Inventory Watch

Written by Jim the Realtor

October 7, 2024

Even though there were 28 sales closed in the last week, the pendings count went UP!

There are still deals happening this close to Election Day.

Here’s how the active listings compare to the same week last year:

Fairly similar numbers to those in October, 2023!

But get this. The median list price of the active listings:

October, 2023: $3,999,450

October, 2024: $3,490,000 (-$509,450)

Get Good Help!

The $0 – $1,500,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
15
$724/sf
49
23
Jan 8
13
$645/sf
58
19
Jan 15
10
$664/sf
55
15
Jan 22
15
$750/sf
36
15
Jan 29
12
$834/sf
36
21
Feb 5
12
$784/sf
38
23
Feb 12
10
$818/sf
30
22
Feb 19
12
$731/sf
17
21
Feb 26
7
$725/sf
26
21
Mar 4
9
$763/sf
23
21
Mar 11
15
$742/sf
14
17
Mar 18
15
$697/sf
16
21
Mar 25
13
$846/sf
19
22
Apr 1
12
$897/sf
22
20
Apr 8
15
$869/sf
37
22
Apr 15
17
$811/sf
16
25
Apr 22
18
$829/sf
16
23
Apr 29
20
$796/sf
20
23
May 6
19
$868/sf
18
23
May 13
21
$859/sf
18
22
May 20
25
$939/sf
20
18
May 27
24
$897/sf
25
20
Jun 3
22
$879/sf
25
19
Jun 10
25
$834/sf
26
19
Jun 17
21
$823/sf
31
21
Jun 24
24
$752/sf
32
24
Jul 1
23
$760/sf
44
26
Jul 8
22
$801/sf
40
23
Jul 15
22
$815/sf
36
23
Jul 22
17
$814/sf
43
23
Jul 29
24
$815/sf
33
14
Aug 5
23
$771/sf
29
18
Aug 12
22
$787/sf
36
23
Aug 19
24
$773/sf
28
27
Aug 26
24
$760/sf
27
24
Sep 2
28
$767/sf
24
18
Sep 9
27
$803/sf
28
21
Sep 16
32
$808/sf
27
19
Sep 23
37
$791/sf
24
17
Sep 30
31
$892/sf
29
23
Oct 7
36
$836/sf
28
18

The $1,500,000 – $2,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
20
$866/sf
66
28
Jan 8
23
$890/sf
63
23
Jan 15
32
$876/sf
47
35
Jan 22
35
$823/sf
43
25
Jan 29
38
$833/sf
43
26
Feb 5
39
$810/sf
34
28
Feb 12
32
$781/sf
39
34
Feb 19
33
$797/sf
36
29
Feb 26
33
$840/sf
36
31
Mar 4
39
$827/sf
32
31
Mar 11
30
$857/sf
43
37
Mar 18
34
$847/sf
36
37
Mar 25
34
$848/sf
43
43
Apr 1
23
$873/sf
42
47
Apr 8
30
$884/sf
37
47
Apr 15
32
$961/sf
36
43
Apr 22
36
$964/sf
31
37
Apr 29
44
$921/sf
25
33
May 6
44
$921/sf
30
36
May 13
46
$939/sf
25
34
May 20
47
$965/sf
24
38
May 27
47
$965/sf
30
40
Jun 3
53
$1,006/sf
32
36
Jun 10
61
$942/sf
30
36
Jun 17
62
$909/sf
30
37
Jun 24
62
$909/sf
28
40
Jul 1
70
$883/sf
30
43
Jul 8
67
$925/sf
30
47
Jul 15
70
$888/sf
31
51
Jul 22
61
$858/sf
35
46
Jul 29
57
$859/sf
38
50
Aug 5
56
$892/sf
37
41
Aug 12
62
$895/sf
39
40
Aug 19
67
$879/sf
36
36
Aug 26
62
$899/sf
39
41
Sep 2
52
$912/sf
41
41
Sep 9
53
$889/sf
37
37
Sep 16
50
$877/sf
39
35
Sep 23
55
$902/sf
37
33
Sep 30
61
$894/sf
37
32
Oct 7
67
$899/sf
37
32

The $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
54
$1,046/sf
65
34
Jan 8
59
$1,034/sf
57
30
Jan 15
69
$1,094/sf
44
35
Jan 22
60
$1,108/sf
42
45
Jan 29
65
$1,126/sf
41
48
Feb 5
68
$1,120/sf
31
50
Feb 12
60
$1,123/sf
34
56
Feb 19
71
$1,130/sf
29
56
Feb 26
64
$1,138/sf
30
61
Mar 4
62
$1,202/sf
33
55
Mar 11
61
$1,211/sf
29
62
Mar 18
72
$1,143/sf
32
53
Mar 25
70
$1,101/sf
31
64
Apr 1
71
$1,049/sf
31
63
Apr 8
68
$1,076/sf
31
63
Apr 15
82
$1,058/sf
33
55
Apr 22
81
$1,066/sf
38
62
Apr 29
79
$1,076/sf
34
64
May 6
77
$1,067/sf
35
56
May 13
78
$1,069/sf
38
58
May 20
93
$1,049/sf
39
46
May 27
92
$1,053/sf
39
47
Jun 3
105
$1,025/sf
41
43
Jun 10
105
$1,035/sf
40
53
Jun 17
107
$1,002/sf
36
51
Jun 24
118
$1,034/sf
35
58
Jul 1
111
$1,013/sf
37
59
Jul 8
111
$1,019/sf
41
58
Jul 15
120
$1,014/sf
43
47
Jul 22
124
$972/sf
41
47
Jul 29
124
$974/sf
41
40
Aug 5
117
$978/sf
43
44
Aug 12
114
$964/sf
45
42
Aug 19
112
$982/sf
45
43
Aug 26
107
$957/sf
42
47
Sep 2
102
$945/sf
44
49
Sep 9
101
$965/sf
45
51
Sep 16
103
$982/sf
43
50
Sep 23
99
$986/sf
44
58
Sep 30
108
$984/sf
44
42
Oct 7
103
$1,006/sf
44
47

The $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
33
$1,216/sf
92
15
Jan 8
37
$1,248/sf
83
15
Jan 15
42
$1,236/sf
77
18
Jan 22
43
$1,283/sf
77
17
Jan 29
42
$1,242/sf
75
20
Feb 5
36
$1,363/sf
73
25
Feb 12
40
$1,252/sf
34
18
Feb 19
47
$1,515/sf
45
17
Feb 26
50
$1,512/sf
42
16
Mar 4
50
$1,588/sf
44
19
Mar 11
50
$1,594/sf
44
23
Mar 18
60
$1,537/sf
38
22
Mar 25
59
$1,614/sf
70
27
Apr 1
62
$1,660/sf
76
26
Apr 8
65
$1,479/sf
76
27
Apr 15
72
$1,442/sf
70
26
Apr 22
70
$1,462/sf
75
20
Apr 29
68
$1,434/sf
75
25
May 6
67
$1,373/sf
70
26
May 13
71
$1,355/sf
68
25
May 20
78
$1,298/sf
63
24
May 27
79
$1,267/sf
66
26
Jun 3
75
$1,272/sf
65
26
Jun 10
81
$1,248/sf
62
26
Jun 17
89
$1,195/sf
59
28
Jun 24
84
$1,229/sf
61
33
Jul 1
87
$1,227/sf
62
31
Jul 8
77
$1,278/sf
68
33
Jul 15
91
$1,263/sf
63
31
Jul 22
82
$1,272/sf
68
31
Jul 29
84
$1,221/sf
67
25
Aug 5
80
$1,180/sf
71
22
Aug 12
80
$1,196/sf
70
24
Aug 19
80
$1,145/sf
45
26
Aug 26
80
$1,118/sf
44
22
Sep 2
81
$1,144/sf
47
23
Sep 9
84
$1,143/sf
46
23
Sep 16
84
$1,168/sf
47
23
Sep 23
88
$1,141/sf
49
21
Sep 30
83
$1,159/sf
52
21
Oct 7
89
$1,159/sf
51
21

The $4,000,000+ Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
139
$1,858/sf
116
20
Jan 8
151
$1,896/sf
109
18
Jan 15
157
$1,879/sf
106
22
Jan 22
159
$1,824/sf
104
27
Jan 29
162
$1,758/sf
108
31
Feb 5
162
$1,718/sf
108
30
Feb 12
154
$1,705/sf
107
34
Feb 19
168
$1,685/sf
107
24
Feb 26
175
$1,691/sf
105
26
Mar 4
166
$1,692/sf
97
36
Mar 11
178
$1,663/sf
90
37
Mar 18
179
$1,691/sf
90
29
Mar 25
177
$1,693/sf
83
34
Apr 1
176
$1,713/sf
87
31
Apr 8
177
$1,771/sf
82
37
Apr 15
179
$1,731/sf
88
40
Apr 22
183
$1,733/sf
85
42
Apr 29
187
$1,765/sf
81
42
May 6
191
$1,751/sf
83
42
May 13
184
$1,754/sf
84
47
May 20
193
$1,734/sf
81
45
May 27
202
$1,716/sf
78
46
Jun 3
203
$1,694/sf
74
43
Jun 10
206
$1,716/sf
70
43
Jun 17
204
$1,666/sf
68
41
Jun 24
208
$1,678/sf
68
44
Jul 1
213
$1,673/sf
70
35
Jul 8
212
$1,674/sf
72
29
Jul 15
217
$1,637/sf
73
26
Jul 22
218
$1,633/sf
77
32
Jul 29
221
$1,626/sf
80
32
Aug 5
222
$1,627/sf
83
27
Aug 12
217
$1,624/sf
81
25
Aug 19
209
$1,633/sf
83
33
Aug 26
209
$1,617/sf
85
37
Sep 2
207
$1,623/sf
82
39
Sep 9
204
$1,662/sf
85
38
Sep 16
201
$1,658/sf
86
37
Sep 23
200
$1,668/sf
87
38
Sep 30
192
$1,638/sf
89
42
Oct 7
189
$1,619/sf
90
44

NSDCC Weekly New Listings and New Pendings

Week
New Listings
New Pendings
Total Actives
Total Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
18
10
255
113
Jan 8
43
12
278
100
Jan 15
52
20
305
102
Jan 22
50
29
308
122
Jan 29
44
32
314
140
Feb 5
44
33
312
149
Feb 12
37
34
292
159
Feb 19
53
24
326
143
Feb 26
45
37
324
151
Mar 4
52
45
332
166
Mar 11
53
26
331
165
Mar 18
62
32
355
159
Mar 25
45
46
348
186
Apr 1
37
42
340
183
Apr 8
58
36
352
191
Apr 15
58
29
378
184
Apr 22
44
36
384
179
Apr 29
67
36
393
185
May 6
58
48
394
183
May 13
47
34
395
186
May 20
67
26
429
171
May 27
57
36
435
179
Jun 3
55
26
449
166
Jun 10
77
40
469
175
Jun 17
64
37
474
175
Jun 24
78
29
489
192
Jul 1
51
38
496
188
Jul 8
41
37
479
184
Jul 15
52
29
509
172
Jul 22
43
42
495
172
Jul 29
50
23
503
156
Aug 5
52
40
492
148
Aug 12
49
38
489
150
Aug 19
63
29
486
162
Aug 26
56
38
477
167
Sep 2
56
33
465
167
Sep 9
34
27
463
168
Sep 16
53
33
465
163
Sep 23
54
29
475
166
Sep 30
50
39
470
158
Oct 7
45
30
477
160

NSDCC List Price Quartiles

Week
1st Quartile
Median List Price
3rd Quartile
Jan 2, 2024
$2,549,888
$4,444,000
$8,350,000
Jan 8
$2,572,444
$4,447,000
$8,097,500
Jan 15
$2,499,000
$4,200,000
$7,950,000
Jan 22
$2,429,000
$4,250,000
$7,450,000
Jan 29
$2,399,000
$4,225,000
$7,495,000
Feb 5
$2,398,000
$4,272,500
$7,495,000
Feb 12
$2,499,800
$4,297,500
$7,495,000
Feb 19
$2,499,400
$4,200,000
$6,972,500
Feb 26
$2,649,400
$4,350,000
$7,300,000
Mar 4
$2,525,000
$4,225,000
$7,149,500
Mar 11
$2,649,000
$4,295,000
$7,495,000
Mar 18
$2,500,000
$4,000,000
$6,750,000
Mar 25
$2,680,000
$4,097,499
$6,750,000
Apr 1
$2,785,000
$4,150,000
$6,999,999
Apr 8
$2,680,000
$4,047,500
$6,999,000
Apr 15
$2,570,000
$3,899,500
$6,797,500
Apr 22
$2,499,000
$3,982,500
$6,495,000
Apr 29
$2,399,000
$3,990,000
$6,750,000
May 6
$2,485,000
$3,995,000
$6,825,000
May 13
$2,475,000
$3,895,000
$6,900,000
May 20
$2,420,000
$3,750,000
$6,480,000
May 27
$2,495,000
$3,840,000
$6,695,000
Jun 3
$2,475,000
$3,749,000
$6,395,000
Jun 10
$2,388,000
$3,500,000
$6,187,000
Jun 17
$2,412,500
$3,599,500
$5,995,000
Jun 24
$2,350,000
$3,500,000
$6,398,000
Jul 1
$2,398,000
$3,600,000
$6,400,000
Jul 8
$2,399,000
$3,650,000
$6,500,000
Jul 15
$2,399,999
$3,500,000
$6,398,000
Jul 22
$2,399,000
$3,695,000
$6,398,000
Jul 29
$2,375,000
$3,650,000
$6,187,000
Aug 5
$2,350,000
$3,699,500
$6,295,000
Aug 12
$2,349,000
$3,650,000
$5,995,000
Aug 19
$2,315,000
$3,595,000
$5,995,000
Aug 26
$2,299,999
$3,649,000
$5,999,000
Sep 2
$2,350,000
$3,698,000
$6,495,000
Sep 9
$2,300,000
$3,700,000
$6,495,000
Sep 16
$2,345,000
$3,695,000
$6,250,000
Sep 23
$2,299,000
$3,600,000
$6,475,000
Sep 30
$2,297,000
$3,495,000
$6,099,000
Oct 7
$2,200,000
$3,490,000
$5,900,000

3 Comments

  1. Jim the Realtor

    For those potential buyers who want to feel good and who like waiting:

    When Ashwin and Poonam Jain began searching for a larger home for themselves and two children in San Ramon earlier this summer, they quickly realized they were spending hours scrutinizing homes online, evaluating school districts and comparing sales prices of nearby listings.

    Though they’d both appreciated agents’ help in the past, they felt as experienced homebuyers that they didn’t need the same hand-holding this time. So why would they pay an agent tens of thousands of dollars to come in at the end and write up an offer?

    “As a buyer, we are doing all the work,” Ashwin said. “Sometimes we struggled to see: Where is the value added from a broker?”

    For years, homebuyers could largely ignore what their agents charged because their fee — traditionally around 2.5% — was covered by the seller. Nationally, real estate commissions are an estimated $100 billion business. For a median-priced Bay Area home selling at $1.27 million, a fee of 2.5% would amount to $31,750.

    But earlier this year, the National Association of Realtors, responding to a lawsuit, changed its guidelines for commissions to settle claims from dozens of home sellers who said the rules cornered them into paying both their agent and the buyer’s.

    Now, buyers can’t count on sellers to pay their agents’ fees, too. Since the real estate group’s new rules debuted in August, buyers have had to sign agreements with their agents promising to pay a certain commission if the seller doesn’t offer one. Many sellers are sticking with tradition and still offering buyers’ agents a 2.5% commission — but faced with the possibility of paying themselves, homebuyers like the Jains are questioning whether an agent is worth it.

    The Jains started to look into alternatives. One Oakland company, TurboHome, promised to use artificial intelligence tools to help them review disclosures on a home and compare nearby property sales. When the time came to make an offer, a TurboHome agent, a real human being, would be there to help with negotiations and closing.

    The fee? If the seller offered a commission to a buyer’s agent, TurboHome would take $10,000. Anything beyond that, the Jains would keep. If the seller didn’t offer commission, the Jains would pay the fee out of pocket.

    After connecting with TurboHome’s agent, the Jains put in an offer on a five-bedroom, four-bath house in San Ramon listed at $2.75 million. Based on what recent homes had sold for, they bid under asking, at $2.65 million. A traditional agent would have taken $68,750 as a fee, but with TurboHome, the Jains would get a $58,750 credit back — money they could use to up the offer if the sellers countered or put toward a down payment if they won.

    Ultimately, though, the home got two offers over $3 million. The sellers asked if the Jains wanted to increase their offer, but it was more than they were willing to pay.

    Even though they lost the home, the Jains feel good about the experience — Ashwin and Poonam aren’t in a rush, and they knew how much they were willing to spend. TurboHome never put pressure on them to offer more, Ashwin said.

    “Agents always have reasons to put in an offer over asking … to inflate a number and encourage a would-be buyer,” Jain said. “But it’s also in their interest to see the transaction go through.”

  2. Shadash

    Don’t people see through the nonsense?

    A buyers agent giving buyers $$$ back after close is equivalent to a lower offer or just a lower commission for the buyers agent.

    Logically I realize that numbers make sense. Unfortunately buying and selling real estate isn’t logical and agents (generally) aren’t ethical. Everyone says that they are but when cash hits the table things change.

    In Real Estate experience is what makes money. It’s what allows deals to close. It’s what keeps the ethically challenged from going down the wrong path. This is what’s worth paying for. Does it matter that you get 50k back after close but overpaid by 300k when compared to using a regular buyers agent?

    Also, trusting AI to find you a house is silly. Maybe in 20 years it will make sense but people will always find a way to manipulate the system in their favor. AI will always be catching up.

  3. Jim the Realtor

    Maybe in 20 years it will make sense

    Yes everyone will be brain-washed by then and just letting AI have its way with us.

Klinge Realty Group - Compass

Jim Klinge
Klinge Realty Group

Are you looking for an experienced agent to help you buy or sell a home?

Contact Jim the Realtor!

CA DRE #01527365CA DRE #00873197

Pin It on Pinterest