The reason for breaking down the active and pending listings by zip code is to give the readers a closer look at their neighborhood stats. Four areas have MORE pendings than active listings, which is a sign of a red-hot market, and all areas except Rancho Santa Fe are...
North County Coastal
Precursors
When it comes to anticipating the direction of the real estate market, the median pricing isn't nearly as informative as these indicators - Number of Sales and SP:LP. We are used to seeing the sales increase early in the year, but it could have been different if...
NSDCC Jan & Feb Stats
Combining the January and February stats gives us the larger sample sizes to better identify the trends. The sellers are doing a phenomenal job at restricting the supply, and there have been enough buyers to keep the momentum going. The current listings/sales ratio...
NSDCC Feb Sales & Pricing, Prelim
It was the most insane frenzy ever, and it was the most intense at the beginning of last year as inventory started to thin out. Compared to that environment, I think these stats look pretty good: NSDCC Monthly Sales and Pricing Down 5% to 10% YoY, and on the rise? ...
NSDCC Pricing
We have an unusual obsession with home pricing - I say unusual because nobody cares that our measuring devices are deeply flawed and regularly give the wrong impression. With the stakes being so high, you'd think homebuyers would investigate thoroughly - but everyone...
Steady Decline of Listings
Remember when the inventory tanked in 2020 when everyone was afraid of catching the bug? Once the pandemic was over, we'd get back to the regular flow of homes for sale, wouldn't we? But the intensity seemed to increase as time went on, finally spinning out of control...
Orderly and Balanced
Let's revisit yesterday's graph and add the sales to compare the relative health of the market. If higher mortgage rates were stopping home buyers, then sales would plummet, especially in relation to the number of listings. But if the number of listings plummets too,...
Padres Contest Winner!
There were 182 NSDCC listings in January, as of today - which means we have a clear winner, even if a few more listings get added by late-reporters. Congratulations Rob Dawg! The season starts on March 30th, and May looks like a great month to attend a game. What...
Spring Selling Season is Here!
When mortgage rates started going up last year, I said all we have to do is survive until springtime - and it looks like we've made it! Not only did our local market not crash and burn, it held up pretty well - and that's in spite of the higher rates and blistering...
NSDCC Sales & Pricing, January
I was confident that in the last few months of 2022 we would reach at least 100 detached-home sales between Carlsbad and La Jolla. We are up to 102 in December, after closing 118 in November! I wasn't so hopeful about January. As of today, there have been 68 closings...