Pardon the casual presentation. I'm used to working with this same basic graph format but it's limited to 50 datapoints - we'd really like to take these back a few years to see the long-term trends. But in early 2023, the active listings in the $3M - $4M category were...
North County Coastal
NSDCC First Quarter Comparisons
The first quarter of 2024 is the only 1Q in recent history to have increases in BOTH the number of listings AND the median list price. Previously, increases in pricing had a corresponding dip in the number of listings available for buyers to consider. If you are like...
Inventory Watch
The NSDCC houses for sale have had a median list price over $4,000,000 all year. How is the upper half of the market performing? While the $2,000,000 to $4,000,000 market has seen continued upward pressure on pricing (click below on more...), the $4,000,000+ list...
NSDCC SP:LP Ratio
Another good way to anticipate the market trends is to check the direction of the SP:LP ratio: NSDCC Monthly Sales and SP:LP Ratio Month # of Sales Median LP Median SP SP:LP Jan 2022 149 $2,099,999 $2,200,000 105% Feb 169 $2,099,999 $2,300,000 110% Mar 219 $2,384,000...
Over List, January
There were 23 buyers who paid over the list price last month. There were 29 in the previous month, but because there were 20 fewer sales in December, the percentage looks much larger. Cash buyers purchased 41 of the 107 sales, or 38%. Fifteen of the sales were...
NSDCC Picking Up Steam
On Monday morning, these were the counts of active and pending listings between La Jolla and Carlsbad: Actives: 312 Pendings: 149 This morning, the counts are: Actives: 286 (-26) Pendings: 164 (+15) These are pre-Super Bowl numbers and it's been pouring rain for a...
Carlsbad, Encinitas, and Carmel Valley
While it would appear that there was a big jump in new listings last month, the January count wasn't unusual - it's just inching its way back to a more-normal pace: January New Listings - Totals of Three Areas Above 2019: 234 2020: 186 2021: 157 2022: 113 2023: 101...
NSDCC January Sales & Pricing
January Detached-Home Sales & Pricing, La Jolla to Carlsbad It was in June, 2022 that Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters that spiked mortgage rates would “reset” the “overheated” pandemic housing market. Last month had the highest pricing metrics AND the...
NSDCC January Update
After a disappointing number of sales last month (87, the lowest monthly count ever), January is poised to reach 100+ sales. There are 128 houses in escrow today, and 39 of those were marked 'pending' prior to January 1st so probably 20+ of those stand a good chance...
Fewer Sales = More Commotion
There have only been 83 NSDCC sales recorded in December, 2023, which means we may not make it to 100 closings. January isn't looking too good either, and from what I can find, we've never had less than 100 monthly sales, let alone in back-to-back months. But it's...