Zillow has recalibrated and is predicting a fairly flat 12 months ahead. Here are the zip codes I've received so far, all ranging between +1.5% and 1.9% appreciation over the next 12 months - the rest of the local zip codes should be similar: NW Carlsbad SE Carlsbad...
The last coffee bet began in 2006 when it was obvious to me and others that the market bubble was popping, so let's examine the data back to those years to see if we can learn anything that might be helpful when trying to predict the future: NSDCC Listings and Sales...
Even though the August sales count is up to 159, it looks like September might be the first month with fewer than 100 sales between La Jolla and Carlsbad (population 300,000+). There are only 144 pendings! Back in 2009 when nobody wanted to sell their house, there...
The wildcard on pricing is that every potential seller has sufficient equity to dump on price if needed. Why a seller would give it away when there are so many other alternatives (renting, reverse mortgages, hard-money loans, etc.) is beyond me. Even flipper...
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Trying to predict what will happen to our local real estate market in the short-term? No surprise that mortgage rates will play a big role in how it plays out, and they have been extremely volatile lately. But it's just not...
After mortgage rates went over 6% again yesterday, the doomers will be burying the real estate market over the next few months. You can see why - rates have been dropping for a generation; for them to now go up from 3% to 6% in a few months is unprecedented for...
Want proof that Jay Powell has tamed the housing frenzy, and reversed the trend of buyers having to pay well over the list price to win a house? Here are examples of the list and sold prices of August home sales between La Jolla and Carlsbad - note the relationship to...
There may not be many more of these! At the end of the video, I promised some pricing data and of course the MLS is down tonight so if you came to see list prices vs. sales prices, check back tomorrow.
If this was just a video of Carlos and his drummer wife Cindy it would be incredible. The supporting cast really clinches it. P.S. If you are in a Mexican restaurant and the Mariachi band wants to play a song, request Oye Como Va - it's a guaranteed hit because...
Yesterday's Case-Shiller Index for San Diego was 425.26, which is 11% higher than it was in January. But check how the trend increased between January and now. Prices rose as fast as ever in early 2021 (yellow above). If they would have mellowed out along my red...
