There were 182 NSDCC listings in January, as of today – which means we have a clear winner, even if a few more listings get added by late-reporters.
Congratulations Rob Dawg!
The season starts on March 30th, and May looks like a great month to attend a game. What might be the two best giveaways of the season (vs. the Reds and the Royals) happen that month, plus the Dodgers make their first visit back to Petco Park.
Dawg’s favorite team, the Red Sox, also return in May!
The summary of guesses, with some additions from the FB page:
16 Noodle
89 Momento
99 Tom
104 BWell_SoCal
111 Majeed
115 Lifeisradincbad
117 Susie
119 Beachside
120 Curtis
128 Joe
130 Rob
136 Skip
140 Haile
142 MC
146 Derek
152 Drew
158 Susan
160 doughboy
165 Kingside
174 SurfRider
175 Sciguy
186 Rob Dawg
190 Bode
200 Jeff Campbell
203 Lauren Stickelman
213 Shadash
252 Aunt Nancy
262 Eddie89
298 Nick
333 Sherman Messing
149 Median
This was the first time that the actual count of January listings landed in the upper third of the guesses. But don’t get giddy about the inventory just yet – here’s how it compares:
NSDCC January Listings:
2018: 426
2019: 418
2020: 354
2021: 289
2022: 223
2023: 182
The lack of choices is what causes hyper-frenzy conditions – it causes buyers to freak out. When a top-quality listing hits the market, buyers feel like this might be their only chance this month, or this year, to buy such a good match to their needs – and then the lack of transparency makes them go nuts.
It’s going to be a wild and crazy season – and not just for the Padres!
Amazing and so generous. Thank you. Congratulations to all for playing.
How I did it. I saw a little softening of interest rates so I biased higher than seemed prudent. It also seemed that the practice of agency (pocket) listings was waning so that also biased my guess upward vice recorded listings. I also suspected a return of some seasonality. That seems to be continuing and may make for more activity through spring.
Ohau is in ten days for a bit and then we will be back from NYC and Philadelphia by the end of April so the Dodgers or Red Sox would be good games. Probably Dodgers as that includes Red Sox favorite Mookie Betts. Besides there’s not much hope for the Red Sox this year. The Padres OTOH have a good shot if their rotation can deliver.
Can you imagine the crowds at Petco this year? More than half of the games are going to sell out – and maybe all of them?