LJ Flips

If you wanted any more proof that the beginning of 2013 could be a dud, take a look at these two.  It is feasible that you could make $300,000 on a flip, but when the purchase prices are available with a couple of clicks, buyers will expect that a major renovation has occurred:

Investor-Driven Market is OK

In this article, the author claims that the real estate market will tank when investors leave the market, and then at the end says,

“The only part of the market that’s busy is the low end where speculators are fighting over a few measly crumbs. The rest of the market is kaput.”

It is typical doomer prose, and is speculating on the real estate market in general.

In our coastal region the market has fared much better, and should sustain just fine, as long as mortgage rates remain ultra-low (under 5%).  We saw here that our under-$1,000,000 market is sizzling hot, and that you have to get into the $2,000,000+ market to find any sluggishness – and there aren’t many investors in that pool.

Reasons Not To Fear Investors Leaving Our Market

  1. Those who are buying-to-rent may tire of the challenges of being a landlord, but they could sell instead.  The burdens of being a landlord probably won’t out-weigh taking a loss, so they will most likely learn a bit about screening tenant applicants and property managers before dumping properties.
  2. The pure flippers are making a killing now, and will continue to soak up anything under $500,000, put some lipstick on it, and resell.  Lower-end buyers don’t mind the spruced up inventory either, and their interest rises with the frustration of losing several bidding wars.
  3. If investors check out, then the owner-occupants with low-money-down will gladly step up – they get blown out in today’s bidding wars.  Nobody on the buyer side would mind if the bidding wars dwindle – which are happening on every decent listing under $500,000.
  4. The mom-and-pop investors would mind getting back into the flipping business, which unfortunately is now dominated with the large investor conglomerates who can purchase several properties per week – and would probably buy more if there were more available.

The casual observers in the media will continue to look for every reason to bash real estate, and look like a hero.  But they need to walk a mile in the shoes of those trying to buy a house around here, and see how competitive it really is.

L.A. Flipping Gone Wild

When it comes to flipping a 10,000-square-foot mansion on a prime piece of Santa Monica real estate, a simple open house with hors d’oeuvres and soothing background music has apparently become blase.

In what city staff calls “a new kind of commercial activity for Santa Monica,” the designer who purchased a golf-course adjacent property has re-purposed it for parties and formed the House of Rock LLC to help market the estate.

Since hundreds of guests started streaming in and out of the home in September, residents on affluent La Mesa Drive have complained about everything from noise and lights, to traffic congestion and safety — and even naked partygoers sleeping off a long night in their cars.

PHOTOS: The House of Rock in Santa Monica

On Tuesday, the City Council will decide whether to pass an emergency ordinance that could bar such festivities.

“These are the kinds of events that take place in a hotel ballroom, not in a single-family home,” said Christopher Harding, a Santa Monica attorney representing two neighbors. “The disruption factor has been pretty extraordinary. This is a commercial-events venue that is operating on a quiet neighborhood street.”

(more…)

“Won’t Last Long”

When you read in a listing, “Hurry, this won’t last long” and “Priced below market for quick sale. Reviewing offers 10/15/12”, does it make you want to hurry on over, or forget all about it? Though this agent is a nice guy, this verbiage will make most buyers want to throw him in the huckster bin.

Ranch Close

This flipper closed 85 sales last year, at average sales price of $330,441.

He, like others, are moving up the food chain.

This year he’s closed 33 sales, but at an average of $475,190 – a 44% increase!

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