Foreign Investment Firms Too

njJERSEY CITY, N.J.—On a recent Tuesday morning, Alan Dixon, an investment manager originally from Canberra, Australia, stood in front of a four-story townhouse here, one of the latest assets he purchased for his company’s shareholders.  Mr. Dixon’s company, US Masters Residential Property Fund, bought the home on Erie Street in this city on the Hudson River waterfront for $830,000 in September.

Inside, workmen installed subway tile in the bathrooms, preparing the three-bedroom home to be leased for $3,295 a month, “like something the people from ‘Friends’ would rent,” said Mr. Dixon, referring to the TV sitcom.

US Masters, a real-estate investment trust that has raised $276 million, primarily from Australian retirees, is one of a handful of foreign firms that are betting on the U.S. housing recovery by buying houses at discount prices.

The business of buying-and-renting houses, long dominated by local mom-and-pop investors, has morphed over the past two years into one of the hottest investments on Wall Street. Dozens of pension investors and private-equity firms, such as Blackstone Group LP and Colony Capital LLC, are clamoring to buy homes in beaten-up markets, sometimes using money from foreign co-investors.

But only recently have foreign firms jumped into the pool. Similar to U.S. firms, they are seeking high returns by renting out the houses initially and eventually selling them into what they are betting will be an improving housing market.

But there is an added bonus: Investors from countries whose currencies are strong can outbid U.S. investors because they also are hoping to make money from foreign-exchange rate fluctuations. “It’s really all about the strength of the Australian dollar,” said Stuart Morton, finance director for Cashel USA Property Partners, an Australian fund that is buying single-family U.S. houses. “It makes the houses really cheap.”

In January, investment bank Keefe, Bruyette & Woods estimated that institutional investors had raised between $6 billion and $9 billion to buy U.S. houses and convert them into rentals. While no one keeps track of how much of that money is coming from offshore, experts in the business say the figure is rising.

“If I’m a foreign investor and I’m not entirely confident in my own economy, of all the places that I could put my money, U.S. housing looks like a really attractive place,” said Lisa Marquis Jackson, senior vice president with John Burns Estate Consulting LLC, a housing-industry consultancy in Irvine, Calif.

As with some foreign investors, US Masters is avoiding properties embroiled in thorny distress and foreclosure situations. Rather, it is focused mostly on buying short sales—in which a buyer sells for less than the value of the property’s mortgage debt—and discounted homes. Prices in Hudson County, which includes Jersey City, are down 29% since their 2006 peak, according to property research company Zillow Inc.

premium new jersey rental“We are buying the houses up, and I’d say unashamedly at very, very cheap prices, but I don’t see much of us crowding out other home buyers,” said Mr. Dixon of US Masters, who now lives in Manhattan and peppers his conversation with references to the 1990s American TV shows he watched in his youth, like “The Simpsons” and “Seinfeld.”

Mr. Dixon’s firm is structured as a publicly traded REIT to take advantage of a treaty that allows such entities to avoid being taxed twice, by both the U.S. and Australian governments.

Currency is another big factor for US Masters. Right now, Mr. Dixon says his fund is earning a yield of 7% on his rental portfolio after accounting for operating expenses. But if the Australian dollar falls to levels more in line with historical norms, of around 80 U.S. cents per Australian dollar, US Masters’ investors will earn 30% more in profits when the fund sells its homes.

Mr. Morton, of Cashel, a former land investor in Australia, paid $8,000 in 2009, along with 200 others, to attend a seminar and workshop in Sydney on how to buy a home in the U.S. Afterward, he and his business partner, a former car-rental executive, took a six-week bus and airplane tour of the U.S., looking at potential markets.

Then, 18 months ago, they became partners with an Australian investment bank and started buying homes in Dallas, Houston, Atlanta, Cleveland and Tucson, Ariz. So far, Cashel has bought 200 homes, at an average price of around $65,000 each, spending an additional $10,000, on average, to renovate each one. Mr. Morton said his company is earning between 8% and 9% on the portfolio, which he hopes to expand to 2,000 homes in the next 2½ years.

From the wsj.com – read full article here.

BofA REO/Short-Sale Seminar

Yesterday I attended the Bank of America REO/Short-Sale seminar for agents on their preferred list.

They haven’t sent me a new REO listing in about a year, so I thought I better attend, just in case it improves my chances.

They mentioned that they’ve cut 1,200 agents from the list already, and expect to trim it down another 1,000 and end up with fewer than 4,000 preferred realtors nationwide. Uh-oh.

Bank of America’s REO and Short-Sale Seminar highlights

1. Just 18 months ago, Bank of America was acquiring 16,000 properties per month through foreclosure.  Today their count is 3,000 to 4,500 per month.  There were a variety of reasons given for the dropoff:

  • The mortgage settlements caused it.
  • Loan modifications.
  • They are selling off servicing rights when mortgages go 60 days late.

He admitted that there are probably a lot of people who are living for free.

2.  Foreclosure volume is predicted to be FLAT over the next year or two.

3.  Once foreclosed, their goal is to dispose of the property within 180 days. Last year the average was 210 days.

4.  The bank’s public website that displays properties for sale will have a “coming soon” section where readers can preview new listings. (This site has never been updated frequently so don’t get your hopes up).

5.  They are open to selling tenant-occupied properties to investors.  Because they see so many cash offers, rather than wasting time and money on evictions, they will consider investor offers in advance that keep the occupants in the home.

6. Out of the other side of their mouth, it was stated clearly that asset managers will not respond to offers until the property has been on the MLS for five days.

7.  Bank of America expects to sell or transfer 2,000,000 properties this year.

8.  They solicited 15,000 defaulting homeowners last year with the pre-approved short-sale program, offering up to $30,000 in incentives.  Only one of eight homeowners took them up on it.

9. They solicited 2,000 defaulting homeowners to accept a deed-for-lease program, and only eleven homeowners agreed (where the homeowner signs over ownership and leases back).

10.  Their average short-sale-approval time is 43 days.

11.  Fraud is found in 23% of short sales.

12.  They have a pilot program underway to sell short-sales through Auction.com.  The seller still gets an incentive to participate, and realtors are involved.  The properties are offered with a pre-determined reserve price, but at least the auctions will take the buyer-selection process out of the listing agent’s hands.

There were no promises or even hints of increased production – but they say that they want to hurry up the process.  The phrase, “think outside the box” was said at least a dozen times, but many of us were skeptical that any major chances were coming.

$195,100 Over List

glenwick1To fulfill the entire frenzy experience, it’s good to review closed sales to see how crazy it can get.

Back on December 2, 2011, the bank’s opening bid at the trustee’s sale was $990,000 on this La Jolla house that had undergone a partial demo & rebuild (more demo than rebuild) – but no takers.

It goes into the bank’s REO inventory, and for some reason, a year goes by before they get around to selling it.

Last month they listed it for $924,900.

On Friday it closed for $1,120,000…..cash.

A video reminder:

Buying After Short Sale

ocboomerangbuyerAndreea Stucker thought she made a good investment when she bought a Huntington Beach condo with her boyfriend in December 2005.

But then she and her boyfriend split up. He moved out just as the housing market crashed, leaving Stucker broken-hearted, and broke.

With her own income down at least 60 percent, the real estate agent was unable to make the $4,400-a-month mortgage payments on her own, even after taking in room-mates.

“I begged the bank for over seven months to grant me a loan modification to reduce my payments, because I was rapidly going through my savings,” Stucker, 34, recalled. “I ended up completing a short sale on my home, and my credit took a huge hit.”

Three years later, Stucker has mended both her heart and her credit score. She has a new husband and, “miraculously,” a new house.

Stucker is among the emerging ranks of boomerang buyers — people who bounce back from foreclosures or short sales to become homeowners again.

Generally, buyers must wait at least three years after a foreclosure or short sale to qualify for a government-backed Federal Housing Administration mortgage. It can take seven years to get a conventional loan backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

It’s been 4 1/2 years since the foreclosure crisis peaked, and real estate industry observers say they have seen boomerang buyers gradually returning to the Orange County market for at least a year.

After 3 ½ years, Stucker still cries at the memory of losing her Huntington Beach condo.  She and her ex-boyfriend paid $613,000 with no money down for a two-level condo with cathedral ceilings and skylights, two bedrooms, two bathrooms and a spacious loft less than two miles from the beach.

They spent $40,000 more installing granite countertops, hardwood and travertine floors, new bathroom vanities recessed lighting and other upgrades.

But it turns out that the real estate game isn’t just about location, location, location. It’s also about timing.

By December 2005, Orange County home sales had just headed into a three-year nose dive. Home prices soon would follow.

Stucker’s income as a real estate agent dropped. Her boyfriend moved out after five months. Eventually, she depleted $29,000 in savings, then quit making house payments.

Unable to get a loan modification she could live with, Stucker sold the condo in May 2009 for $425,000 — $188,000 less than what she owed on two mortgages.

Her credit score went from 798 in December 2005 to the low 500s by May 2009.

“It was probably nine months that I fought for that home,” Stucker said. “I loved my house, and I wanted to stay.”

In hindsight, she says she should have cut her losses before dipping into her savings. But she kept thinking the market would turn around, and she’d be able to afford the home again.

“It’s like getting kicked when you’re down,” Stucker recalled. “You’re going through this awful breakup with this person you thought you had a future with, (and) your income is crap even though you’re working full time. … It was tough.”

Read more here:

http://www.ocregister.com/articles/years-496154-stucker-loan.html

Pricing Momentum

Pricing momentum is underway.

It takes a few sales to get it started, and then subsequent sellers build from there. The house in the video below is in Del Mar Heights – these two comps nearby happen to be the highest-priced sales in the last 12 months:

Same street but on an 1/3-acre canyon lot – closed for $1.95M on 1/31/13:

http://www.sdlookup.com/MLS-120050799-2372_Lozana_Rd_Del_Mar_CA_92014

4,100sf one-story also on the canyon closed for $2,200,000 in November:

http://www.sdlookup.com/MLS-120038652-14124_Recuerdo_Dr_Del_Mar_CA_92014

This is how rapid appreciation can develop.

Most people would consider those two sales to be superior to the subject property below.  But those buyers who are looking for a turn-key property and a quick and easy deal may not look too hard at the comps, and instead say “close enough”, and jump on this one.

Once they do, everyone in Del Mar Heights is going to want $2 million!

http://tempo5.sandicor.com/5.5.14.26728/Pages/OurPrint.asp

Higher Prices Causing More Listings?

Is the thought of higher prices causing more people to list?

Not yet, though the list-price-per-sf average is 9% above recent years:

NSDCC Detached-Home New Listings between Jan 1 – Feb 15

Year # of New Listings Avg LP-Per-SF
2010
663
$466/sf
2011
747
$460/sf
2012
620
$466/sf
2013
604
$507/sf

Last year there were 476 new listings in March, so hopefully we’ll see 400-450 this year. Will there be enough to go around?

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