There will be some late-reporting, but the sales already look decent compared to last year – 13 out of 23 areas had an increase in detached sales, and all but one zip had prices decline – which we agree is a good thing too. If there were more REOs to sell, the numbers would look even better!

Detached Sales, June 1 through August 31

Town or Area Zip Code Sales 08/09 $$/sf 08/09
Cardiff 92007
14/12
$681/$491
Carlsbad NW 92008
42/32
$314/$321
Carlsbad SE 92009
116/113
$289/$260
Carlsbad NE 92010
26/37
$251/$247
Carlsbad SW 92011
52/61
$333/$294
Del Mar 92014
30/30
$1,030/$635
Encinitas 92024
87/109
$397/$361
La Jolla 92037
51/73
$739/$646
Oceanside all
444/399
$208/$199
Poway 92064
105/126
$301/$268
RSF both
39/25
$601/$475
San Marcos N 92069
100/97
$205/$183
Solana Beach 92075
21/18
$595/$502
San Marcos S 92078
110/108
$213/$197
Vista all
233/245
$205/$180
Sorrento 92121
8/10
$306/$288
West RB 92127
105/110
$292/$267
RB 92128
115/134
$284/$272
RP 92129
97/89
$289/$268
Carmel Valley 92130
129/112
$366/$339
Scripps Rch 92131
67/92
$301/$276
DT Condos 92101
190/216
$448/$404
SD County all
5,491/5,701
$267/$232

Rancho Santa Fe keeps levitating – there has been 443 total detached listings entered onto the MLS this year, and currently there are 351 actives. To close only 25 houses all summer is mind-boggling, especially when there are hundreds of agents working the market.

On the other hand, it was a great summer for a few areas, here are Y-O-Y sales:

Area % diff in Summer Sales
Poway +20%
Encinitas +24%
Scripps +37%
92010 +42%
La Jolla +43%

In Del Mar last year the pricing got skewed from John Moores’ two-story, 1,672sf oceanfront beach house selling for $15.9 million ($9510/sf).

16 Comments

  1. Spotty

    There’s nothing price can’t fix.

  2. doughboy

    Looks like price has fixed Vista at $180.00 per sq ft!

  3. JimB

    Perhaps ‘rich’ folks aren’t moving into SD/RSF anymore?

    Nah, must be something else.

  4. Rob Dawg

    Rancho Santa Fe keeps levitating – there has been 443 total detached listings entered onto the MLS this year, and currently there are 351 actives. To close only 25 houses all summer is mind-boggling, especially when there are hundreds of agents working the market.

    There’s this Realtor guy I know. Serves good shrimp and Santa Barbara varietal wines. Appreciates good coffee. He has the solution to this.

  5. ravinos

    Recently residing in a fringe neighborhood adjoining RSF has allowed me to become more familiar with the area as work and chores take me to and through the town on a daily basis. Special place for sure, but not the Shangri-La, as touted by many. Have stopped by at numerous open houses during the months past, and while many properties are impressive,there’s also lots of dated inventory, all listed at lofty unrealistic levels.Based on the YTD $$/sf 475, in my amateur opinion, a decline somewhere in the $375 to $400/sf would reflect true market/economic conditions and might get the well-heeled buyers motivated to start showing up.

  6. chrisL

    On http://www.sdlookup.com, under the foreclosures tab, if you click recent foreclosures, every zipcode lists a huge jump in foreclosures/preforeclosures. I don’t have my own foreclosure website to check recent drops, so I use this one to monitor if owners are in distress. Each zipcode is listing 50+ combined from Monday and Tuesday.

    Could this be an anomaly or is this the beginning of the end for moratoriums?

  7. arizonadude

    Do any of you guys know of any good sites to advertise rentals besides rentals.com or craigslist?

    Thx

  8. Rob Dawg

    Do any of you guys know of any good sites to advertise rentals besides rentals.com or craigslist?

    Hell yeah. Use a Realtor you trust who charges 1/2 to 2/3rds one months’ rent to vet and sign a tenant. Renting your own property yourself is insane in the extreme.

    And if you are a harda$$ landlord like me you make sure you add a pets clause: “No pets. Requests for pets shall be accompanied by a $100 nonrefundable request. The answer will still be no and the $100 will still be lost but I’ll be damned before I let little Timmy think it is the bad ole Simon LeGree who says you can’t have a puppy.”

  9. arizonadude

    Thx for the input dawg.I am working w/ a property manager but trying to help with leads to get rented faster.

  10. GameAgent

    arizonadude…

    Just turn your place over to a property management company. Playing landlord is a pain in the a$$. I’m sure JtR can refer you to a good property manager.

  11. Smithers

    “especially when there are hundreds of agents working the market”

    Unless the realtors themselves are qualified buyers (I am guessing only a few of the 100s are), what difference does it make how many of them crawl over the inventory? No different than adding another dozen car salesman to crawl all over the lot at the local GM dealership.

    Jim – Since RSF holds your (and our) interest, can you tell us anything (statistically or anecdotally) about the 25 that did close this summer?

    Was it price, or quality, or anything else you observed?

  12. daveg

    I didn’t realize that Solana beach moved so little RE.

  13. BAM

    SB only sells 60-80 in any given year, regardless of bubble/downturn.

  14. Erica Douglass

    I wandered through downtown RSF recently (where every other office is a real estate agency…seriously insane) and the reason nothing is selling is because they are taking the peak prices and multiplying by 2.

    People think they are “different” there. They aren’t different.

    If this downturn continues to hammer the area, I think half of downtown RSF will be empty. I can’t see these real estate agencies continuing to pay rent when they aren’t selling anything.

    @daveg: There aren’t that many houses here in Solana Beach. Reasonably-priced rentals go off the market within a week. But I have to say I absolutely love it here.

    -Erica

  15. ravinos

    “I wandered through downtown RSF recently (where every other office is a real estate agency…seriously insane)”

    Well acquainted with a broker working out of one of those offices in downtown RSF…speaking to him over the weekend, he relayed that it’s “extremely slow” and unless some unforeseen positive economic events, the outlook is bleak for the fall/winter season.

  16. Anonymous

    If I didn’t buy this house in Encinitas back in 06, I would be one of those buyers with 30% to put down in a house in Solana Beach right now. Timing is everything.

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