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Are you looking for an experienced agent to help you buy or sell a home? Contact Jim the Realtor!

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(760) 434-5000

Carmel Valley
(858) 560-7700
jim@jimklinge.com


Category Archive: ‘Thinking of Buying?’

SD Spring Selling Season Starts Now

Here is a good visual aid that shows how closed sales usually jump in March – and those are sales that began in January and February.

Sales last March were 39% higher than in February!

This year, we’re coming in hot too.  Sales in the last four months of 2016 were similar to those in the frenzied 2013!

Click here for more of Rich Toscano’s work:

https://piggington.com/december_2016_housing_data

Posted by on Feb 7, 2017 in Frenzy, Jim's Take on the Market, Spring Kick, Thinking of Buying?, Thinking of Selling? | 0 comments

Move While You Are Younger

There are already people who have decided to buy and/or sell this year, and to those folks I’ll say in advance – congratulations, and I’d like to help you!

I’d like to reach out those who are thinking of putting off the move for another month or year.

Here are reasons why you should re-consider:

  1. The actual moving is mentally and physically taxing.  Even if you have plenty of family to help sort through the junk and pack everything up, you will want to have a say in many of the decisions.
  2.  Moving to a new home almost always means getting accustomed to a new home, area, amenities, and basic things to live.  You want to be on top of your game to endure that many changes.
  3.  People are buying one-story homes in advance because of the lack of supply and the pressure on pricing – demand is heavy, and supply is light!
  4.  The current administration could mess with the tax law, and tweak the $500,000 tax-free profit you have coming from your home sale.
  5.  The move is very likely to be more difficult than you think!

Recently, I had a widow move to a retirement facility after her husband had passed away (she was younger).  We lamented that if they would have moved together, he would have loved the new place, and she would have had a network of friends already built by the time he passed.

If you are getting up in years, and know that you have at least one more move in you before you’re done, don’t wait too long.  Seventy years old is about the latest anyone should move, and 60 years old is recommended.  You want to enjoy a few years at the new spot!

Don’t wait too long!

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Posted by on Feb 6, 2017 in Boomer Liquidations, Boomers, Jim's Take on the Market, One-Story, Thinking of Buying?, Thinking of Selling? | 1 comment

Ridic

I had a buyer refer to our market as ‘ridic’, and the point is painfully obviously to anyone who has been looking to purchase a new home for months or years – the pricing seems to get more ridiculous every day.

Today’s goal is to buy the least-ridiculously-priced home!

In the last post, you could see that the government may have some ideas, but they won’t be implementing any effective relief measures for a while – if ever.

What can buyers do?

You have two choices:

  1.  Go up in price.
  2.  Compromise.

For those who have resources, going up in price is probably the easiest way to solve the problem.  Add more down payment, get a co-signer, have the seller buydown your rate, or buy more lotto tickets!

Tip for self-employed:  You can qualify for a Freddie Mac loan with one-year’s tax return.  You are getting ready to file your 2016 returns now – bite the bullet and don’t include so many write-offs this year!

The thought of compromise makes every buyer cringe – Chris Rock says that women don’t like to go backwards in lifestyle, but try to give it a shot.  A smaller home, yard, garage, or fewer other features may be worth it to stay in the same area.  Or widen the target area – consider going farther out.

There are elementary schools rated a 10 in several areas:

We know the elementary schools in the Del Mar School District (Del Mar and Carmel Valley) are all rated a 10, but they are among some pricey real estate.  But there are other ’10’ rated elementary schools in the Solana Beach and Encinitas school districts, and here are four ’10’ rated elementary schools in Carlsbad too, where, if you don’t mind driving 5-6 more exits up the 5, you money goes further!

For those who prefer no maintenance, buying a pimped-out condo or townhouse might be a better choice than an older house!

I think we could see the move-up market come alive with people who bought a temporary residence.  If you have more horsepower coming your way in a few years, buy something that will last you for now, and get the forever home later!

I’m happy to discuss your situation, and help you find solutions!

My cell phone is (858) 997-3801, call or text!

Posted by on Jan 25, 2017 in Jim's Take on the Market, Market Buzz, Market Conditions, Thinking of Buying?, Why You Should Hire Jim as your Buyer's Agent | 1 comment

Traffic Doesn’t Equal Offers 2

Don’t feel bad for that last seller – somebody will come along and pay him what he wants.  Many homes are sold to buyers who are represented by one of the new-age realtors fresh out of real estate school who work for a team.

The good veteran agents are so sick of the frustration that they’re scrambling to build a team of inexperienced agents who will do the grunt work.  There isn’t much oversight on whether the price paid is fair; instead, there is more pressure to get another sale on the board.

New and inexperienced agents get so excited about showing a new listing that if it has any shiny stuff, they go berserk and puke all over the listing agent, giving the impression that the buyers will pay anything for the house.  When I’m showing a house, people think that I’m just a boring old dude because I don’t say much.  It never occurs to them that I’m protecting my fiduciary duty to my buyer by NOT spewing superlatives.

The problem starts when listing agents don’t properly prepare their sellers for the initial onslaught – instead, they get caught up in it too, and think that all the jumping around means that offers will be pouring in any minute.

It used to be that way, but not any more.

If lookers don’t make an offer within 24 hours, they usually don’t make one.  It’s too easy to play it safe, and wait for the next one.

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Posted by on Jan 17, 2017 in Jim's Take on the Market, Thinking of Buying?, Thinking of Selling?, Why You Should Hire Jim as your Buyer's Agent, Why You Should List With Jim | 0 comments

Traffic Doesn’t Equal Offers

By now, the low-inventory/fast-market has trained the motivated buyers to be on red alert.  If a new listing pops up that looks remotely interesting, those buyers know to get over there quick for a peek.

This presents a major problem for the sellers and listing agent.

Once the parade of lookers descends upon the new meat within hours, it is irresistible for the ego to go wild, and it causes sellers and listing agents to have visions of lottery-type money.

It is so much fun, they want it to last forever! They are so excited!

Savvy buyers know that if this is THE house, they need to make an offer promptly.  It makes the equation quite simple – sellers will receive offers from the motivated buyers within the first 2-3 days.  All you have to do is counter for every buyer’s highest-and-best offer, and by Day Four the buyer who will pay the most will emerge.

But what usually happens?

The overly optimistic buyer-agents get all giddy and tell the listing agent that they think they will be making an offer.  But a funny thing happens to buyers once they roll down the street for a couple of blocks – all the reasons NOT to buy that house come up, and most buyers talk themselves right out of it.  At least half of the people who threaten to make an offer never do.

What if you are a motivated buyer, and make a great offer in the first 1-2 days?  It happens regularly that sellers and listing agents will pooh-pooh a great early offer, and hope that there are two in the bush.

What can buyers do?  You only have one option, and that is to walk away if you don’t get a response by the time the offer expires.  At least if you threaten to quit, it should hopefully get their full attention.

Sellers and listing agents think that lots of visitors = lots of offers.  But most visitors don’t offer – they’re just visiting.  In virtually every case, the no-offer rate is at least 90%, but sellers ignore that and are convinced there has to be two or more in the bush.

Here’s today’s example:

The seller paid in the low $700,000s in late-2012, and didn’t add anything but lipstick since. We initially offered $1,275,000 last week, and sure got the feeling that we were getting shopped around – the listing agent kept reminding me that there were other offers expected.  So we put a deadline of 1:00pm today to accept our $1,300,000 counter-offer.  Two hours after our deadline, the seller countered $1,339,000, which was just $6,000 under their first counter.  They called it their final offer, and it wasn’t a multiple-counter, so no other offers were on the table.

The sellers paid low-$700,000s, and couldn’t live with $1,300,000 – they had to have an extra $39,000, or the deal was off.

My buyers stuck to their guns, and instead we were off to a new listing that was priced well under this one.

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Posted by on Jan 16, 2017 in Bidding Wars, Jim's Take on the Market, Market Buzz, Thinking of Buying?, Thinking of Selling?, Why You Should Hire Jim as your Buyer's Agent, Why You Should List With Jim | 2 comments

Buying A Home

Food for thought – he doesn’t get into the benefits of raising kids in the same home, which probably warrants a paragraph or two – see comment section too:

http://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/06/opinion/the-home-buying-decision.html

I’ve been thinking about the big decisions in life: How do people choose careers, colleges, spouses and towns. Of those decisions, buying a home ranks with the most difficult.

It is difficult emotionally. Like a lot of the biggest decisions, it is more emotional than coldly rational. People generally don’t select a house; they fall in love with it.

Part of that falling-in-love process is aesthetic: the sense you get within 10 seconds of walking into a place that it just feels happy and right. Part is aspirational: When people fall in love with a house, they aren’t really falling in love with the walls and the roof; they are falling in love with a beautiful vision of their future lives.

Read full article here:

http://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/06/opinion/the-home-buying-decision.html

Posted by on Jan 8, 2017 in Jim's Take on the Market, Market Conditions, Thinking of Buying? | 2 comments

2017 Market Conditions


Our Carmel Valley sale closed yesterday, with two notable lessons for me.

Note #1 – We had seven offers, but couldn’t get anyone to pay 1% over list – the list price was $729,000, and it closed for $735,000.  Usually when there are multiple offers, one or two of them will break out and pay 5% to 10% above the list price because they gotta have it.

But the willingness to pay over list was subdued.  It was probably a function of it being a two-bedroom, 1,410sf two-story home, so the demand is specific, but these are the least-expensive detached homes in Carmel Valley!

It has been the trend in the neighborhood though.  There have been 6 sales over the last six months, and they have all closed right around list price.

Note #2 – When homes are selling for a record prices, buyers expect more.

We’ve seen it all year now.  The lists of repair requests have grown longer, and more detailed – and buyers are checking to make sure the work was done to their satisfaction.

Yesterday, I was over there installing a new door knob myself!

In our hot seller’s market, listing agents were able to blow off any buyer requests, and the deal closed anyway.  Not any more.

We’ll see the same in 2017 – buyers are going to be more reluctant on price, and they will expect a house in better condition.

Get Good Help!

Posted by on Dec 23, 2016 in Jim's Take on the Market, Listing Agent Practices, Thinking of Buying?, Thinking of Selling?, Why You Should List With Jim | 8 comments

Wait-And-See in 2017?

It’s easy for me to say our local real estate market should get off to a fast start.

It’s what we do every year!

Let’s theorize why the pricing pops in Spring:

  1.  Demand has been pent-up for 3-6 months; and buyers come out hungry.
  2.  Virtually all sellers come out greedy, and tack on the extra 5% or so.
  3.  But only the spectacular homes sell – those that deserve a price hike.
  4.  The inferior homes don’t sell, and clog the inventory.

You can see in the graph above that in the last two years, the cost-per-sf has jumped early.  But buyers only buy early if they see a spectacular house – it is too tempting to wait-and-see, rather than buy a fixer that’s priced retail-ish.

As the selling season matures, the inventory swells with inferior homes that don’t deserve the new pricing premium.  As buyers keep passing on anything that has been on the market for more than 30 days – figuring there must be something wrong if nobody else bought them – the demand intensifies around each of the occasional creampuffs that come to market

Home Sellers

Creampuffs – You can sell your well-appointed, attractively-priced home for a premium all year round. But this year, waiting until summer didn’t get you any more money than you could have gotten in April, according to the graph above.  The San Diego Case-Shiller Index has risen only a cumulative 1.3% over the last five months, reflecting sales data back to March.

Inferiors – Those selling homes with partial or no remodeling/upgrading, bad locations, hard-to-show, or listed with bad agents will face increasing competition as time goes on – and they’ll be piling up by May-June.  Most importantly, the pricing will be more suspect the longer that yours and others are lingering unsold.  List early, and get it done.

Home Buyers

Creampuffs – Buy early.  The competition for the well-appointed, attractively-priced homes will increase as the season rolls on.

Inferiors – Buy late.  Hope that fixer pricing is crushed by supply overload.

It will probably get harder to tell the difference between the creampuffs and inferiors as the selling commotion starts rumbling down the road.

Get Good Help!

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Posted by on Dec 10, 2016 in Jim's Take on the Market, Thinking of Buying?, Thinking of Selling?, Why You Should Hire Jim as your Buyer's Agent, Why You Should List With Jim | 2 comments