We hear the term, ‘tight inventory’. What does it mean?

Fewer homes for sale?

Fewer of the lower-priced homes for sale?

Homes selling faster?

The best buys are flying off the market in the first day or two?

NSDCC detached-home statistics for Jan 1st – Aug 15th:

Year
# of Listings
Median LP
# of Sales
Median SP
Avg DOM
Median DOM
2016
3,727
$1,399,000
1,912
$1,150,000
43
22
2017
3,349
$1,425,000
1,994
$1,229,500
45
19
2018
3,390
$1,497,500
1,819
$1,320,000
40
18
2019
3,411
$1,550,000
1,789
$1,300,000
43
22
2020
2,991
$1,659,000
1,643
$1,400,000
41
18
20vs19
-12%
+7%
-8%
+8%
-5%
-18%

The average and median Days-On-Market metrics are within the normal range, so generally-speaking, homes aren’t selling faster than before.

We’ve had fewer homes for sale (-12% YoY), but sales are only down 8% which isn’t bad.  The drop in sales between 2017 and 2018 was slightly more at 9% so we’ve endured this previously.

The overall volume is only down 0.4% YoY ($3,000,850,233 vs $2,988,471,818) – so those on commission (realtors, lenders, escrow, and title) shouldn’t be too concerned with ‘tight inventory’.

Who should be concerned?

Buyers on the lower-end of every market.

We have eleven NSDCC houses for sale priced under $900,000 (in an area of 300,000 people):

Two of those aren’t on the market yet (coming soon!), and a third has a contingent buyer.

Tight inventory = buyers are getting squeezed up on price.

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