Who’s Left to Buy?

Written by Jim the Realtor

September 26, 2022

Graph from JBREC:

  • Only 36% of current homeowners said they would move if rates were 5%+,
  • Only 15% said they would move if rates were 6% or higher, and
  • ONLY 7% OF CURRENT HOMEOWNERS WOULD MOVE IF RATES WERE 7% OR HIGHER.

If the market of move-up and move-down buyers has seized up like an old Ford, then who is left?  Who are the buyers who will stay in the hunt?

It will be those who don’t own a house here and are hoping to find a cooperative seller:

  • 1031 exchangers
  • Parents buying with/for kids.
  • Out-of-towners
  • First timers

The buyer pool is probably shrinking daily – great news for those who have the guts to keep looking!

5 Comments

  1. Jim the Realtor

    And of the 7% who would buy, almost half of them have a higher rate, so it’s still a benefit to buy now.

  2. Jim the Realtor

    I’ll also assert that these move-up/move-down homeowners already surrendered in June that their hunt was over when we got into the high-5%s. Existing homeowners who have a 6% rate or higher couldn’t qualify for a refinance, so they weren’t moving anyway.

    The buyer pool has been the same for almost four months now.

  3. Joe

    All the sellers in the non-coastal areas cashing out their equity, looking to buy their last home in coastal SD county (Floridians tired of the hurricanes, New Englanders tired of the cold winters and humid summers) . All the first-time buyers, families, etc. who want the beach life and good schools and have money from stock gains, crypto, inheritance, etc. Plenty of potential buyers out there. Now granted, most will not be in the >$2M market, but there are SFHs in the $1M-2M range in north coastal SD county.

  4. Rob_Dawg

    Higher rates are particularly gauling when paired with SALT caps.

  5. Jim the Realtor

    Higher rates are particularly gauling when paired with SALT caps.

    But when your Fed chief says he intends to ‘reset’ the housing market, he makes it sound like it’s a good idea.

    You’ve probably noticed that they never say Thank You either, for all the extra taxes they are hauling in on profits over the $500,000 exemption. These are elderly mom-and-pop homesellers, not billionaires or mega-corporations, who are either stripped of real money (hundreds of thousands of dollars) – or are stuck in their homes because they refuse to sell and pay the capital-gains taxes.

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