New Rules After One Month

It was a month ago that the NAR Settlement kicked in, and one new rule in particular was expected to turn the business upside down. From now on, buyers have to sign a contract with their agent before seeing homes in person, which hasn’t been required over the last 100+ years.

I’ve had four parties sign, and nobody has had a problem with it. Two knew me from before, and two had just met me – I was sure to bring it up early on, instead of surprising them later.

What we’ve learned:

  1. Yes, it is a binding contract, but not really. If you are dissatisfied with your buyer-agent, the contract can be terminated with 30 days notice. If you told your agent that you wanted to cancel, I doubt they will be giving you much attention during the 30 days and most would be honorable enough to cancel right away so you could move on.
  2. Having a written agreement should empower both buyer and agent to get down to it – it’s serious now!
  3. The general public are finding out that commissions aren’t negotiable, especially with the best agents. Some agents may offer to work for less, so the rate shoppers need to look around to find a deal. They will find that what we called a commission is now a fee for professional services, and they should examine what services they will get for their money.
  4. The new rule should cleanse the realtor population of the agents that need to go.
  5. You still have to find the right house at the right price, which is the biggest challenge of all.

If you can’t find the right house at the right price, none of the above matters.

The new rules, more paperwork, and the confusion & chaos only serve as distractions to those who choose to be distracted. The highly motivated buyers and sellers will keep transacting with the assistance from the agents who have adapted to the new era and still have plenty to contribute to their clients’ successes.

During the frenzy, any mistakes were erased quickly with the rising prices. But those who have bought in the last couple of years have found out that mistakes are not only possible, they are a lot harder to fix today. Their stories will cast a more-cautious tone over the marketplace.

I think clamor over the new rules has already blown over, and now it’s all about Getting Good Help!

MLS Listing Remarks

These are examples of public or confidential remarks by listing agents to help sell their listings:

Information in this listing may or may not be correct.

Buyer’s required to submit “financial pre-qualifications” to Listing Agent for review to verify ability to close escrow before disturbing Owner for tours.

RARE OPPORTUNITY TO PURCHASE AT COMING SOON PRICE at $4,999,000 PRIOR to GOING ACTIVE WHICH WILL OCCUR ON 7/25/24 AT WHICH TIME PRICE WILL INCREASE TO $5,1999,000.

Tell your clients to put their best foot forward, please do not ask me to reveal confidential offer info received.

Please do not permit entrance of parties not associated with the scheduled showing. The property is in an Irrevocable Trust; a 45-day Notice of Proposed Action to beneficiaries is required; the seller is hopeful that this process will be completed quickly; the buyer agrees to close escrow within __ business days after notification from seller that this process is completed.

***LUXURY AUCTION SELLS IT AGAIN! CONTACT LISTING AGENT TO LEARN MORE!***

THIS IS THE ONE YOU HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR!

Include all documentation in one email, DO NOT SEND IN MULTIPLE EMAILS.

Opportunity for this land is big in the area it’s in because there is plenty of room to grow.

VERIFCATION OF FUNDS/PRE-APPROVAL REQUIRED PRIOR TO SHOWINGS.

Permits status of ADU is unknown as owners are deceased.

MAJOR FIXER. PRICE REDUCED TO REFLECT CONDITION. BUYER TO DEPOSIT NON REFUNDABLE 10% EARNEST MONEY DEPOSIT.

Regarding the distinguished koi fish: they can convey with the sale upon proof of your buyer’s true interest in the fish. They have been raised by the owners and their continued well-being is of top concern. If continuing the life of mature koi fish with love and grace is not for your buyer, please indicate in your offer that the fish should be re-homed prior to COE. The pond stays as-is

This is more than just a home; it’s a lifestyle.

Welcome to your new neighborhood in Carlsbad. Rarely available, maybe once in your lifetime.

BIG PRICE IMPROVEMENT! ACT FAST!!

This house brags like a new build.

Painter/handyman has been booked several times but postpones. So, we are going ahead with the listing. You are welcome to slip in.

BUYER MUST HAVE INSURANCE QUOTE w/ offer.

Appointments to be confirmed once a buyer representation agreement is submitted.

Go Padres!

Richard Morgan has worked with us since 2009 and he and his wife Anneliese have become great friends. We make it a point to go to at least one Padres game together every year, and last night was a doozy!

School is back in session in mid-September, and on a Monday night the Padres game was sold-out!  The Padres won 3-1, and they have a great shot at making the playoffs this year. It felt like the playoffs too versus the first-place Astros…..and their fans travel. There were several sitting around us who came from Houston just to watch this series!

But more than anything, it was great to celebrate what has been our best year ever in real estate!

Thank you clients!

Inventory Watch

There is more talk about the Fed cutting a half-point on Wednesday. If they only drop 1/4%, mortgage rates will probably rise because at least that much is already priced in today.

It won’t mean much for the long-time active listings unless they lower their price.

Of the 465 actives today between La Jolla and Carlsbad, only 73 were listed in September, with a median list price of $2,995,000. For buyers looking under $3 million, it means there are only a couple of dozen homes for sale that have a chance of being a hot buy – in an area of 300,000 people!

New listings that hit the market over the next couple of weeks will be in the right place, at the right time!

(more…)

Fastest Growing Suburbs Under $500,000

The 10 fastest-growing U.S. suburbs with home values under $500,000:

  1. Mooresville, N.C.
  2. Hamtramck, Mich.
  3. Buckeye, Ariz.
  4. Union City, Ga.
  5. Canyon Lake, Texas
  6. Olive Branch, Miss.
  7. Maricopa, Ariz.
  8. Clermont, Fla.
  9. Leesburg, Fla.
  10. Goodyear, Ariz.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/05/fastest-growing-us-suburbs-home-values-gobankingrates-study.html

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Goodyear has dozens of newer one-story homes for sale under $500,000:

Link to Zillow homes in Goodyear under $500,000

Buckeye does too:

Link to Zillow homes in Buckeye under $500,000

More Inventory, But Not +80%

What’s the slogan for Realtor.com? The website realtors trust? Yeah, haha…..who are you again? Realtor.com is the source for some wrong statistics picked up by Fox/KUSI news. The August YoY change in inventory for San Diego County is +31% for all property types, and +20% for detached-homes only. I have no idea where they are getting the +80% but it is way wrong. The 9% decrease in the median list price of unsold homes interests virtually no one, but Fox was happy to call it the ‘median sales price’ in their article to add some extra excitement:

SAN DIEGO (FOX 5/KUSI) — It may have gotten a little easier to buy a home in the San Diego market, according to a new report by Realtor.com.

In a housing overview of the nation’s largest metros last month, the median sales price for a home in the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad area was $999,000 — a 9% decrease from the same time last year, according to the real estate listings website.

In addition, San Diego was among the top three metros that saw the largest growth in newly listed homes compared to last year. Cincinnati reported a 31% growth while Seattle saw 30% and San Diego had a nearly 23% increase, the report showed.

The inventory of homes for sale increased in all 50 of the nation’s largest metros compared with last year, but San Diego was also among the top three that saw the most growth as of last month.

San Diego saw an 80% increase in inventory while Tampa topped the list at 90% and Orlando reported nearly 77%, the report said.

However, although the median listing price for homes in the region fell compared to last year, the price per square foot has increased by just over one percent.

The housing market is also nowhere near its pre-pandemic condition. The median listing price in August for a home in the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad market was almost 41% higher than the same time in 2019, according to Realtor.com.

The other 49 metros on the list had a similar story last month. The median price in Milwaukee, Wis., Philadelphia, Penn. and Cleveland, Ohio saw the biggest increases from 2019’s numbers.

Meanwhile, home sales nationwide remain sluggish. The typical home spent a week longer on the market in August compared to the same time last year, Realtor.com said.

https://fox5sandiego.com/news/local-news/san-diegos-housing-inventory-grows-prices-drop-significantly/

The headline writers are dancing in the streets!

Ultimate Man Cave

Check out our new listing!

2010 Alessandro Trail, Vista

2 br/2 ba, 1,087sf cottage

1-acre lot

3,600sf garage

LP = $925,000 – now pending!

Holy Man Cave! Check out this very habitable 2 br/2 ba country cottage with massive 3,600sf 12-car garage on an acre in the hills of Vista! Are you dreaming about finding the ultimate extra-large workshop with 12-ft ceilings, dozens of electrical outlets, and plenty of room for every toy imaginable? This is it! Or for those ADU builders, you’ll have a terrific head start on creating the perfect granny flat. Check this out! Zillow rent estimate for house is $2,999 per month.

https://www.compass.com/listing/2010-alessandro-trail-vista-ca-92084/1664561880408694529/

Zestimates in 2024

Borrowing this from Rob’s blog, this is known as Amara’s Law in technology spheres.

It goes:

“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.”

When the zestimates first came out in 2006, their accuracy was really bad – wrong by 10% to 20% – and those of us in the business laughed them off as a joke. The idea of being able to find out the value of a home with one click was inticing though, so Zillow kept throwing millions of dollars into the project.

They found out that putting a value on a home isn’t so easy, and they still state today that their zestimates have a median error rate of 7.49% – which on a $3 million home is +/- $224,700!

From wiki:

While factors contributing to estimates are described elsewhere, Zillow seemingly overemphasizes home square footage as the major metric driving property valuation. This method may not be unique to Zillow, but unduly distorts value expectations. Listings in areas where land is priced at high premiums often reflect an identical Zillow estimate to that of nearby homes with comparable interior square footage, but where the home might be decades older. Condition, age of home, special features, and proximity to nuisances are insufficiently factored into the estimate. Zillow has made some effort to add balance by including an option for owners to provide their own value estimate, but these figures can be similarly unreliable as being opinion instead of quantifiable.

But homeowners have come to adore their zestimate.

Why? Because it’s been around so long, they believe it to be true.

I had a potential seller tell me last week that their zestimate was how much she could sell her house for. Not that it was the approximate value within +/-7% of being correct, and just a starting point. She believed it was going to be her sales price!

It wasn’t a problem during the frenzy because in the 2020-2022 period you could put any price on a home and it would sell. The homeowners were pleasantly surprised at the extra bonus above their zestimate, and didn’t complain.

But it is different now.

I’ve heard it twice in the last week from two different agents that their price is “right in there”, suggesting that they have evidence of their price being right and just get my buyer to pay it. But there they sit, unsold.

Having a zestimate, or having cherry-picked comps to support today’s list price is precarious – it ignores the current market conditions, which are squishy to say the least. The premium, fixed-up, and staged homes are selling briskly, and the others are sitting.

But because the zestimate has been around so long, people believe it must be right. Sellers certainly don’t want to take less! Include 1-2 older sales and sellers and listing agents want to believe the mythical nuclear buyers with 2.2 kids are right around the corner.

Get Good Help!

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