Slime All Around

The real estate industry gets accused of its slimy tactics quite frequently, and it is well deserved – you really should Get Good Help!

In a last-ditch effort to survive, the red team went into the rental business recently. Here they have been publishing a ‘corporate rental’ that has been fed to them by Rently – who has ‘refreshed’ their listing a couple of times:

So then this real estate broker and mortgage licensee from the Bay Area comes along and steals the photos and advertises 4100 El Arbol (not 5100) on this slimy ‘national MLS‘ at a ridiculously low for-sale price (about HALF of the actual value).

The Z team – no stranger to the real estate slime – picks up their feed and is now advertising it publicly:

Hat tip to realtor Tanya who alerted me to this fraud! She contacted them yesterday to report it and was told that they would remove it right away. But as of this morning, it is still an active listing:

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/4100-El-Arbol-Dr-Carlsbad-CA-92008/447767066_zpid/

Why would a long-time real estate broker from San Jose bother to devise this concoction? He must be selling leads to realtors – another slimy part of the business. I get 2-3 solicitations every day from people who want to give me leads and all I have to do is cut them in on the commission (I ignore them).

Here’s an example:

Here’s how it turned out (plus cases against Capital One and a Berkshire-owned mortgage company):

https://apnews.com/article/cfpb-drops-capital-one-rocket-lawsuits-e3a4a18ccd9ddd97610ef23fd6b843b2

The slime is all around – Get Good Help!

ADUs and HOAs

Government entities have to permit you to build an ADU, but what about an HOA? Hat tip to ‘just some guy’ for sending in this article about the ADU dispute at the Carlsbad condo complex called Mystic Point (where we just sold a view condo for $960,000).

An excerpt:

Adam Flury, an attorney hired by the association, advised the board in an email to “absolutely deny” the request as a violation of the board’s governing documents. Hardesty responded, politely but firmly, that he would be moving ahead anyway. “Rest assured, this is coming down the pike and I would love for you all to participate in this project with me,” he wrote in an email.

Two weeks later he received a cease-and-desist letter. It warned Hardesty that he ran the risk of exposing himself “to legal consequences and unnecessary expense” if he didn’t let up.

The Mystic Point ADU dispute is “ripe for litigation,” said Marco Gonzalez, an environmental and land use lawyer whom Hardesty hired to respond to the HOA’s cease and desist letter. “But you gotta have a homeowner with deep enough pockets and the risk profile to take it to the mat.”

Hardesty, who is still without a steady job and claims to have already spent upward of $8,000 of his savings on the project, said he didn’t have deep enough pockets to keep paying Gonzalez.

For now, he is focused on construction. This month, he broke ground and began gutting his garage — without the HOA’s permission or apparent knowledge.

https://calmatters.org/housing/2025/02/hoa-adu-california-law/

San Diego Case-Shiller Index, December

The Case-Shiller Index is such old news that I forgot all about it yesterday.

It looks like “pricing” started to flatten out earlier last year, which sets up the 1Q25 for small-ish gains:

In more-relevant news…..this date, February 26th, fell on a Monday in 2024. It allows us to compare the inventory on the same dates:

NSDCC Active Listings:

2024: 324

2025: 368 (+14%)

There are also 30 more in the Coming Soon bin, plus private exclusives at all brokerages. If we just add the Coming Soons to this year’s count, the YoY change is +23%.

The surge in listings is underway, but it’s just not that obvious yet. Stay tuned, and don’t be surprised if pricing is hot early, then flattens out by March or April.

Professional Sales

Have you ever attended an open house and the realtor asked if you wanted to buy it?

Probably not. Yet, isn’t that our job?

I am a salesman and this is what I do. I make a simple statement when you arrive that sets the tone – AND can’t help but put a smile on your face, only because it’s the first time anyone has ever said it to you.

Why do people laugh? Because they see or hear something unexpected. At my open houses, everyone starts with a chuckle.

When leaving, I ask the most obvious question ever – yet you’ve never heard it before at any open house.

Don’t you want a professional salesman in your corner?

Hire me! I’m Jim the Realtor 858-997-3801 Jim Klinge @Compass DRE #00873197

Compass is #1 in San Diego

Last year, Compass was #1 again in total volume and number of homes sold.

We have the most agents too – you can see why going it alone looks more and more feasible.

I’m not sure what I did to get a mention, but, man, Donna is going to wonder what happened!

Inventory Watch

I counted 32 NSDCC houses for sale on the Compass private exclusives list that aren’t on the MLS. They aren’t well-organized – just a one-liner list for the whole county – and they are mostly homes being prepared for market, or tenant-occupied, or old listings that are taking a breather. Photos and remarks are optional, and there isn’t any push from management to actually be selling them off-market.

But it they were actively on the market, the NSDCC inventory count today would be 406 which is where I thought we would be by the end of February.

NSDCC Detached-Home Listings Between Jan. 1 and Feb. 20th

2019: 662

2020: 620

2021: 517

2022: 384

2023: 334

2024: 399

2025: 429 (+8% YoY so far)

This year’s count will continue to grow as new listings taken before the 20th keep hitting the open market over the next week or two. There only needs to be 30 more to reach the +15% mark, and if you want to add the private exclusives then we are already there.

Hard to belive that Saturday is March 1st. This is prime selling season!

(more…)

Today’s Open House Report

Airplanes flying over the house every 5-10 minutes wasn’t the only complaint. “The kitchen is too small, can you get fire insurance, it’s single-zone air conditioning, the bathrooms are original, you don’t have a pantry” – it just never ends, even at a house with hundreds of positives.

I have no regret about doing as many upgrades as we did here, nor do I doubt my attractive price ($2,499,000). It’s because if you don’t sell in the first couple of weeks, buyers want to lowball, period. What’s the lesson about the current market conditions? It’s a market for the affluent only – those who get tripped up over a few bucks don’t have a chance of finding a decent home. Go buy a fixer for cheap and hope you can survive the money pit.

More Compass and the Future

This is the type of name-calling I’m willing to endure:

IMHO, RE industry has descended right into the gutter alongside slimy used car salesmen. License to screw over consumers using information hiding and deceptive practices.

Elimination of pre-sale inspections and mandatory disclosures. Elimination of escrow via mandatory seller-arranged financing (complete with kickbacks). Refusal to allow buyer representation at all. “Sign on the line today, accepting all our slimy terms, or lose the property to the next sucker tomorrow!”

It gets worse – those from within the industry have been slamming Compass and Robert Reffkin for years. Zillow came out with their own study this week where they claim the sellers of off-MLS homes lost $1 billion in the last two years – which is an eye-popping headline! But in the fine print they do admit that they used their zestimate to make the analysis.

Our manager Steve responded on a realtor-news feed:

 

It caused Steve and Robert to talk by phone on Friday, and they discussed the path we are on. It is the one I’ve described where we end our relationship with NAR and the MLS companies and go it alone.

The commercial brokerages have always functioned this way and have only used Loopnet as a last resort. Nobody calls them names or threatens to sue them over their practices. It is inevitable that the same thing happens to residential brokerages, and Compass will just be the first national brand to do it.

It will make for a terrific recruiting tool as well. If you are an agent, we should chat!

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