too. Plus the average DOM is even faster now!

Yes, at some point the rise in pricing will end – but it may not be a disaster (unless you are in the real-estate selling business). Buyers are locking in low fixed-rate mortgage payments, and glad to have found a home that will last them for a long time – and maybe for the duration.

If prices keep rising, the sales may drop significantly as the group who can afford to live here thins out, but for now, it is full speed ahead.

Inventory Watch – Season Starts Now

The inventory continues to be tight, and the weekly-new-pendings count has risen nicely around NSDCC – buyers are ready to go! The majority of the action remains on the lower end, with 72% of the 2014 new pendings priced under $1,400,000, with a median list price of $995,000:

North SD County’s Coastal Region (La Jolla-to-Carlsbad)

The UNDER-$800,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
DOM
Avg SF
November 25
95
$376/sf
47
1,988sf
December 2
79
$371/sf
50
2,047sf
December 9
72
$383/sf
43
1,954sf
December 16
81
$378/sf
42
1,948sf
December 23
77
$374/sf
49
1,937sf
December 30
76
$373/sf
51
1,950sf
January 6
74
$370/sf
49
1,995sf
January 13
71
$381/sf
44
1,921sf
January 20
72
$384/sf
41
1,877sf
January 27
75
$399/sf
40
1,891sf
February 3
78
$409/sf
41
1,876sf

The $800,000 – $1,400,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
DOM
Avg SF
November 25
245
$448/sf
61
2,856sf
December 2
239
$448/sf
64
2,851sf
December 9
226
$461/sf
65
2,812sf
December 16
211
$464/sf
66
2,794sf
December 23
197
$453/sf
73
2,813sf
December 30
173
$450/sf
78
2,821sf
January 6
170
$470/sf
65
2,757sf
January 13
168
$463/sf
59
2,764sf
January 20
174
$444/sf
51
2,882sf
January 27
166
$435/sf
52
2,902sf
February 3
165
$441/sf
53
2,857sf

(more…)

The History of Bubbleinfo TV

Wondering how it all got started at Bubbleinfo TV?  The first video was from March, 2007 – just click the link below to start at the oldest, and if you make it through all 1,600+ youtubes, you will have experienced the real estate bust-to-boom in living color:

https://www.youtube.com/user/JimtheRealtor/videos?view=0&flow=grid&sort=da

Here is the 25th video, a classic from the early days when I was mostly cruising my own REO listings:

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