The contest for the four Padres tickets is complete! Because I was using the NSDCAR stats all year and then switched to SDAR at the last minute, it's only right that there are TWO winners, based on the different counts: Congratulations to Anne M for being the SDAR...
Contests
Inventory Watch
My predicted surge in inventory is underway - look at the navy-blue line above. There are 363 active listings between La Jolla and Carlsbad today, and once the Super Bowl is out of the way, we should really get rocking. It should easily reach 400 before the end of the...
Jan. Listings Contest – The Guesses
The final guesses on the number of NSDCC January listings are in - here they are: 211 – Eddie89 213 – Shadash 216 - regina 246 – Anne M 267 – Surfrider 280 – doughboy 293 - Joe 296 - Tim DeRoche 303 – Tom 307 – Jun 311 - SN 317 – CB Mark 318 – Nick 328 – Majeed 337 –...
January Listings Contest
Knowing the number of NSDCC listings in January will give us a feel for how hot the market might be for the rest of the year. If there is a big surge this month (more than +20% over last January's count), then the market could get sluggish in a hurry. If there is only...
January Listings Are A Precursor
Virtually everyone is reluctant to predict the future of the real estate market. Even most realtors will throw their hands up and declare, "Who knows?". But around here, one fact has been clear and it tells us what we need to know about the rest of the year. The...
Contest for Padres Tickets
In the last couple of years, we’ve followed how many new listings come to market in January. It’s been a good indicator of what to expect for the Spring Selling Season! In past Januarys, the guesses spanned a reasonable range and usually the winner was somewhere in...
Inventory Watch
The number of January listings has blown by everyone's expectations, and is now up to 229, which is 12% higher than in January, 2023 - and the count isn't done yet. All we know for sure is that more sellers wanted to get an early start on moving this year. If that...
NSDCC January Update
After a disappointing number of sales last month (87, the lowest monthly count ever), January is poised to reach 100+ sales. There are 128 houses in escrow today, and 39 of those were marked 'pending' prior to January 1st so probably 20+ of those stand a good chance...
Padres Contest 2024 Update
The NSDCC listings inputted between January 1-15 are up 11% YoY: 2023: 100 2024: 111 Take last January's total of 205 listings + 11% = 228 for the projected winning score, which would blow by everyone. How close the monthly total gets to 228 will tell us if listings...
Inventory Watch
There were 50 new listings in the first seven days of last year. This year, there have been 43 new listings in the first week, but there are late-reporters and those agents who input a new listing later in the month but use the contract date from weeks earlier. It's...