![2023 - bubbleinfo.com](https://bubbleinfocom.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/2023.jpg)
Actives = green, Pendings = blue
Last week, a reader suggested that we highlight the Under-$3,000,000 market.
It is astonishing that in an area of 300,000 people, there are fewer than 100 houses for sale priced under $3,000,000 (and none under $1,195,000).
Our standard for a healthy market is a 2:1 ratio of actives to pendings, and today it’s under 1:1….there are more pendings than actives!
The Under-$3,000,000 market is doing great, and if it weren’t for the buzz around higher rates and the uber-frenzy at the start of 2022, we’d be on our merry way through the spring selling season.
But last year’s first quarter was NOT normal:
![2022 - bubbleinfo.com](https://bubbleinfocom.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/2022.jpg)
If someone you know is thinking of selling their home, tell them to go ahead – the market is fine.
The $0 – $1,500,000 Market:
Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
Jan 2, 2023 |
22 |
$719/sf |
75 |
15 |
Jan 9 |
26 |
$687/sf |
50 |
14 |
Jan 16 |
23 |
$701/sf |
52 |
20 |
Jan 23 |
25 |
$751/sf |
60 |
21 |
Jan 30 |
23 |
$788/sf |
45 |
25 |
Feb 6 |
18 |
$750/sf |
59 |
24 |
Feb 13 |
18 |
$770/sf |
48 |
26 |
Feb 20 |
17 |
$778/sf |
49 |
26 |
Feb 27 |
18 |
$802/sf |
48 |
23 |
Mar 6 |
22 |
$802/sf |
44 |
14 |
Mar 13 |
22 |
$747/sf |
45 |
16 |
Mar 20 |
16 |
$826/sf |
49 |
21 |
Mar 27 |
17 |
$853/sf |
47 |
20 |
The $1,500,000 – $2,000,000 Market:
Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
Jan 2, 2023 |
45 |
$809/sf |
60 |
18 |
Jan 9 |
55 |
$828/sf |
53 |
19 |
Jan 16 |
46 |
$838/sf |
53 |
30 |
Jan 23 |
43 |
$793/sf |
52 |
31 |
Jan 30 |
40 |
$778/sf |
54 |
34 |
Feb 6 |
42 |
$814/sf |
46 |
30 |
Feb 13 |
35 |
$823/sf |
51 |
39 |
Feb 20 |
34 |
$801/sf |
47 |
40 |
Feb 27 |
27 |
$846/sf |
33 |
45 |
Mar 6 |
29 |
$893/sf |
33 |
41 |
Mar 13 |
32 |
$850/sf |
33 |
39 |
Mar 20 |
27 |
$872/sf |
36 |
41 |
Mar 27 |
22 |
$832/sf |
39 |
36 |
The $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 Market:
Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
Jan 2, 2023 |
52 |
$869/sf |
69 |
30 |
Jan 9 |
57 |
$940/sf |
66 |
31 |
Jan 16 |
50 |
$948/sf |
61 |
36 |
Jan 23 |
51 |
$949/sf |
58 |
35 |
Jan 30 |
54 |
$964/sf |
55 |
34 |
Feb 6 |
60 |
$930/sf |
51 |
42 |
Feb 13 |
51 |
$1,038/sf |
52 |
47 |
Feb 20 |
58 |
$1,022/sf |
47 |
46 |
Feb 27 |
56 |
$1,064/sf |
52 |
49 |
Mar 6 |
57 |
$995/sf |
50 |
50 |
Mar 13 |
55 |
$1,015/sf |
53 |
47 |
Mar 20 |
50 |
$1,011/sf |
58 |
50 |
Mar 27 |
54 |
$1,039/sf |
49 |
47 |
The $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 Market:
Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
Jan 2, 2023 |
29 |
$1,236/sf |
85 |
6 |
Jan 9 |
29 |
$1,180/sf |
80 |
5 |
Jan 16 |
31 |
$1,196/sf |
73 |
8 |
Jan 23 |
33 |
$1,201/sf |
71 |
7 |
Jan 30 |
37 |
$1,218/sf |
70 |
6 |
Feb 6 |
34 |
$1,236/sf |
75 |
12 |
Feb 13 |
43 |
$1,333/sf |
68 |
11 |
Feb 20 |
39 |
$1,392/sf |
71 |
18 |
Feb 27 |
37 |
$1,323/sf |
68 |
22 |
Mar 6 |
49 |
$1,222/sf |
56 |
20 |
Mar 13 |
49 |
$1,312/sf |
49 |
22 |
Mar 20 |
46 |
$1,321/sf |
52 |
25 |
Mar 27 |
50 |
$1,329/sf |
52 |
25 |
The $4,000,000+ Market:
Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
Jan 2, 2023 |
121 |
$1,744/sf |
126 |
21 |
Jan 9 |
119 |
$1,716/sf |
123 |
20 |
Jan 16 |
120 |
$1,761/sf |
121 |
26 |
Jan 23 |
122 |
$1,707/sf |
119 |
27 |
Jan 30 |
120 |
$1,680/sf |
121 |
30 |
Feb 6 |
125 |
$1,714/sf |
118 |
28 |
Feb 13 |
121 |
$1,750/sf |
116 |
32 |
Feb 20 |
129 |
$1,725/sf |
112 |
33 |
Feb 27 |
124 |
$1,743/sf |
115 |
31 |
Mar 6 |
122 |
$1,753/sf |
109 |
28 |
Mar 13 |
120 |
$1,782/sf |
109 |
32 |
Mar 20 |
129 |
$1,783/sf |
106 |
28 |
Mar 27 |
127 |
$1,781/sf |
106 |
27 |
NSDCC Weekly New Listings and New Pendings
Week |
New Listings |
New Pendings |
Total Actives |
Total Pendings |
Jan 2, 2023 |
11 |
6 |
263 |
89 |
Jan 9 |
36 |
15 |
277 |
88 |
Jan 16 |
36 |
34 |
266 |
114 |
Jan 23 |
36 |
22 |
269 |
116 |
Jan 30 |
32 |
25 |
272 |
123 |
Feb 6 |
46 |
33 |
275 |
131 |
Feb 13 |
30 |
35 |
265 |
150 |
Feb 20 |
43 |
34 |
274 |
158 |
Feb 27 |
27 |
30 |
260 |
165 |
Mar 6 |
45 |
28 |
276 |
150 |
Mar 13 |
38 |
38 |
274 |
154 |
Mar 20 |
39 |
37 |
265 |
164 |
Mar 27 |
36 |
25 |
267 |
153 |
NSDCC Weekly LP Quartiles
Week |
1st Quartile |
2nd Quartile (Median LP) |
3rd Quartile |
Jan 2, 2023 |
$2,095,000 |
$3,695,000 |
$5,995,000 |
Jan 9 |
$1,990,000 |
$3,495,000 |
$5,775,000 |
Jan 16 |
$2,000,000 |
$3,574,000 |
$5,995,000 |
Jan 23 |
$2,099,000 |
$3,595,000 |
$5,999,000 |
Jan 30 |
$2,195,000 |
$3,525,000 |
$5,942,000 |
Feb 6 |
$2,195,000 |
$3,598,000 |
$6,845,000 |
Feb 13 |
$2,300,000 |
$3,795,000 |
$6,495,000 |
Feb 20 |
$2,397,500 |
$3,950,000 |
$6,197,500 |
Feb 27 |
$2,480,800 |
$3,970,000 |
$6,845,000 |
Mar 6 |
$2,395,000 |
$3,749,500 |
$5,995,000 |
Mar 13 |
$2,397,000 |
$3,772,500 |
$5,997,000 |
Mar 20 |
$2,580,000 |
$3,995,000 |
$6,800,000 |
Mar 27 |
$2,595,000 |
$3,995,000 |
$6,845,000 |
Jim is a long-time local realtor who comments daily here on his blog, bubbleinfo.com which began in September, 2005. Stick around!
Q1 2022 buyers are still ahead considering interest rates. With rates so high I expected different.
There was endless traffic for a single family house in Bay Park this weekend. Don’t know if there are any offers but the demand is obviously there.
I feel for the younger people who seem to have resorted to hoping for another 2008 meltdown to get into the market but I don’t think it’s going to happen.