The local market will wind up the year with the lowest number of annual listings ever, the fewest number of annual sales ever, the highest prices ever (the latest Case-Shiller Index released tomorrow), and we’ll enter the new year with the fewest number of active listings ever.
What’s the worst thing that could happen?
We keep sliding into the Priced-To-Sit program, where sellers are happy for the market to come up to their aspirational price. It’s a strategy that was perfected in Rancho Santa Fe, where before the pandemic the actives-to-pendings ratio ran 10:1, and sellers just waited until their day came.
I’ll never forget the one RSF listing agent who took great pride in telling me that her one-year anniversary of her listing being on the market was coming up the following week. She was proud of her endurance and willingness to hold out until the ‘right buyer’ came along.
Interestingly, it was in 2012 that we had the lowest annual number of listings, and the following year got frenzied when the number of listings popped up by seven percent. There were other contributing factors to the resurgence, and our recent history is probably the exact opposite of then (years of real estate prosperity now vs. years of doom then).
Best-case scenario?
We get a 10% surge in new listings that aren’t priced ridiculously, and buyers keep buying – causing momentum to build through the selling season and give everyone assurance that it’s going to be alright.
Hopefully the hubbub about realtors’ pay will cause consumers to investigate agents more thoroughly, which I’ve been encouraging for a while. Here’s one of my blog posts from 2009 – check the comment section too:
by Jim the Realtor | Jul 24, 2009 | Thinking of Buying? | 34 comments
Most buyers struggle to find a quality realtor to assist them in buying a house, and it’s the realtors’ fault. The national, state, and local associations are so adamant about protecting the new agents and giving everyone an equal chance, that they provide no help whatsoever to the general public.
Their message? When trying to find good help, you’re on your own.
So how do you get what you need?
Everyone tells you to ask around, get referrals from friends, go to open houses, go with a big company, go with a small company, new agent, old agent, kickbacks, etc., that it probably doesn’t matter where you get a realtor, what matters is how to evaluate them.
Here are my things to look for when evaluating a realtor’s ability to help you buy a house:
1. ASK ABOUT THEIR RECENT TRACK RECORD OF SALES – Let’s cut to the chase, shall we?
Has the agent been able to successfully guide others to the finish line this year? The best answer is 1-2 closings per month, if you want an agent who delivers personal service. Any agent who sells four or more per month is slamming people into houses, and those at zero, well let’s face it, they don’t have anything of value to add to the equation. Get a testimonial from a past client, and/or at look at the sales they’ve done and judge them to see if they were good deals. (I’ve assisted 10 buyers with closing their sale this year).
These current market conditions are unlike any seen before. If your agent has been closing some buyer transactions this year, they must have something of value to share. Here’s what to look for:
2. ASK THEM, “WHAT/WHERE ARE TODAY’S HOT BUYS? How they answer that will tell you just about everything you need to know. If they give you a smart-aleck answer, they probably aren’t the right agent for you, only because they aren’t in the game. If they can name one, at least they are looking at properties, and those are agents who can provide value – ideally your buyer’s agent is previewing property every day, in person.
3. THEY SHOULD ASK YOU QUALIFYING QUESTIONS – If they jump in the car without asking questions, their time must not be too value to them, and this isn’t a business where wasting a lot of your time makes for good quality realtors.
4. THEY SHOULD KNOW ABOUT FINANCING – I guess it’s alright if they just hook you up with their lender to get pre-qualified, but if they can ask/answer the qualifying questions themselves, it might help when it comes time to structure an offer.
5. HAVE THEM SHOW YOU SOME HOUSES – Go in their car, and if they don’t need a map to get around, you’ve found an experienced veteran. It’s not guaranteed that they can help, nor is it required, but it’s a good indicator. If they are pointing out specific sales/listings along the way (theirs or others), then they know the comps too, which is another great indicator.
6. EVALUATING THE PROPERTY’S CONDITION – They don’t have to be a general contractor, but they should be able to educate you about the property’s condition. If all they do is point out that “This is the living room”, they’re not going to have much to offer in terms of added value, unless you don’t know what a living room is.
7. HAVE A VENDOR’S LIST – Successful agents know professionals to call to fix stuff – the more thorough the list, the more problems they have encountered.
8. DO THEY CHARGE FOR THEIR SERVICE? – Ask about “transaction fees”, “processing fees”, or “compliance fees”. These are junk fees used to pad their bottom line, and are not required.
9. DO THEY INSIST ON HAVING YOU SIGN A BUYER-BROKER AGREEMENT? – Pass on those, unless you got married after having one conversation too.
10. “FORECLOSURE SPECIALIST” – Be very leery – we are all foreclosure specialists now. Any agent who tries to make it sound like they have some special “foreclosure ability” is blowing smoke, unless they are listing REOs and not putting them on the open market. If they don’t mind breaching their fiduciary duty to their bank-seller, they’ll sell you down the river in a heartbeat.
11. SHORT SALES – I personally see 2-3 short sales every day that have already found their buyer before MLS input, and it is VERY frustrating. These agents don’t care about their own reputation amongst their peers, and that alone should make you wonder.
12. OFF-THE-GRID – Ask about what agents can do to find properties that aren’t on the regular websites. Any positive response would be a good indicator, and any examples of closing one would be even better.
If they can get through those questions and you still like them, you found a good agent!
NEW AGENTS – A new agent’s zeal and availability can really help buyers who don’t have the time or willingness to search for properties themselves. Want somebody to do the legwork for you? Put a new, hungry agent on it, but there may be some struggle clinching the deal if there are competing offers.
OUT-OF-COUNTY AGENTS – You’ll be doing all the work yourself, so your own proficiency in being a realtor needs to be up to par.
RELATIVES – Many deals crash and burn, and hearts are broken over houses. Want a relative to help you? Make sure that you’ll accept never wanting to talk to them if they cost you the right house, at the right price.
“GREAT TIME TO BUY” – If you hear that catchy phrase, just walk away.
The inventory of quality homes at good prices is EXTREMELY LOW, causing the buying experience to be full of frustration and disappointment. You can look for weeks or months without seeing anything attractive, so I don’t know why any agent would call that a great time.
REALTOR TEAMS – No problem, but don’t interview the big dog and then get passed off to the assistant without asking the same questions. You want to be clear about who is helping you, and what you can count on. In my case, I may have Richard or another KR realtor help me on occasion, but I’m still the main person in charge, and am responsible for your success.
This guy is a former Compass agent who now makes a living from doing video tours of homes for sale. It kind of sounds like what I do, but he has 3.5 million subscribers and this video has over 4.6 million views!
The sale did close for $22,500,000 in April, and the buyer was the owner of the Super Star Car Washes which you see all around town:
The Doobie Brothers wrote a new song about Maui, and included Mick Fleetwood, Jake Shimabukuro, and Henry Kapono on this epic video that includes footage before and after the fire. Mick Fleetwood has lived in Maui for decades, and owns the well-known restaurant named Fleetwood’s which was lost in the fire.
This is my grandmother’s recipe that Kayla has been touting regularly. If you don’t make it for Thanksgiving, consider it for Christmas – because it is fantastic. (Kathy is my sister)
One more blog post about the coming changes to the realtor environment.
Regardless of how the commission lawsuits are resolved, there will be a push – and possibly a mandate – for buyers to pay their agent directly. Agents will want buyers to sign an agreement to that effect.
Above is a copy of the verbiage on page one of the standard agreement.
If a buyer agrees and signs this form, and then finds a home on his own, he can ‘cancel this agreement by giving written notice to the other’. But only as long as THE BOXES CIRCLED IN RED AREN’T CHECKED.
Will buyers read the agreement before signing, and be reluctant to check the two boxes?
Otherwise the form is reasonable, with the agent being covered for any properties they recommend to the buyer with analysis (paragraph B1).
All that matters is whether the agent will insist on the two red-circled boxes being checked. I think a buyer will pause at agreeing to exclusive representation, but non-exclusive should be acceptable.
I doubt that I’ll use the form at all, unless Compass requires it. Why bother if you can cancel any time?
What a great day! Delivering pies and talking real estate – what a privilege!
Talking points you might hear over Thanksgiving dinner.
– It’s too unaffordable. Prices have to adjust.
There will be the occasional seller who gets caught in a pinch and has to sell that day – and might take a 10% to 20% discount. All you have to do is be there on that day. It is why you have a realtor!
But will it be a superior home on a premium lot? Highly unlikely – those owners know what they got.
Buyers need to decide: Are you a lowballer, or are you trying to buy a high-quality property? It’s either/or.
Bottome line: Prices may adjust downward on the inferior properties. Take your chances.
– There seems to be more homes for sale – is it the big slowdown?
As time goes on and the market gets tighter, it will be natural for sellers to price too high and cause inventory to grow. It’s easier than ever to overprice and miss the market! What to do?
Spruce up the home and price attractively, which is about where the comps are….and not 5% to 10% higher.
Tip: Lately the local prices have been going up about 0.5% per month. But once a home is on the open market, the buyer expectations drop about 1% per week on price.
Once as home has been on the market for 2-3 weeks, there might be some negotiations on price!
– Are commissions negotiable now?
Yes, absolutely and agents who are desperate and have no skills will be happy to represent you for 1% or less. It’s a ripoff. Find an agent who will produce beyond expectations. The best thing to come out of these lawsuits is that consumers will investigate agents more thoroughly!
Get Good Help!
If it gets hot, just call me. I’m happy to talk to people on the phone!
A hearty thank you to all our supporters of Mama’s Kitchen! Our 160 pies is a new record for us, and today is delivery day so all of us are coming your way with pies!
This is our fifth year selling Mama’s Pies, which is their biggest fund-raiser.
Mama’s Pies is San Diego’s largest annual bake sale benefiting Mama’s Kitchen. Local bakers, restaurants and caterers donate fresh-baked pies to our organization, which in turn our volunteers sell to their friends, families, and co-workers.
Each pie sold allows Mama’s Kitchen to cook, prepare and deliver 12 meals to homebound individuals vulnerable to malnutrition due to HIV, cancer, heart disease, type 2 diabetes or chronic kidney disease. Together with hundreds of volunteers, businesses, and community supporters, Mama’s Kitchen strives to help our clients stay healthy, preserve their dignity, and keep their families together by providing, medically tailored home-delivered meals and nutrition education – all at no cost.
The pies have sold out, but if you’d like to donate, click here:
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We sold a home with Jim and Donna and from beginning to end they were consummate professionals. Their initial walk through the property resulted in a list of items to be repaired or updated. They supplied a list of vendors and job quotes to do the repairs and updates. We originally wanted to sell ‘as is’ and just get it over with. They gave us a selling price for ‘as is’ and options for doing a few updates/repairs to doing it all with the selling price for each option. We agreed to do all they suggested and we sold for the exact price they predicted. For every dollar spent we got back more than $2 back in the selling price. And they got that price in a rising interest rate environment! Donna and Jim are extremely detailed and guide you through ever aspect of the sale. There were no surprises thanks to their guidance. We couldn’t be more pleased with their representation.
Thank you Donna and Jim,
Jerry and Mary
Heather Quejada
March 27, 2025
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We have known Jim & Donna Klinge for over a dozen years, having met them in Carlsbad where our children went to the same school. As long time North County residents, it was a no- brainer for us to have the Klinges be our eyes and ears for San Diego real estate in general and North County in particular. As my military career caused our family to move all over the country and overseas to Asia, Europe and the Pacific, we trusted Jim and Donna to help keep our house in Carlsbad rented with reliable and respectful tenants for over 10 years.
Naturally, when the time came to sell our beloved Carlsbad home to pursue a rural lifestyle in retirement out of California, we could think of no better team to represent us than Jim and Donna. They immediately went to work to update our house built in 2004 to current-day standards and trends — in 2 short months they transformed it into a literal modern-day masterpiece. We trusted their judgement implicitly and followed 100% of their recommended changes. When our house finally came on the market, there was a blizzard of serious interest, we had multiple offers by the third day and it sold in just 5 days after a frenzied bidding war for 20% above our asking price! The investment we made in upgrades recommended by Jim and Donna yielded a 4-fold return, in the process setting a new high water mark for a house sold in our community.
In our view, there are no better real estate professionals in all of San Diego than Jim and Donna Klinge. Buying or selling, you must run and beg Jim and Donna Klinge to represent you! Our family will never forget Jim, Donna, and their whole team at Compass — we are forever grateful to them.
Lou F
March 27, 2025
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WeI had the pleasure of working with Klinge Realty Group to sell our home in Carmel Valley, and I cannot recommend them highly enough!
Jim and Donna demonstrated exceptional professionalism, offering expert guidance on market conditions and pricing strategy, which resulted in a quick and successful sale.
Communication was prompt and we were well-informed throughout the entire process.
For anyone looking for a dedicated and knowledgeable real estate team, look no further!
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William Sams
March 25, 2025
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Donna and Jim Klinge of Klinge Realty Group have our highest possible recommendation. From Donna and Jim’s first visit to our house through closing their advice and counsel was candid and honest in all dealings. They kept us fully informed throughout the process. The house sold less than three days after listing with a two-week closing. My wife and I have sold several houses during our lives. This was by far the best experience. Klinge Reality is a premium service realtor. You can’t make a better choice for someone to sell your home fast and for top dollar.
Emily Hernandez
December 29, 2024
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Donna and Jim provided exceptional support and professionalism throughout the entire process. We couldn't have been happier with their efforts. They made our house shine, and thanks to their expertise, it sold above the listing price in the very first weekend! Truly a fantastic experience from start to finish.
Jesus Adrian Sahagun
November 11, 2024
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This year has been difficult on our family, mainly due to having to sell our home. Thankfully we knew God had a plan for us and working with the Klinge team was a key part of it. It was an obvious decision to work with them again after such an amazing experience when purchasing the same home we needed to sell. The challenge was, how will we do this in so little time with so much going on? Jim and Donna held our hand every step of the way. Whenever an unexpected issue arose they found and provided a solution. Never once did we feel pressured to make a decision and the Klinges were always reassuring after providing the information that the decision was ours to make. Despite the curve balls, they never panicked and exemplified the “can do” attitude, making us feel optimistic and taken care of. Their expertise and professionalism was superb. But of all the reasons to work with the Klinges, the most impactful and valuable is their compassion and genuine care for their clients. We pray that we can one day purchase our forever home and you better believe that Jim and Donna will be representing us - as long as they will have us of course. Thank you again Klinge team! Your execution, experience, and care are unmatched.
SABIHA PASHA
July 23, 2024
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Jim and Donna were fantastic! Jim understanding my needs, recommending potential places, pointing out the pros and cons of each property was invaluable. Then when the offer was accepted Donna’s organized guidance through the inspections, paperwork etc made the whole process seem effortless.
So grateful that I had them on my side!
Anu Koberg
July 13, 2024
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We first found Jim through his blog at bubbleinfo.com, which really showcased his knowledge of SoCal real estate. Since then we've done three transactions with Jim and Donna, and they are an incredible full service agency, with Jim's deep market insight and Donna's deft contract and project management. We trust them implicitly in their analysis and strategy, which is based on years of experience. They're always available and on top of things, and we strongly recommend them to anyone.
Bjorn Isachsen
July 10, 2024
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The Good
The Klinge Realty Group operates like a finely tuned machine, with a very personal touch. We contacted them on a Sunday and they were talking to us about our family and our needs on our living room couch the following day. They carefully listened to us and worked with us to identify the best and quickest path to listing within 2 weeks to take advantage of the low inventory conditions in our South Carlsbad neighborhood. They knew our tract specifically and had many previous sales there over the years - they came prepared with a thorough analysis of comparative sales and recommended a pricing strategy that they felt confident would yield offers the first weekend on the market.
The Great
Over the next two weeks Donna coordinated a range of vendors who she knew from experience could get the preparation to list work we needed done on time and with high quality. Our light tune-up involved excellent experiences with their stagers, landscapers, contractors, electricians, and plumbers. Throughout this period Donna's daily communication was clear, concise, and responsive. Any time we had questions Donna picked up the phone or texted immediately - but almost always, she answered our questions before we even knew we had them.
The Outstanding
We had a tricky situation with a shared fence that could have delayed our escrow. Donna used superb mediation skills to negotiate the terms of replacement and was personally on site with the fence contractor to make sure everything went smoothly. The fence looks great and escrow closed on time.
The Truly Exceptional
Our house came on the market on a Wednesday and between then and Monday morning Jim was personally at all three open houses. He was in constant communication explaining potential buyer reaction and strength. As he predicted offers began to come in on Saturday and each one was incrementally higher than the last. At the end we had 5 offers, 4 of which were over list, and the final accepted offer was $100,000 over list. In addition to being over list it included rent back terms that met our needs.
The Recommendation
For all of these reasons we would strongly recommend The Klinge Team to anyone wanting to sell in North County Coastal San Diego. I had been reading Jim's bubbleinfo.com blog for 15 years and knew when the time came to sell that he would be our first call. Jim Klinge is not your standard realtor. He is keenly aware of market conditions and sales strategies. And, works his tail off - though not as hard as Donna . At this point he's gone from realtor to friend and I plan to have him over to grill and chill at our new place to talk real estate, but also just about life and raising kids in San Diego. He's more interested in relationships than his sales numbers - and that's why his sales numbers are so high. We have already recommended the Klinge's to some close friends and another successful sale is on deck right around the corner...
Chris Shea
June 21, 2024
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We recently had the pleasure of working with Jim and Donna from Klinge Realty Group to sell our house, and we couldn't be more satisfied with the experience. From the initial meeting, they listened attentively to our needs and provided invaluable guidance on specific improvements to get our home market ready.
Their responsiveness throughout the entire process was truly impressive. Anytime we had questions or concerns, they were quick to address them, ensuring we felt comfortable and informed every step of the way. What stood out the most was their team and extensive network of tradespeople, which made addressing any necessary repairs or updates seamless and stress-free.
Thanks to their expertise and dedication, our house sold quickly and at a great price. We highly recommend Jim and Donna to anyone looking to buy or sell a home. They are a fantastic team who truly care about their clients and deliver exceptional results.