Forecasts

Mid-Year Forecast

Our national real estate cheerleader at NAR, Lawrence Yun, has published his mid-year forecast. His original forecast for the 2025 Median Home Price was 2% originally, so his downgrade has cut it in half. I don't mind him having a revision, but doesn't his 2026 sound...

read more

Pricing Estimates

The market has changed significantly and buyers have gained considerable negotiating power. Those who take advantage of it will likely earn a decent discount for the remainder of 2025. But how much discount? And where is it going over the next few years? Surely, we...

read more

Half-Year Report

I asked a few local real estate professionals what they thought about the current market conditions, and where the market might be going. The two big title companies, First American and Fidelity (which insures 13-15 other title companies) said that the year-over-year...

read more

Flat For Awhile

JB is predicting that the local appreciation will be positive for the next few years, though not by much. Zillow thinks the same thing, and if it bounces around in a tight range for the next 3-5 years, it probably won't surprise many. It means there won't be much, if...

read more

San Diego Forecast

Hunch: 'Rebalancing' might take longer than expected. Executive Summary San Diego housing market exhibits a pronounced -2.38% YoY price decline with 3,245 unit surplus inventory, creating a buyer-favorable landscape with 29.6% of listings showing price cuts (+50.3%...

read more

Zillow 2025 Forecast

Rates are in the spotlight again as 2025 approaches. That short-lived dip to two-year lows prompted renewed optimism for home buyers and bumped sales volume, then the rebound in October brought a reminder of unpredictability. Rates are likely to remain volatile...

read more

JB 2025 Forecast

John is talking about builders here but I couldn’t pass up his mention of last January and February being sensational, and then fizzling out. If rates start climbing again (and it was a bad week – see above), we could have a surge of new listings colliding with rising...

read more

Pin It on Pinterest