If sellers were feeling a sense of panic about the market – and prices – we would be seeing more new listings hit the market.

Let’s boil it down to one simple comparison.

Are there more listings than usual coming to market?

NSDCC Listings, November

Year
November Listings
Median List Price
# Sold
Percentage Sold
2013
223
$1,159,000
137
61%
2014
267
$1,199,000
167
63%
2015
299
$1,399,000
163
55%
2016
284
$1,354,999
163
57%
2017
252
$1,600,000
162
64%
2018
292
$1,499,500

I wouldn’t be too concerned about the median list price being lower. The list prices don’t mean much, and if it weren’t for an extra 13 lower-end listings then the 2018 median LP would have matched last year’s.

More listings, longer market times, and higher failure rates are in our future – and we can handle it!

There have already been ten listings from last month close escrow – five were sold off-market – and another 54 are pending, so somebody’s buying something. Here are three examples:

1. This 2-br house sold for $1,400,000 in March, 2018, and then was advertised as a Coming Soon for $1,695,000. It closed for $1,650,000 a month ago:

Link to Listing

2. Amy and Susan sold this CV house for $51,000 over list, and closed this week:

Link to Listing

3. This Cardiff house backs to the freeway but it does have ocean view – it just closed this week for $1,950,000, which was above the high-end of the range:

Link to Listing

Here is the sales history of the same house:

If sales dropped 20%, we’d still have 80%!

author avatar
Jim the Realtor
Jim is a long-time local realtor who comments daily here on his blog, bubbleinfo.com which began in September, 2005. Stick around!

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