Neighbor Check

Here’s a new service for those within the San Diego city limits – you can check for permits/complaints/violations online:

http://www.sandiego.gov/development-services/opendsd/

The scope of the data published exceeds that of any other city. The breadth of the release is intended to cover land development permit application, issuance, inspection, and completion. A variety of information including timelines, scope, decisions, and costs will all be provided online. In addition, Code Enforcement case activity is also provided. This data includes permit information dating back to 2003 as well as code enforcement cases since 2011. Personal identifying information such as phone numbers about individuals doing business with the City is not provided.

chicken coup

Realtor Goals

The convention is complete, NewsCorp has purchased Move Inc./realtor.com, and we have a new president!  Chris has been on the Board of Directors since 2002, participated on several national committees, and is still an active agent too.  He’s been waiting and planning for this moment for years – here are the goals for his presidency:

SD Case-Shiller Index, Sept. ’14

sep 14

We’ve doubled the number of negative readings of the local Case-Shiller Index, and they are picking up steam!

But seriously, any monthly change of less than 1% just means prices are stagnant, and in San Diego it’s been like that since the April reading.  If prices were flat during the prime selling season, we’re probably fortunate that they’ve held up this long.

Economist Robert Shiller told CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street” the reading was not exciting, and he noted that the winter season is historically slow for home sales.  ”We haven’t expected exciting growth for a while, but it does look like seasonally adjusted home prices are still growing,” he said.

These are the Case-Shiller Index NSA changes below for San Diego:

Month
M-O-M
Y-O-Y
Jan ’13
-1.0%
+9.8%
Feb ’13
+1.0%
+10.2%
March ’13
+2.0%
+12.1%
April ’13
+2.8%
+14.7%
May ’13
+3.2%
+17.3%
June ’13
+2.8%
+19.3%
July ’13
+2.0%
+20.4%
August ’13
+1.8%
+21.5%
September ’13
+0.9%
+20.9%
October ’13
+0.3%
+19.7%
November ’13
+0.0%
+18.7%
December ’13
-0.1%
+18.0%
January ’14
+0.6%
+19.4%
February ’14
+1.0%
+19.9%
March ’14
+1.3%
+18.9%
April ’14
+0.8%
+15.3%
May ’14
+0.5%
+12.4%
June ’14
+0.68%
+10.2%
July ’14
+0.34%
+8.3%
August ’14
-0.08%
+6.2%
September ’14
-0.13%
+5.1%

Higher-End Surge

surge

Hat tip to daytrip for sending in this latimes.com article about the surge of high-end home sales across the Southland:

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-luxury-home-sales-20141124-story.html#page=1

An excerpt:

Luxury home sales in Southern California are hitting levels not seen in decades. The number of homes bought for $2 million or more in recent months is the highest on record. Sales worth $10 million or more are on pace this year to double their number from the heights of the housing bubble.

“It’s pretty mind-blowing, to be honest,” said Cindy Ambuehl, an agent with the Partners Trust in Brentwood. “The luxury market has been completely on fire.”

Low interest rates, a strong stock market and waves of cash sloshing in from overseas are boosting demand for high-dollar homes. A record 1,436 homes worth $2 million or more were sold in the six-county Southland in the second quarter, according to CoreLogic DataQuick.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

How are we doing locally?  It’s worth noting that the supply of higher-end homes has been surging too (assuming the ‘refreshing’ of listings has been fairly constant over the years).

Below you can see how the market has been shifting upward:

NSDCC Detached Homes Listed/Sold By Price Range

Year
0-$1M
$1M-$2M
$2M-$3M
$3M+
2011 New Listings/Solds
3,028/1,663
1,446/674
447/154
410/93
2012 New Listings/Solds
2,362/2,039
1,313/819
404/194
415/133
2013 New Listings/Solds
2,140/1,750
1,713/1,074
560/259
514/168
2014 New Listings/Solds
1,791/1,263
1,723/938
539/218
538/161

These are 12-month stats so you need to extrapolate to compare 2014 accurately (add about 10% to these current counts). You can see how the Under-$1M folks have been left shaking their head – they have about a third fewer homes to consider since 2011!

Inventory Watch – Flat YoY

This is the 52nd week of logging the inventory under this format, so you can reflect back to a year ago and compare how we’re doing. Today’s numbers are similar to 2013 – here is a summary of the late-November comparison:

Nov 2013/2014
Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
DOM
Avg SF
UNDER-$800,000
95/122
$376/$373
47/46
1,988sf/2,007sf
$800,000-$1.4M
245/256
$448/$431
61/69
2,856sf/2,948sf
$1.4M – $2.4M
227/234
$580/$583
81/97
3,682sf/3,646sf
OVER-$2.4M
340/348
$1,040/$1,010
159/156
6,347sf/6,277sf

At least those who haven’t bought yet can say they didn’t lose any ground in 2014. Expect their resolve to stand firm in 2015.

The UNDER-$800,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
DOM
Avg SF
November 25
95
$376/sf
47
1,988sf
December 2
79
$371/sf
50
2,047sf
December 9
72
$383/sf
43
1,954sf
December 16
81
$378/sf
42
1,948sf
December 23
77
$374/sf
49
1,937sf
December 30
76
$373/sf
51
1,950sf
January 6
74
$370/sf
49
1,995sf
January 13
71
$381/sf
44
1,921sf
January 20
72
$384/sf
41
1,877sf
January 27
75
$399/sf
40
1,891sf
February 3
78
$409/sf
41
1,876sf
February 10
82
$395/sf
38
1,927sf
February 17
85
$387/sf
35
1,929sf
February 24
90
$383/sf
37
2,008sf
March 3
82
$397/sf
39
1,942sf
March 10
88
$377/sf
37
2,008sf
March 17
89
$366/sf
34
2,038sf
March 24
79
$369/sf
34
2,031sf
March 31
78
$367/sf
39
2,069sf
April 7
87
$373/sf
32
2,054sf
April 14
97
$380/sf
31
2,000sf
April 21
87
$377/sf
32
2,062sf
April 28
107
$379/sf
29
2,044sf
May 5
114
$376/sf
27
2,046sf
May 12
108
$385/sf
31
2,012sf
May 19
107
$385/sf
0
0sf
May 26
105
$375/sf
34
0sf
Jun 2
102
$376/sf
36
0sf
Jun 9
102
$377/sf
37
0sf
Jun 16
104
$369/sf
35
0sf
Jun 23
111
$380/sf
34
0sf
Jun 30
119
$376/sf
36
0sf
Jul 7
122
$387/sf
36
0sf
Jul 14
127
$388/sf
34
0sf
Jul 21
135
$381/sf
36
0sf
Jul 28
144
$382/sf
37
0sf
Aug 4
148
$379/sf
39
0sf
Aug 11
135
$375/sf
42
0sf
Aug 25
135
$374/sf
43
0sf
Sep 1
126
$377/sf
46
0sf
Sep 8
130
$375/sf
46
0sf
Sep 15
134
$369/sf
45
0sf
Sep 22
127
$376/sf
49
0sf
Sep 29
132
$378/sf
48
0sf
Oct 6
130
$367/sf
48
0sf
Oct 13
131
$378/sf
44
0sf
Oct 20
130
$385/sf
45
0sf
Oct 27
128
$375/sf
48
0sf
Nov 3
128
$371/sf
49
0sf
Nov 10
126
$366/sf
52
0sf
Nov 17
115
$367/sf
51
0sf
Nov 24
122
$373/sf
46
2,007sf

(more…)

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