The ivory-tower opinion below is blaming speculators for a mini-bubble, but around here I'd say that over 90% of the home sales were regular, organic real estate transactions in 2013. Prices may fall in the coming months (slightly), and if they do, it will be because...
Same-House Sales
SD Case-Shiller Index, Oct. ’14
The San Diego Case-Shiller Index declined for the third consecutive month, but the rate of change is so small that even David Blitzer called San Diego, 'flat'. Here are the non-seasonally-adjusted readings for 2014: Month San Diego NSA Case-Shiller Index Jan 194.94...
SD Case-Shiller Index, Sept. ’14
We've doubled the number of negative readings of the local Case-Shiller Index, and they are picking up steam! But seriously, any monthly change of less than 1% just means prices are stagnant, and in San Diego it's been like that since the April reading. If prices...
SD Case-Shiller Tiered
We saw this week that the local seasonally-adjusted Case-Shiller Index has been trending negative since April. Here we see how the recent gains have been driven by the lower-end properties: The difference could simply be a percentage thing - a home's value that goes...
Another Look at SD Case-Shiller Index
The folks at Case-Shiller used to publish both the seasonally-adjusted, and non-seasonally-adjusted numbers, but lately they have just gone with the non-seasonally-adjusted only. The non-seasonally-adjusted index just posted its first month-over-month decline, but...
SD Case-Shiller Index, Aug 2014
We've gone negative! The Case-Shiller Index for San Diego declined 0.08% in August from the previous month. The sound bites won't mention that we're still up +5.07% year-to-date, which is a good eight-month run historically. Instead, buyers will be more inclined to...
SD Case-Shiller Index, July 2014
The San Diego Case-Shiller Index continues its ride to flatsville, with the July reading rising a scant 0.34% month-over-month. The year-over-year comparison dipped into single digits too, rising 8.27%, which still sounds positive to me. But the deceleration is in,...
Case-Shiller Compared to Peak
Nick at the WSJ showed how the Case-Shiller Index increases are slowing, though it is worth pointing out that the index is still rising. I don't think prices are rising much if at all, but the index is rising:...
Collapse Recount
From Bloomberg.com: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-03/case-shiller-retrofit-shows-less-severe-u-s-home-price-slump.html The collapse in U.S. home prices that stoked the worst recession since the Great Depression wasn’t quite as severe as initially estimated,...
SD Case-Shiller, June 2014
The increases in the local Case-Shiller index have slowed, and we're no longer in that sexy 1% to 3% per month frenzy era of 2013. But it's still increasing monthly - it would take a few negative readings to get anyone's attention now. P.S. Today's reading is 41%...