They expect another 200,000 homes to be built in SD County? Where? MCAS Miramar?
San Diego officials are expecting an end to the region’s perpetual growth.
Driving the news: San Diego’s population is expected to peak in 2042, and then decline by about 100,000 people by 2060, according to the latest regional forecast by the San Diego Association of Governments.
- Ray Major, SANDAG’s chief economist, told the agency’s board last month this is the first regional forecast expecting a population decline.
- “Every other forecast has had huge increases, with the San Diego region growing to 4 million people by 2050 … Now we’re looking at 3.4 million.”
Why it matters: The forecast carries planning implications for major, taxpayer-funded resources like housing, transportation infrastructure, water and energy.
By the numbers: San Diego’s growth machine has been slowing for decades.
- The region grew by 1 million people from 1980 to 2000. But in the last 20 years, San Diego added half that.
- Planners now forecast just 140,000 new San Diegans over the next two decades.
- That’s when the region’s population is expected to peak. By 2060 the region is expected to have just 40,000 more people than it has today.
Between the lines: The region’s death rate is increasing, its birth rate is decreasing, and migration is flat.
- One in 10 San Diego residents were over 65 in 2000. By 2060, that’ll be one in four residents.
- That aging population will demand different government services and have different transportation and housing needs, said Cynthia Burke, SANDAG’s senior director of data science.
- “Our parks are going to need more pickleball courts and fewer play structures,” she said during the July board meeting.
Read full article here:
https://www.axios.com/local/san-diego/2023/08/14/san-diego-population-decline-forecast
The rich are getting richer…..in California!
From the end of 2019 through 2021, California added more than 116,000 millionaire taxpayers, a record for a 2-year period,more than in the previous decade combined. Residents making more than $50 million surged 158% to 3,182…..and California’s billionaires added $270 billion in wealth. (Bloomberg)
Maybe there are plans to change zoning and build more housing vertically?
Why the heck can I not build 3 or 4 stories tall on my single family home and allow more ADUs. Very frustrating were stuck on this stupid 2 story only mantra.
I bet you can even remember what I called it more than 15 years ago…
The Great Bifurcation.
You should be able to build I think and you are in most cases provided you have the required parking spots, the sewage and other utilities are sized to service them properly, otherwise the cities will turn into gridlocked dumps, visit Cairo if you want to have a look at the future of such policy, I doubt you will like it.
> “Why the heck can I not build 3 or 4 stories tall on my single family home and allow more ADUs.?”
Because; solar panel shadow, grid capacity, parking, sewer service, school fees, the cost of meeting building codes,.. The list boils down to trying to put ten pounds of manure in a five pound sack.
BTW those first two are new. You really want to compensate 2-3 maybe more neighbors for loss of roof sunlight? Have you checked into the cost of running a dozen Level 2 chargers to a parking structure safe enough to park that many EVs?