MB Mike asked a follow-up: In terms of timing, what does your crystal ball say 2014 will bring? Better to wait a year to sell? Yes, wait if general market conditions are your guide. Real estate is reported as 'up' or 'down', and it will be 'up' for a while. The media...
Same-House Sales
SD Case-Shiller +9.2% Y-O-Y
The San Diego Case-Shiller Index rose 9.2% year-over-year. While a 9.2% increase in home prices would have been shocking a year ago, we have come to expect it today. The month-over-month increase was 1.07%, which should be about what we see for the rest of 2013. If...
“My Wife Wants Them”
Shiller is asked in the video how many houses he owns (two) and why - his answer - "My wife wants them". (at the 7:50-min mark) Robert Shiller, the Yale economist who nailed the housing bubble before it burst, was on Bloomberg Television with Trish Regan and Adam...
SD Case-Shiller Up 8% Y-O-Y
San Diego Case-Shiller Index, non-seasonally-adjusted (SA was also +8%): November 2011: 151.45 November 2012: 163.58 Year-Over-Year Change: +8% From the S&P press release: “Winter is usually a weak period for housing which explains why we now see about half the...
Get Ready For Case-Shiller Tuesday
No Seasonal Slowdown
Tuesday's Case-Shiller report is going to blow the roof off the market: The housing market typically experiences a seasonal slowdown during the winter months, but this year seems to be different, according to the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance survey. In...
San Diego Case-Shiller Forecast
The non-seasonally-adjusted Case-Shiller Index for San Diego rose again in October: Oct. 2011: 152.86 Sep. 2012; 160.09 Oct. 2012: 162.10 It was the ninth monthly increase in a row, and the year-over-year improvement of +6% is the biggest we've seen lately. Those...
Shiller’s Ivory-Tower View: Risky
Here's Shiller being his normal conservative self, saying that we will see a lot more underwater homeowners defaulting, and those foreclosures leading to additional inventory of unsold homes. But did say that his futures index is expecting a 3% annual price increase...
SD Case-Shiller, Sept 2012
San Diego's non-adjusted Case-Shiller Index for September increased for the eighth month in a row, and was +1.4% higher than the previous month - which was the biggest M-O-M gain of the year. The latest reading of 160.09 was +4.1% higher than September, 2011, and the...
Preliminary November Sales
The latest Case-Shiller Index comes out tomorrow, and CR is expecting the non-adjusted national numbers to start declining, like they usually do this time of year: http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/11/update-case-shiller-house-prices-will.html Tomorrow's C-S...