Written by Jim the Realtor

October 30, 2020

The boomer sales spree is inevitable, it’s just a matter of when.  But if it’s a slow methodical process over the next two decades, will we even notice? Let’s say the 100,112 homes turn over in the next 25 years (and only 1/3 are inherited by the kids), we’d average 223 more sales per month.  There were 3,827 residential sales in the county in September. Results may vary!

Homeownership has long been considered part of the American dream. But first-time homebuyers — especially millennials and Gen Xers — are facing an uphill battle when it comes to house hunting.

This is in part because of a growing trend in which baby boomers, the generation that owns the largest share of American homes, are planning to stay put. In fact, a 2018 survey conducted by AARP found that 76 percent of Americans over the age of 50 would prefer to remain in their current home — rather than move in with family, to a nursing home, or to an assisted living facility. That is leading to less inventory for new buyers.

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the share of homeowners over the age of 55 has been steadily increasing. In 2008, at the onset of the Great Recession, Americans over the age of 55 owned 44.3 percent of homes. By 2019, that percentage had increased to 53.8 percent. While the share of homeowners under the age of 35 remained fairly steady within the same time span, the share of homeowners between the ages of 35 and 54 decreased from 42.3 percent to 34.1 percent.

While baby boomers — defined here as Americans between the ages of 55 and 74 — comprise just over 22 percent of the U.S. population, they account for nearly 42 percent of homeowners nationwide.

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4 Comments

  1. Rob_Dawg

    Prop 13, living longer, cost of moving, inheritance advantages for their kids, self driving cars. It will be a very long time before California boomers sell their houses.

  2. Booty Juice

    What he ^ said.

  3. Rob_Dawg

    JtR and I have been discussing this since ’05 (really?). Strangely despite the 200 miles we live in similar houses/neighborhoods. We have identical rocks on the fireplace even. My modest California rambling ranch has a 4″ lip at the front door stoop and the mandated step into the attached garage. Beyond that, even the floor seams are reduced to less than a threshold. Wide doors, single story, smooth flooring, easy entry showers. Perfect senior living. Ours are not starter homes but the demand will be there for decades to come. People surrounding the now 29 year old cohort are more numerous than boomers. They will be looking for their age gracefully in place homes in 15 or less years. As much as our homes are similar and our lots and views, unfortunately unlike JtR, I do not have a total immersion backyard car wash. 😉

  4. Jim the Realtor

    LOL!

    Submarine practice facility!

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Jim Klinge
Klinge Realty Group

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