Written by Jim the Realtor

March 4, 2014

The average pricing for February increased 21% since last year, yet remarkably, sales haven’t dropped off much – what other industry could be so price insensitive?

Year
Feb. Sales
Avg $/sf
Avg DOM
30Y Mortgage Rate
2006
189
$482/sf
64
6.25%
2012
174
$375/sf
92
3.89%
2013
188
$399/sf
68
3.53%
2014
169
$484/sf
55
4.30%

It looks like we’ve been on a comfortable plateau over the last six months:

mocostgraph2

We didn’t see the step-up from the $430-$440/sf range until mortgage rates popped last summer.  Have we found the happy price-point for mortgage rates in the low-to-mid 4%s, or just levitating?

6 Comments

  1. Jiji

    I would say that what happens is the population that make the schools so desirable finds it too expensive and moves to new homes built inland typically (well at least in the L.A. area that seems to be the pattern).

  2. Jiji

    I have seen school systems go from among the worst to among the best in just a few years.
    It has a lot more to do with the students than the system IMO.

  3. Jiji

    From my experience People with school age kids also would rather live in a SFH than a high density Condo project and they will move inland in necessary to find that IMO anyway.
    Single or single parent different story.

    I don’t think that going to change overnight (well not in socal at least) despite what the Talking heads say.

  4. Rob Dawg

    What do the lots look like at $484/sf?

  5. Jim the Realtor

    The same as they did two years ago at $375/sf. Pure inflation.

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