The NSDCC 2022 inventory is 30% behind the count from last year at this time, and that number was 20% below the previous year. Potential sellers – name your price!
The $0 – $1,500,000 Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 3, 2022 |
9 |
$832/sf |
35 |
36 |
| Jan 10 |
9 |
$766/sf |
28 |
29 |
| Jan 17 |
13 |
$773/sf |
26 |
27 |
| Jan 24 |
9 |
$818/sf |
15 |
29 |
The $1,500,000 – $2,000,000 Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 3, 2022 |
8 |
$842/sf |
52 |
36 |
| Jan 10 |
13 |
$751/sf |
28 |
29 |
| Jan 17 |
16 |
$736/sf |
33 |
27 |
| Jan 24 |
16 |
$801/sf |
17 |
27 |
The $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 3, 2022 |
18 |
$1,080/sf |
127 |
43 |
| Jan 10 |
23 |
$1,038/sf |
85 |
37 |
| Jan 17 |
26 |
$1,044/sf |
80 |
41 |
| Jan 24 |
28 |
$1,015/sf |
37 |
42 |
The $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 3, 2022 |
19 |
$1,230/sf |
90 |
26 |
| Jan 10 |
22 |
$1,210/sf |
76 |
25 |
| Jan 17 |
19 |
$1,207/sf |
86 |
23 |
| Jan 24 |
17 |
$1,129/sf |
92 |
24 |
The $4,000,000+ Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 3, 2022 |
100 |
$1,884/sf |
128 |
30 |
| Jan 10 |
105 |
$1,864/sf |
113 |
29 |
| Jan 17 |
109 |
$1,763/sf |
110 |
34 |
| Jan 24 |
105 |
$2,130/sf |
114 |
42 |
NSDCC Weekly New Listings and New Pendings
| Week |
New Listings |
New Pendings |
Total Actives |
Total Pendings |
| Jan 3, 2022 |
17 |
14 |
152 |
164 |
| Jan 10 |
39 |
18 |
167 |
142 |
| Jan 17 |
34 |
29 |
179 |
145 |
| Jan 24 |
41 |
40 |
173 |
157 |
Can those buyers on the lower-end of the market just go farther out?
Hmmm, yes, but the competition doesn’t get any better. Yesterday, I went by our Fallbrook listed that closed last week for $856,000, and this property was having open house about 200 yards away:
https://youtu.be/Ht7x2oAVWqQ
You mean potential sellers where the home is fixed up , Super cute, gorgeous, and staged. Otherwise no one wants your old dog 🐕
Time to switch to “quartiles.” Instead of drawing a line at $x.x million try taking all active inventory and making four baskets. 200 listings; cheapest 50, next cheapest 50, and so on. You might want to “trim” the long tails, the outliers at both ends. I think this would give a better market perspective and would give you warning when the “slinky” is compressing or stretching.
Plenty want an old dog. Plenty don’t have a dog to begin with, let alone an old one. Plenty live with their current dog in a shitty location and would gladly exchange for an old dog in coastal SD.