I try to avoid politics here but the housing-related measures get some attention.
Hat tip to Peter for providing this valuable data on Prop 5:
Though California is known as a liberal blue state, we don’t like it when Prop 13 is threatened. The last attempt was in 2020 when Prop 15 tried to change the taxation for commercial and indutrial properties, but was voted down by 52% of the people. The landmark SB 9 which allows units to be added to single-family properties was approved by the state government and not put to a vote by the people.
Interesting how the California Association of Realtors first provided $19 million to fight Prop 5:
The bottom line is that Prop 13 established the 2/3s majority vote to increase property taxes, and this measure would reduce that to just a 55% majority for affordable-housing bonds. I don’t trust what politicians could do with that, and I don’t like the flip-flop by the C.A.R. so I’m voting NO on Prop 5.
He is committed to changing or ending the Clear Cooperation Policy, which is a controversial stance.
The CCP makes in mandatory that every agent upload a listing onto the MLS within one business day after any public marketing of the property. Robert (and other brokerage leaders) say that nobody should have the right to dictate how a home is sold, and sellers should have the right to market their property however they choose.
Skeptics think that is a thinly-veiled excuse to hold more listings off the market, and sell them in-house instead – which would benefit the bigger brokerages, and possibly squeeze out the little guys.
But Robert said that the real problem is that we are sitting ducks waiting for another class-action lawsuit.
The last lawsuit was about the mandatory requirement that the listing agent include a buyer-agent’s commission rate in every MLS listing. NAR tried to hide behind the fact that the rate was negotiable, but got their clocks cleaned when the jury found otherwise. Even though Compass had never sold a home in Missouri, the forced NAR settlement cost Robert and Compass $52 million.
Because the submission of a listing to the MLS within 24 hours is also a mandatory requirement, it’s only a matter of time before the class-action attorneys start lining up for another big pay day. He is literally hoping to change the CCP before we get sued again!
NAR doesn’t get it. Their chief legal counsel quit last week after 17 years, which leaves them adrift, and they are sure to bungle the next wave of lawsuits which should be arriving any day now.
Robert is taking the high road and trying to negotiate a peaceful change, but I don’t get the feeling that the people in power are listening. This is where the biggest brokerages will probably have to sue NAR to get their attention before another class-action lawsuit is filed.
Why doesn’t NAR stand up for realtors? The main reason is because they have $750 million in the bank, and they are very comfortable. They had two presidents quit, the executive director retire just in the nick of time to avoid responsibility for the last lawsuit, and now the chief legal counsel quit too. They aren’t equipped to handle any controversy, let alone one that could put them out of business.
But that day is coming, it’s just a matter of when.
Abolishing the CCP is just the start.
Eventually, the biggest brokerages will quit NAR and the MLS, and go it alone, just like the commercial brokers. Zillow and Homes.com will scramble to make deals with us to keep our listings coming, because if they don’t, they will be out of business too.
I guarantee that this is the future of home sales.
We just had it happen. A potential seller who had decided to wait until next year had not one but TWO competing new listings hit the market nearby. Both listings were priced $100,000+ LOWER than what we were thinking. Ouch.
When is the best time to sell your home? It is case by case.
Ideally, it’s when all three of these are in play:
When there’s no competing active listings nearby.
When you have recent neighborhood sales that support your price.
When you know where you are going.
For many, those three conditions are happening now.
Who should sell now, and who should wait until next year?
Are those holding up? Here is the recent activity at La Costa Valley:
The two sales in orange were a shock, and could have led the pricing trend downward. But the last four sales are positive, helped greatly by those with a green star that are one-story homes.
If future buyers gloss over the one-story premium, they might be willing to pay $2,000,000+ for the next new listing. Because there are NONE for sale currently, it would be an opportune time for a La Costa Valley homeowner to list their home for sale right now, and avoid a potential springtime surge of inventory.
How about the Foothills in NE Carlsbad?
I sold Mastodon in July and pricing has been crushed since – mostly because of the inferior home/locations.
Here I would suggest a Foothills homeowner to take a chance and wait until another $2,000,000+ comp goes first to right the ship, and then list for sale. If the next listing is superior in every aspect, it could buck the trend, but I’d like someone else to chart that path – hopefully someone who can fight off the trend.
It’s case-by-case. Measure all the variables, and if there are NO other active listings, it might be better for you to sell now, rather than wait.
These guys are advertising on sports-talk radio and at first I thought it was just another ADU builder.
The problem with SB9 is being able to sell the newly-built ADU.
In order to obtain regular financing and title insurance, either the property would need to be condo-ized to sell the homes separately, or the lot would need to be officially split.
You can process the lot split yourself, if you have the time and patience.
How much are you willing to pay for convenience?
If you wanted to build an ADU for your own use and had no plans to ever sell it separately, then carry on. But if you have a larger lot and didn’t mind selling off part of it just to watch a new home be built and sold there, then take a look.
The political circus hasn’t caused the Big Distraction to our local marketplace like I thought. The pendings and sales have been rolling along and it doesn’t feel any softer than it usually does this time of year.
The fourth quarter will most likely be similar to how it was last year. Any chance of mortgage rates dropping substantially flew out the window and we’re going to live with rates in the 6% range for the foreseeable future.
But what is likely to happen is a surge of inventory in early 2025.
Here is one way to anticipate the future. The recent new listings keep coming:
NSDCC New Listings Of Detached-Homes, July 1 to September 30
2018: 1,290
2019: 1,247
2020: 1,390
2021: 998
2022: 758
2023: 669
2024: 774 (+16%)
For the first time in post-frenzy history, the number of new listings is growing – and it’s been trending in that direction all year.
It has seemed like the supply of homes for sale has been so depleted that a 20% increase would be easily digested. But now we will be looking at another +20% on top of the additional inventory we had this year.
Smart sellers will want to list their home for sale early in the spring selling season.
I think it’s going to explode in January – look out!
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We sold a home with Jim and Donna and from beginning to end they were consummate professionals. Their initial walk through the property resulted in a list of items to be repaired or updated. They supplied a list of vendors and job quotes to do the repairs and updates. We originally wanted to sell ‘as is’ and just get it over with. They gave us a selling price for ‘as is’ and options for doing a few updates/repairs to doing it all with the selling price for each option. We agreed to do all they suggested and we sold for the exact price they predicted. For every dollar spent we got back more than $2 back in the selling price. And they got that price in a rising interest rate environment! Donna and Jim are extremely detailed and guide you through ever aspect of the sale. There were no surprises thanks to their guidance. We couldn’t be more pleased with their representation.
Thank you Donna and Jim,
Jerry and Mary
Heather Quejada
March 27, 2025
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We have known Jim & Donna Klinge for over a dozen years, having met them in Carlsbad where our children went to the same school. As long time North County residents, it was a no- brainer for us to have the Klinges be our eyes and ears for San Diego real estate in general and North County in particular. As my military career caused our family to move all over the country and overseas to Asia, Europe and the Pacific, we trusted Jim and Donna to help keep our house in Carlsbad rented with reliable and respectful tenants for over 10 years.
Naturally, when the time came to sell our beloved Carlsbad home to pursue a rural lifestyle in retirement out of California, we could think of no better team to represent us than Jim and Donna. They immediately went to work to update our house built in 2004 to current-day standards and trends — in 2 short months they transformed it into a literal modern-day masterpiece. We trusted their judgement implicitly and followed 100% of their recommended changes. When our house finally came on the market, there was a blizzard of serious interest, we had multiple offers by the third day and it sold in just 5 days after a frenzied bidding war for 20% above our asking price! The investment we made in upgrades recommended by Jim and Donna yielded a 4-fold return, in the process setting a new high water mark for a house sold in our community.
In our view, there are no better real estate professionals in all of San Diego than Jim and Donna Klinge. Buying or selling, you must run and beg Jim and Donna Klinge to represent you! Our family will never forget Jim, Donna, and their whole team at Compass — we are forever grateful to them.
Lou F
March 27, 2025
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WeI had the pleasure of working with Klinge Realty Group to sell our home in Carmel Valley, and I cannot recommend them highly enough!
Jim and Donna demonstrated exceptional professionalism, offering expert guidance on market conditions and pricing strategy, which resulted in a quick and successful sale.
Communication was prompt and we were well-informed throughout the entire process.
For anyone looking for a dedicated and knowledgeable real estate team, look no further!
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William Sams
March 25, 2025
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Donna and Jim Klinge of Klinge Realty Group have our highest possible recommendation. From Donna and Jim’s first visit to our house through closing their advice and counsel was candid and honest in all dealings. They kept us fully informed throughout the process. The house sold less than three days after listing with a two-week closing. My wife and I have sold several houses during our lives. This was by far the best experience. Klinge Reality is a premium service realtor. You can’t make a better choice for someone to sell your home fast and for top dollar.
Emily Hernandez
December 29, 2024
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Donna and Jim provided exceptional support and professionalism throughout the entire process. We couldn't have been happier with their efforts. They made our house shine, and thanks to their expertise, it sold above the listing price in the very first weekend! Truly a fantastic experience from start to finish.
Jesus Adrian Sahagun
November 11, 2024
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This year has been difficult on our family, mainly due to having to sell our home. Thankfully we knew God had a plan for us and working with the Klinge team was a key part of it. It was an obvious decision to work with them again after such an amazing experience when purchasing the same home we needed to sell. The challenge was, how will we do this in so little time with so much going on? Jim and Donna held our hand every step of the way. Whenever an unexpected issue arose they found and provided a solution. Never once did we feel pressured to make a decision and the Klinges were always reassuring after providing the information that the decision was ours to make. Despite the curve balls, they never panicked and exemplified the “can do” attitude, making us feel optimistic and taken care of. Their expertise and professionalism was superb. But of all the reasons to work with the Klinges, the most impactful and valuable is their compassion and genuine care for their clients. We pray that we can one day purchase our forever home and you better believe that Jim and Donna will be representing us - as long as they will have us of course. Thank you again Klinge team! Your execution, experience, and care are unmatched.
SABIHA PASHA
July 23, 2024
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Jim and Donna were fantastic! Jim understanding my needs, recommending potential places, pointing out the pros and cons of each property was invaluable. Then when the offer was accepted Donna’s organized guidance through the inspections, paperwork etc made the whole process seem effortless.
So grateful that I had them on my side!
Anu Koberg
July 13, 2024
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We first found Jim through his blog at bubbleinfo.com, which really showcased his knowledge of SoCal real estate. Since then we've done three transactions with Jim and Donna, and they are an incredible full service agency, with Jim's deep market insight and Donna's deft contract and project management. We trust them implicitly in their analysis and strategy, which is based on years of experience. They're always available and on top of things, and we strongly recommend them to anyone.
Bjorn Isachsen
July 10, 2024
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The Good
The Klinge Realty Group operates like a finely tuned machine, with a very personal touch. We contacted them on a Sunday and they were talking to us about our family and our needs on our living room couch the following day. They carefully listened to us and worked with us to identify the best and quickest path to listing within 2 weeks to take advantage of the low inventory conditions in our South Carlsbad neighborhood. They knew our tract specifically and had many previous sales there over the years - they came prepared with a thorough analysis of comparative sales and recommended a pricing strategy that they felt confident would yield offers the first weekend on the market.
The Great
Over the next two weeks Donna coordinated a range of vendors who she knew from experience could get the preparation to list work we needed done on time and with high quality. Our light tune-up involved excellent experiences with their stagers, landscapers, contractors, electricians, and plumbers. Throughout this period Donna's daily communication was clear, concise, and responsive. Any time we had questions Donna picked up the phone or texted immediately - but almost always, she answered our questions before we even knew we had them.
The Outstanding
We had a tricky situation with a shared fence that could have delayed our escrow. Donna used superb mediation skills to negotiate the terms of replacement and was personally on site with the fence contractor to make sure everything went smoothly. The fence looks great and escrow closed on time.
The Truly Exceptional
Our house came on the market on a Wednesday and between then and Monday morning Jim was personally at all three open houses. He was in constant communication explaining potential buyer reaction and strength. As he predicted offers began to come in on Saturday and each one was incrementally higher than the last. At the end we had 5 offers, 4 of which were over list, and the final accepted offer was $100,000 over list. In addition to being over list it included rent back terms that met our needs.
The Recommendation
For all of these reasons we would strongly recommend The Klinge Team to anyone wanting to sell in North County Coastal San Diego. I had been reading Jim's bubbleinfo.com blog for 15 years and knew when the time came to sell that he would be our first call. Jim Klinge is not your standard realtor. He is keenly aware of market conditions and sales strategies. And, works his tail off - though not as hard as Donna . At this point he's gone from realtor to friend and I plan to have him over to grill and chill at our new place to talk real estate, but also just about life and raising kids in San Diego. He's more interested in relationships than his sales numbers - and that's why his sales numbers are so high. We have already recommended the Klinge's to some close friends and another successful sale is on deck right around the corner...
Chris Shea
June 21, 2024
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We recently had the pleasure of working with Jim and Donna from Klinge Realty Group to sell our house, and we couldn't be more satisfied with the experience. From the initial meeting, they listened attentively to our needs and provided invaluable guidance on specific improvements to get our home market ready.
Their responsiveness throughout the entire process was truly impressive. Anytime we had questions or concerns, they were quick to address them, ensuring we felt comfortable and informed every step of the way. What stood out the most was their team and extensive network of tradespeople, which made addressing any necessary repairs or updates seamless and stress-free.
Thanks to their expertise and dedication, our house sold quickly and at a great price. We highly recommend Jim and Donna to anyone looking to buy or sell a home. They are a fantastic team who truly care about their clients and deliver exceptional results.
