The tariff talk is settling down, the stock market looks fully recovered, we got a new pope, and the President is getting a new airplane. Can we get back to selling homes now? Usually we consider a 'healthy' market to have a ratio of 2:1 actives-to-pendings. Above is...
North County Coastal
NSDCC 2025 First Third
Let's compare the year-to-date action to last year! The sub-markets in green are holding up nicely. The additional listings coming to market are being absorbed, and the current number of active listings are around 4 months' worth or less. Rancho Santa Fe is a good...
NSDCC Monthly Sales
Today, let's judge our market purely by the number of sales. Sales are the precursor of where the market is going. NSDCC Monthly Sales, Jan 1 - Apr 30 2024: 570 2025: 578 There have been 166 closings this month so far, and with one day to go plus the late-reporters,...
NSDCC Sales & Pricing YoY
The NSDCC sales and pricing looks a lot like it did last year, which is the definition of Flat City. It gives us some assurance that the market is steady, at least in the rear-view mirror. But let's break it down into the individual areas to see if there are any...

NSDCC Below & Above $3,000,000
A reader asked to split the market at $3,000,000 and take a look around. They made a good point. All that matters is what's happening in your neighborhood of interest. Analyzing larger samples can only give us suspicious facts. I keep saying how another 15% to 20%...

Frenzy Monitor
Frenzy may not sound applicable these days.....but look at La Jolla getting off to a hot start and leading the pack with 38 pendings, just like last year! The 92067 is angling towards their pre-covid standard with a 9:1 ratio of actives-to-pendings. Our normal gauge...
Stale Factor
I think most agents would agree that once their new listing has been on the open market - and unsold - for two weeks, the action dies down considerably. Then the showings, if any, become vague and laborious because all of the motivated buyers have already seen it and...
List-Price Accuracy Gauge
It's never been so important for home sellers to be bold and decisive when selling their house. Buyers are waiting patiently for new listings, and they will immediately jump at anything that looks great and is priced attractively - take advantage! There have been 155...
NSDCC Sales, First Two Months
I think we can say that 2025 is looking a lot like 2024 so far! We have 15% to 25% more active listings now, but buyers are picking out the creampuffs and ignoring the rest. The pile of unsolds should be growing every month, but maybe buyers just forget about them...

NSDCC Annual Inventory & Pricing
Thanks for the comments this week! For some historical perspective, let's review the recent change in inventory. Bill Clinton signed the new law in 1997 that allowed sellers to take up to $500,000 in tax-free profits, and it set off a local moving spree that lasted...