As election day nears, let’s take a look at Prop 5, sponsored by the California Association of Realtors – who is encouraging agents to help get the vote out.

I’ve been skeptical that, if passed, Prop 5 would bring many more long-time owners to market.  The benefit only helps those who have a low property-tax basis currently, and won’t move unless they can take the same low tax basis with them.

The latimes.com featured a typical example here:

After Robert Holland’s knee surgery a few years ago, he’s had a harder time climbing the stairs in his trilevel home in the Tujunga neighborhood of Los Angeles.

Holland, a retired stagehand, wants to move from his residence at the foot of the San Gabriel Mountains to a one-story place nearby with a yard large enough to raise a goat and a couple of chickens.

But one big thing is holding him back: taxes. Holland purchased his home in 1995 and owes $4,500 this year in property taxes. If he buys a new house where he wants, his tax bill will more than double.

“It’s a matter of the quality of life,” he said, chuckling about his dilemma about whether to move. “I’m 63. I’m thinking what do I got, 20 good years left?”

The California Assn. of Realtors has a solution to Holland’s problem. It’s sponsoring Proposition 5, a statewide initiative that would provide property tax benefits for homeowners 55 and older as well as the severely disabled and natural disaster victims if they move to a new home.

Under the measure, qualifying homeowners would no longer have to pay property taxes based on the purchase price of their new home. Instead, they’d pay based on a combination of their new and old home values, lowering their property tax payment. The Realtors’ group, which has raised $13 million for the campaign, contends that the tax breaks are needed to help older residents and could free up larger homes that young families could use.

But a host of Proposition 5 opponents — including economists, local governments and labor unions — argue that older homeowners already receive disproportionately large property tax benefits in California. They say that providing additional breaks will exacerbate those disparities while costing cities, counties and schools billions of dollars a year.

Fernando Ferreira, an economist at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School who has studied California’s property tax system, called Proposition 5 “completely nonsensical.”

“Right now, you’re giving a gigantic tax break to older homeowners who live in the best houses in the richest parts of the state,” Ferreira said. “This new proposition unfortunately will just perpetuate this inequality.”

Read full article here:

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-prop-5-housing-tax-break-20181011-story.html

Upon further review, we see that the Hollands have it pretty good.  Their tri-level house is 2,400sf on a 9,216sf lot, and their zestimate is $810,083:

Link to Zillow page

But once you’ve lived in a house for 20+ years, it has become very unlikely that you will move again.  Just the cost and hassle is mentally challenging, and the usual result is to make the old knee last a few more years.

Here’s why.

These folks could move right now, and take their old tax basis with them – all they have to do is buy a house that is less-expensive than the one they sell.

If they sold their house for $810,000, they could buy this one-story house on a flat half-acre that would seemingly suit all their needs, listed for $799,999:

Zillow page of house for sale

If they were that committed to moving to a one-story house where they can  have “a yard large enough to raise a goat and a couple of chickens”, they could do it today – and take their low tax basis with them.

Do they need a swankier place?

If this house isn’t good enough, and they need a single-story that costs a whole lot more, than they should pay the regular property tax.

What is behind the scenes is the C.A.R. intent to put this measure back on the ballot in 2020 with another initiative:

After gathering signatures to put the initiative on the ballot this year, the Realtors lobbied the Legislature for a deal. The group wanted to replace Proposition 5 with a separate measure that included the same tax breaks for older homeowners, but eliminated the inheritance tax break for vacation and rental properties, and clamped down on businesses that avoid higher property taxes when they buy commercial real estate.

The California legislature didn’t go for it – and this year’s initiative just seems like a trial run to test the waters.  Can’t wait for 2020!

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Jim the Realtor
Jim is a long-time local realtor who comments daily here on his blog, bubbleinfo.com which began in September, 2005. Stick around!

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