https://journal.firsttuesday.us/san-diego-housing-indicators-2/29246/ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The last paragraph (above) might be the worst misread in the history of forecasting. I'm not sure why they are sticking with it. Mortgage servicers...
Sales and Price Check
NSDCC Monthly Listings & Sales
The Covid Frenzy has had remarkable shift in market efficiency like we have never seen. Historically, we have had so many listings that 35% to 40% of them didn't sell. This year we had 977 listings hit the market in 1Q21, and 80% of them have already closed escrow! ...
Home Sales and Pricing by County
Click on your county (not on the dot) for the stats: https://public.flourish.studio/visualisation/6495426/
NSDCC May Listings & Sales
We're still waiting for that flood of inventory! NSDCC May Listings and Sales Year # of Listings Median LP # Sales Median SP Avg. $/sf Median $/sf 2017 507 $1,370,000 345 $1,200,000 $525/sf $418/sf 2018 522 $1,399,450 273 $1,325,000 $592/sf $480/sf 2019 502 $1,450,000...
Median Sales Price vs. “Home Prices”
Hey Jim - did you say home prices went up 9% in one month? No, the NSDCC median sales price went up 9%, and there's a difference. Here's a look at the mix of homes between La Jolla and Carlsbad that sold in their respective months: Month, Year Total # of Sales Avg SF...
Prime Mid-Range
For us data geeks, here are some raw numbers to ponder. Between La Jolla and Carlsbad, there are three prime zip codes - 92009 (SE Carlsbad), 92024 (Encinitas), and 92130 (Carmel Valley) - that are the dominant target zones for buyers of the mid-range home (which...
Home Price Growth
Even though San Diego is the highest-priced metro on the list, I think we are prime for upward movement. Those metros who have -40% or worse on their YoY inventory won't have enough sales to keep the price momentum going much longer. We have the right mix of -22%...
NSDCC Monthly Sales
The NSDCC inventory has been a perfect match for the heightened demand of 2021. With roughly 20% fewer homes for sale, the scarcity has energized buyers to grab anything that's close to being a good match - while the pickier buyers wait patiently. This month's...
30% Appreciation in 2021?
Our seasonally-adjusted Case-Shiller Index rose more in one month than any other U.S. metro area! The increase in the three-month annual percentage was nearly 22%, and it doesn't include March and April which have been hotter. The San Diego index was still positive...
Hope For More Inventory?
Zillow is optimistic that we will see more homes being listed for sale: In prior years, inventory has generally increased in March, and the return to some seasonal normality is a positive sign that the market is reaching a more steady state and could see inventory...