Zillow has been vilified for many reasons, but the one thing they have going for them is the viewer data for each area. If their 2022 projections are based on the number of clicks on listings, then their forecast should be a reasonable reflection of the actual demand – a macro look that no one else has.
The Big Question: if they are so confident about the 2022 appreciation, why did they quit home flipping?
Their first move of suspending the program until next year while digesting their inventory was understandable. But why quit altogether? I think it was due to having billions invested in a high-overhead venture that was new to them – and the rich guys hit the panic button, instead of calling me.
I’m sticking with my 2022 NSDCC Pricing Guess of +15%, and agree with Zillow that most areas could see +20%. But this frenzy is going to come to a screeching halt with no notice (they always do), and it will be when you least expect it.
P.S. ALL of their forecasted value increases here are higher than last month:
NW Carlsbad, 92008:
SE Carlsbad, 92009:
NE Carlsbad, 92010:
SW Carlsbad, 92011:
Carmel Valley, 92130:
Del Mar, 92014:
La Jolla, 92037:
Rancho Santa Fe, 92067:
Coastal Oceanside, 92054:
S. Vista, 92081:
University City, 92122:
The additional last four areas show how overwhelming the demand is for all of north county.