John is talking about builders here but I couldn’t pass up his mention of last January and February being sensational, and then fizzling out. If rates start climbing again (and it was a bad week – see above), we could have a surge of new listings colliding with rising...
To demonstrate further how the momentum is building, let's look at SE Carlsbad. 4th Quarter SFR Closed Sales Between $2,000,000 and $3,000,000 in the 92009: 2023: 9 2024: 23 The optimism coming off the election helped, because ALL of these went pending since November...
As usual, the pricing forecasts for next year are varied. How do we know what to expect? The average and the median is +3.55%. Two entities picked +2.3%. Just go with the highest at +10.8%? Moody's, the leader of the Doom Squad, just couldn't say flat. They had to go...
Realtor.com, owned by News Corporation, has thoughts on how Trump will affect the real estate market: On the campaign trail, Trump had blamed rising home prices on a surge of illegal immigration during the Biden administration. He also claimed that he would somehow...
Bill is one of the few bloggers still around who comments daily on housing and the economy. Read his full article at his free substack here: https://open.substack.com/pub/calculatedrisk/p/watch-months-of-supply-76b He makes an interesting comparison between June and...
The Fed came through yesterday and lowered their rate by 1/4%. It caused mortgage rates to come all the way back to....7%. This is probably as good as it will get for the next few months. The market feels fairly balanced currently, with some tilt towards a buyer's...
Most home sellers are reluctant to do much, if anything, to prepare their home for sale. The covid frenzy was very forgiving when buyers were desperate to buy anything at any price - which spoiled sellers (and agents) who were still able to sell homes for retail...
With all the talk about the presidential election being so close, some thought it could take weeks to determine the eventual winner - and only a powerful Trump victory could avert it. Standoff averted! No matter how you feel about it, another Trump presidency should...
I thought the run-up to the election would cause potential home sellers to wait it out. Wouldn't it make sense to NOT list your home in the month or two before the most contentous election in history? Certainly home sellers would have foresight and believe that buyers...
If there is a surge of inventory next year, will sales increase too? Yes, probably. There have been 6% more sales this year. Oh - but there were 15% more listings. Hmmm it sounds like not every seller gets out. We could be set up for an old-fashioned price war, where...
