Written by Jim the Realtor

November 7, 2009

What would you think if you discovered that the house right next door just listed for $220,000 less than you paid 2 months ago….

If the next-door buyer relied on the same faulty tax roll information that I had, he should sue.

22 Comments

  1. doug r

    Less than 1500 sq ft for over $900,000? Yikes.

  2. tj & the bear

    I’ll second that yikes.

  3. pemeliza

    JTR, you don’t think 1429 Rubenstein Ave will get bid up from 699k?

  4. Bizzle

    Sue? You’ve got to be kidding, right?

    People want to play Housing Ponzi again? Well, swim at your own risk. How many times do people in California need to touch the stove before they realize its hot?

    Pay for a home the discounted value of what you think you could rent it for. Maybe you won’t get the “joy of ownership” as quickly, but when you do at least you’ll know you didn’t overpay. Pay more than that and blame yourself… don’t immediately look for someone to “sue” over your mistake. Silly fishes…

  5. CA renter

    Way too funny. Don’t think we weren’t checking that one out pretty seriously. Problem is we’d only be willing to offer $450K.

    Supposedly, they’re only taking cash offers. Also, the lot on the $920K one was about twice the size of the current listing (just guessing from eyeballing it), but it had greenhouses that needed to be torn down. Technically, I think that can be a hazmat deal, but people don’t seem to bother with doing things the “right”/legal way when doing demo work. Just guessing on the hazmat demo, but have seen this to be the case with other properties.

    During one of our numerous drive-arounds, we saw the one next door (the one that sold for $920K) with a sign out. We called up to see what the deal was, as it wasn’t listed on the MLS yet. The agent said it was the sixth call he got on that house, and he had only put the sign up the day before! All this activity just from the sign. It shows how manic the buying activity has been this year.

    Yes, we really like that house, but not for the price!

  6. pemeliza

    CAR, I don’t think you could get a place like that in north-west Leucadia for under 500k. Jim’s I-5 listing on the oside-cbad border brought 600k on a smaller lot. Cardiff is way more $$$ and this listing is way off the I-5. Also the composer area is a very desirable ‘hood.

    I would be surprised if they don’t have a full price cash offer by now. The place that sold for 920k got bid up from 849k. Either there were multiple offers over 849k or the buyer was horribly misinformed (very possible). Then again maybe the buyer was looking for a house in cardiff west of the I-5 (but not on the I-5) on a huge lot and had the $$$ to get what they wanted. Personally, I don’t have that kind of cash to throw around on a fixer but some around here do.

    With all due respect to Bizzle, people buying houses on very large lots are always going to pay a price much higher than rent value because much of the value is in the land. In the extreme, land buyers are getting no rent value.

  7. pemeliza

    If the new listing on Rubenstein closes at the list price of 700k, the buyer at 920k down the street maybe still have gotten a decent deal because he got an extra building lot for 220k.

    This place on summit was only 1092 sq. ft. lot on a 10000 sq. ft. and just sold for 1M even. Obviously there is a high demand for older homes in cardiff on large lots west of the I-5 even in this market.

    http://www.sdlookup.com/MLS-090043831-1347_Summit_Ave_Cardiff_CA_92007

    here is another teardown on a large lot that closed at 832k

    http://www.sdlookup.com/MLS-090028523-1580_Rubenstein_Ave_Cardiff_CA_92007

    here is one on a 4000 sq ft lot with view potential and a 1094 sq ft house that brought 760k (listing says current rent is only $2200 a month) In contrast, my buddy just bought a place in the county for 265k that he is renting for $1900 a month.

    http://www.sdlookup.com/MLS-090010048-2151_Cambridge_Cardiff_CA_92007

  8. Not a rentor

    How depressing.I wonder how long fannie mae will be a landlord?Being a landlord is more than collecting checks.

    Does anyone know what percentage of loans were sold to fannie and freddie vs loans that were securitized and sold to investors?

    Anyway to check to see if your loan is owned by fannie or freddie?

  9. clearfund

    big fan of the nice/pricey parts of coastal north county, but I’ve never understood the appeal of cardiff. Just don’t get it. Old, dirty, no sidewalks, traffic, and no real walking to anywhere.

    Different strokes for different folks I guess.

    Anyone who loves cardiff able to enlighten me to the appeal???

  10. I drank the koolaid

    Clearfund,
    How is business? Are you finding great buys still?
    Are you using a pool of money from investors to finance your purchases?

    Any advice for the small investor out there in this environment?

    Thx

  11. JordanT

    If you surf, there’s great surfing off of Cardiff.

  12. The Blur

    I grew up in Cardiff, so I’m biased, but I love the vibe there. It’s so much less pretentious than, say, the Del Mar scene. The surf is great too. Only a couple chain stores, but mostly local businesses.

    But now it seems to be a little too trendy. I would never pay those prices for the crap I see on the MLS. A well-located piece of crap is still a piece of crap. And by a simple eye-test, I can’t figure out how some of the locals can afford to live there. I understand wealthy people aren’t always cruising around in Gucci loafers, sport coats, and bmw’s, but let’s just say it doesn’t feel like it’s millionaires’ neighborhood. I think those buyers are foolish.

    When my parents moved there in ’79, it was just a sleepy, out-of-the way, beach town that was affordable. It makes me wonder if places like Camarillo and Ventura will be similar in the future or maybe already (I’d be curious to know Rob Dawg’s perspective.) I hate myself for saying this, but they’re not building any more oceanfront land.

  13. doug r

    Are people jumping into large lots with a good view in anticipation of walking away from their McMansions? With that Option-ARM wave coming, I don’t see how this price range has anywhere to go but down. The new house building market is gone, and who’s going to want to pay that much for a beat-on 1500 square foot place?

  14. Susie

    “Realtor malpractice” (JtR)

    *Chuckle* Another classic! And that $920K cash house? Surely I can make some sense of it with the info Jim shared with his readers. Perhaps putting it down in black & white will make my (real estate) brain stop hurting. Here goes:

    1. 1,658 sf on a 2/3 acre lot
    2. 6/2009: On courthouse steps at $635K–no takers
    3. Bank took back
    4. Listed at $849K
    5. 9/2009 Sold! $920K CASH *Only $80K to $1 million!*
    6. *Calculator Whirling* $554/sf

    Nope, that didn’t help! Add me to the “Yikes” crowd. I’m very curious. How long was it listed before it went into escrow, Jim?

    *Sigh* No wonder I’m considering leaving my beloved CA (I’ve spent most of my life here and am a native). But it’s a difficult choice for me: Become a homeowner again after 7 longs years of renting but that means leaving many cherished friends. If I do make that choice, a big mahalo to the Wright Brothers.

    I agreed with Jim’s advice to me, and recently hopped on a plane, and found what would be an over $1 million house (where I currently live) that’s listed for just $299K. All I ever needed (or wanted) tucked into 2,123 sf! And the LIST price is $299K or $140/sf.

    The finish work mirrored my late husband’s quality of work and he was, IMO, the best finish carpenter on the planet.

    I wish I could come to a decision. It could be one of the best choices of my life or one of the worst. I just don’t know. And it’s my last home, so that adds pressure to the whole dilemma.

    This is why I’m taking my time to look at all worst-case scenarios. I probably won’t come to a decision until at least January 1st…

  15. CA renter

    Susie,

    Where did you look?

    As a fellow native Californian, I empathize with you. It’s a wonder that people who have no connections here are willing to move here from other places. There’s no way in heck we’d still be living here if we weren’t native with family, life-long friends, work, and “familiar places” to hold us back. I envy people who live in other states.

  16. pemeliza

    Susie, Cardiff is one end of an extreme. 635k would have a great deal for that house but not everyone looking to buy is going to the courthouse. There are a lot of risks as JTR has pointed out.

    There are still plenty of places in and around SD where you can get a decent house for $299k. My friend just bought a 2100 sq. ft. house built in 2004 for 265k on 1/2 acre. The house sold for 600k at the peak. It can be done but you will have to give up on living a couple of blocks from the beach.

  17. Desert Realtor

    JtR, I’ve seen numerous faulty tax rolls too – those 1031 exchanges can really skew the numbers.

  18. clearfund

    I drank the kool aid – business is interesting but busy. I do not believe that we are close enough to a bottom in SD due to many factors discussed here. Thus I am tentative at best for SD. Obviously there are deals here and there, but not the type that give me a sleep at night, long term comfort level.

    Lots of safe opportunities for investing if you use common sense and a rear view mirror longer than 2002 for value perspective. Investing, not speculating (very different..and this market is full of speculators claiming to be investors).

    I am more positive on investing in areas where the prices are much lower relative to incomes that they are here. I also use a definition of an average house that is much more ‘mid level manager’ than the standard median priced home here in SD represents. Thus apples to apples I can get a mid level mgr house house for $200k in Phoenix (well above the median, etc) which would cost over $600k here.

    Residential: We are more interested in short term lending to investors than we are in owning the assets in current market environment with very little near term investment upside (we don’t like to gamble on the speculative upside, only upside due to fundamentals). Would rather hit lots of singles and doubles than strikeout with an occasional homerun.

    Commercial: GOLDMINE IS OPENING. Makes the housing market look like chump change. Buying for high yield (12% plus) in brand new bldgs that are in foreclosure but didn’t get a chance to lease-up. Hold for 3-5 years, stabilize, cash equity out and cash flow for years to come with lots of balance sheet equity and well below replacement costs and low leverage.

    We typically pool investors into property funds and manage the deal on our collective behalf. Residential we pool investors into funds to handle 50+/- properties at any given time. commercial we pool funds on a property by property basis.

  19. Local Boy

    Desert Realtor-You may have confused tax codes.

    A 1031 Tax Deferred Exchange deals with an investor’s Capital Gains (income tax), and affects the tax basis for accounting purposes.

    Tax Rolls deal with “Property Tax”. The Tax Assessor is not privy to one’s accounting tax basis’. They assess based on the investor’s new purchase price, therfore, exchanges can not skew the tax rolls.

    There is however, a tax code for those over 55 (I think 55) which allows them a one-time property tax-base transfer of their primary residence, allowing them to move their tax basis–this may skew property tax rolls???

  20. CA renter

    CAR, I don’t think you could get a place like that in north-west Leucadia for under 500k. Jim’s I-5 listing on the oside-cbad border brought 600k on a smaller lot. Cardiff is way more $$$ and this listing is way off the I-5. Also the composer area is a very desirable ‘hood.

    I would be surprised if they don’t have a full price cash offer by now…

    pemeliza | November 8th, 2009 at 6:01 am
    ———————

    Yes, I agree with all that you’ve said, which is exactly why we aren’t making an offer on it. We know somebody else will gladly pay more than we’d be willing to pay, so we wait…

    We’re looking for our final house, so we’re willing to wait for the right house at the right price (hat tip, JTR). That house would require about $200K worth of work to get it exactly where we want it, and $900K (all in) is too much for something like that, IMHO.

  21. pemeliza

    CAR, I believe that your patience will ultimately payoff. Just the last couple of weeks I have seen some new listings in Carlsbad at prices that are clearly lower than a few months ago. I think we will definitely see a leg down in pricing this winter. I think if I was looking at north county coastal I would have waited like you are. There are so many distressed properties up there because of all the new construction during the bubble years.

  22. Desert Realtor

    LocalBoy – I’m not confused. 1031 exchange escrows can produce some very odd transaction reports that end up on the property tax rolls and property profile reports.

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