This is the easier part - charting the next six months. Either the Fed will pause and delight us all, or their threat of higher rates will make buyers antsy and ready to pounce. The best-looking inventory usually happens in springtime, so all the necessary the...
Spring Kick
Motivated Sellers Only
There are three types of sellers: Sure I'm motivated....if I get my price. I'll sell for what the market will bear. Desperate. Unless the home is a real trophy property, this isn't the market that tolerates aspirational sellers. For those who will only sell if they...
NSDCC October Listings
Next year, everyone will be talking about how mortgage rates in the 7s or 8s will be causing a lack of affordability, but I have bad news for those who still want to buy. There probably won't be many homes for sale. It will only take one or two headlines about the...
FATCO Repeat Sales Index
The local Case-Shiller index is due tomorrow, and expectations are for a 2% drop from June. First American has their own repeat-sales index which is already showing a 12% decline in San Diego pricing (above)....
Sputter or Frenzy in 2023?
I think we can say that summer is over, and the off-season is here. How will the rest of 2022 play out, and what will be the effect on the 2023 Selling Season? We know that the local NSDCC sales counts will be low for the rest of 2022. Last year we had 136 closings...
Spring Clean
Hat tip Leonard @Compass: Today is the last day of Winter 2022, and as Spring arrives, consider the following: 1. Clean up winter debris, old leaves, fallen branches, etc. 2. Check your roof. Winter winds may have caused damage that requires your attention. 3. Clean...
Hotter Than Ever!
We can use the SP:LP ratio to gauge how hot the market is. Last year, the ratio was flat heading into the selling season, with February being right at 100.1%. Last month was already up to 103.6%, which is incredible for this early in the year! We just had the hottest...
The Selling Season Is Here!
The Super Bowl is complete, and the spring selling season begins today! Judging by the quick jump in the total number of pendings, homebuyers aren't waiting around. Mortgage rates have risen faster than any time in the last dozen years, and the number of homes for...
ER Inventory Surge
The new listings of 2022 are only trickling out, but we know that there can be spurts. We're seeing one underway in Encinitas Ranch, where five listings are hitting the market this week! The three Coming-Soons will all change to active listings on Saturday. Buyers -...
Frenzy Monitor
When comparing to the last reading there hasn't been much change, but the May 12th numbers were quite different - the number of actives today is now 15% higher, and pendings are 16% lower. But it had to go in that direction. The March-May period has to be the hottest...