Will The Reluctants Feel Safe Now?

Written by Jim the Realtor

August 29, 2012

Because the media only takes a cursory swipe at real estate data, are stories like this one enough to get buyers and sellers in the market?  I said yesterday that I didn’t think the buyers would change course – but those are my buyers! 😆

Will the more-casual participant who only glances at a couple of paragraphs jump in now?

From scpr.com:

We’ve gotten two positive housing data sets in the past two days. First, the Case-Shiller index for June is indicating that the U.S. housing market has formed a bottom. Today, the National Association of Realtors released July pending home sales — those are homes that have been contracted for sale but not yet sold — and the improvement over 2011 is notable.

This is from the NAR:

“[T]he index is at the highest level since April 2010, which was shortly before the closing deadline for the home buyer tax credit. “While the month-to-month movement has been uneven, more importantly we now have 15 consecutive months of year-over-year gains in contract activity,” said [Chief Economist Lawrence Yun].

Bear in mind that Case-Shiller is, to an extent, designed to counteract any excessive frothiness that might percolate in the U.S. housing market due to forward-looking indicators such as pending home sales. Case-Shiller focuses on prices and lags the market by a few months because in the 20 cities the index tracks only homes that have been sold are counted.

But the pending-sales data for July shouldn’t be overlooked. It shows that, compared with last year, in the middle of the summer selling season, there is increasing demand for homes. That demand, if it sustains itself, will support the housing bottom that Case-Shiller is pointing to and — at long last — set the stage for home prices to climb back from where they are currently: depressed to 2003 levels.

2 Comments

  1. Jakob

    I agree that the fear of declines has subsided. One thing that caused the mini double dip, was that the tax credit pulled in a lot of demand, causing a hangover that we’re finally burned through. I’m around young academics here at UCSD who are almost all excited about buying a house. Most people don’t obsess over data like us, they just wanna live their lives. And for most here that includes the cookie cutter mcmansion in a good school district.

Klinge Realty Group - Compass

Jim Klinge
Klinge Realty Group

Are you looking for an experienced agent to help you buy or sell a home?

Contact Jim the Realtor!

CA DRE #01527365CA DRE #00873197

Pin It on Pinterest