Inventory Watch – Here We Go!

January 6, 2014

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For those who vacationed the last week or two, welcome back! You’ve landed on the inventory page, and the topic that will probably determine our fate.

The ‘market’ tends to ebb and flow with the amount of inventory, and for buyers on the lower-end it has been a real struggle over the last couple of years. On the other hand, if you are a buyer in the Over-$2,400,000 category, you have a leisurely 11-month supply of homes to consider, and it would probably take you that long to see them all!

North SD County’s Coastal Region (La Jolla-to-Carlsbad)

The UNDER-$800,000 Market:

Date	NSDCC Active Listings	Avg. LP/sf	DOM	Avg SF
November 25	95	$376/sf	47	1,988sf
December 2	79	$371/sf	50	2,047sf
December 9	72	$383/sf	43	1,954sf
December 16	81	$378/sf	42	1,948sf
December 23	77	$374/sf	49	1,937sf
December 30	76	$373/sf	51	1,950sf
January 6	74	$370/sf	49	1,995sf
Diff since 11/25: -22%

The $800,000 – $1,400,000 Market:

Date	NSDCC Active Listings	Avg. LP/sf	DOM	Avg SF
November 25	245	$448/sf	61	2,856sf
December 2	239	$448/sf	64	2,851sf
December 9	226	$461/sf	65	2,812sf
December 16	211	$464/sf	66	2,794sf
December 23	197	$453/sf	73	2,813sf
December 30	173	$450/sf	78	2,821sf
January 6	170	$470/sf	65	2,757sf
Diff since 11/25: -31%

The $1,400,000 – $2,400,000 Market:

Date	NSDCC Active Listings	Avg. LP/sf	DOM	Avg SF
November 25	227	$580/sf	81	3,692sf
December 2	222	$588/sf	85	3,653sf
December 9	219	$586/sf	87	3,636sf
December 16	211	$593/sf	88	3,627sf
December 23	196	$601/sf	94	3,581sf
December 30	190	$597/sf	100	3,591sf
January 6	175	$595/sf	97	3,594sf
Diff since 11/25: -23%

The OVER-$2,400,000 Market:

Date	NSDCC Active Listings	Avg. LP/sf	DOM	Avg SF
November 25	340	$1,040/sf	159	6,347sf
December 2	330	$1,049/sf	160	6,342sf
December 9	318	$1,057/sf	163	6,392sf
December 16	317	$1,049/sf	163	6,420sf
December 23	302	$1,063/sf	169	6,405sf
December 30	285	$1,074/sf	174	6,460sf
January 6	285	$1,073/sf	171	6,477sf
Diff since 11/25: -16%

The lower-end has stayed hot through the holidays. Of the 25 new pendings this week, 16 were priced under $1,000,000:

Weekly NSDCC New Listings and New Pendings

Week	New Listings	New Pendings
May 30	70	84
June 5	87	64
June 11	77	69
June 17	73	66
June 24	100	69
July 1	86	64
July 8	81	53
July 15	106	54
July 22	105	89
July 29	71	74
Aug 5	105	64
Aug 12	77	61
Aug 19	88	73
Aug 26	87	77
Sep 2	76	55
Sep 9	85	58
Sep 16	102	61
Sep 23	84	54
Sep 30	73	80
Oct 7	80	61
Oct 14	78	53
Oct 21	70	63
Oct 28	54	40
Nov 4	63	53
Nov 11	49	64
Nov 18	52	44
Nov 25	48	40
Dec 2	25	34
Dec 9	45	47
Dec 16	56	46
Dec 23	21	39
Dec 30	14	23
Jan 6	63	25