Bill McBride Tonight 8pm

Written by Jim the Realtor

January 10, 2012

We’re getting ready for the first blog talk radio event of the year, with special guest Bill McBride!

The show went great – thanks for participating! Here is a link to the 2-hour show.

19 Comments

  1. G

    Unless I am wrong, and I’m never wrong, I believe that this is at 8PM PST.

  2. lawyerliz

    This witty commentator sez thanks on behalf of all the witty commentators.

    And CR is the best!

  3. Tom Stone

    I wonder how close Bill’s voice will be to the “Voice” I have heard while reading his posts over the years.

  4. Hamster

    Thanks for hosting this event.

    I once asked Bill why he doesn’t track and analyze the federal deficit and national debt among his numerous economic graphs. His response was that he intends to get to it some day. You might ask him when he foresees doing so.

  5. Cool

    25 guests waiting already, lots of anticipation out there!

    Best of luck to both of you, “bro”. 😉

  6. Rob Dawg

    Hey! Where’s the shrimp? 😉

  7. Cool

    There’s a question in the chat box on BTR.

    JimBoston: CR, given the Case Shiller data regarding past home price growth, how far in the
    future might it be forhome prices to return to pre-crash levels?

  8. Rob Dawg

    The big head fake is that income real estate was ever a liquid investment. Easy in and out drew a lot of money that never should have gone into the sector.

  9. Cool

    Another question in the chat window on BTR.

    RobLJ: WSJ and main stream media are opining about housing at a bottom and time to buy
    builders. Comments, Bill? Until lending gets worked out, I don’t see home builders as a buy,
    personally.

  10. Rob Dawg

    Just finished a road trip. VenCo to SF to Davis mostly on the 101. Compared to the 2000s dead dead dead.

  11. tj & the bear

    Jim,

    Already mentioned that Tom Tarrant should be a guest. Well, let’s add clearfund to the list.

  12. Rob Dawg

    Recommend DQNews.

  13. Cool

    Casey Serin’s parents got their foreclosure postponed for more than a year by filing frivolous and multiple bankruptcy petitions. They actually got the first one approved and never made a single payment on it. I think it took ~six months to get that one dismissed.

  14. Cool

    another chatbox question.

    dn: Jim, how effective are open houses? I suspect that they aren’t really that good for sellers.

  15. SD_suntaxed

    Really enjoyed the broadcast. I hope you’re planning more.

  16. Cool

    That was very cool, thanks to all who participated!

  17. hangemhi

    @Hamster – re: national debt/deficit. Per “functional finance” the US national debt is the sum total of all US dollars in the private sector.

    The government spends dollars into the economy, and whatever it doesn’t tax back out is called a “deficit” and each deficit is added onto the ever growing “debt”. If you look at it that way (and that is really the only way to look at it) you will see that if there is no US Gov “debt”, that there is also no money in the US economy.

    As a country our two political parties are fighting over how to reduce the “debt” – which you can now see means they are fighting over how to take money out of the private sector. Insane once you think about it.

    We have economists of all flavors (keynesians, austrians and monetarists) who equate US Federal “debt” with household debt…. seemingly failing to realize that because the US has a printing press it does not truly borrow to spend. Congress simply spends, and thru the machinations of the Fed and Treasury, it is CALLED “debt”. But is not at all like the debt I take out on a credit card, student loan, or mortgage BECAUSE I don’t have a printing press.

    So I cringe whenever I see a graph combining private sector debt with government debt. As real estate people, we know which kind of “debt” caused the housing bubble and collapse. Yet somehow both political parties, the media, and the 3 mainstream schools of economic thought have us all focused on the imaginary “debt” of the US Federal government.

    Reagan deficit spent his way out of the 1980’s recession. Now the GOP thinks deficits are horrible. We are one f-ed up nation to allow this lie, or myth, to perpetuate.

    The Federal “debt” never, ever, needs to be repaid. Oh sure, China could ask for their US dollars back – but what do they do with them? They have a Yuan printing press. And the only reason why they “buy our debt” is because they have a trade surplus with us. So they can raise the value of the Yuan and we’ll stop buying their crap, and our “debt” to them will go down. Guess what, they don’t want that.

    Grandma can demand her Bonds be paid back – but she wants a guaranteed investment that pays income, so she doesn’t ask for it back either. Should anyone want their bonds paid off – a few keyboard strokes by the Fed, and viola, here you go. But the “debt” rolls over continuously because China and grandma and pension funds have cash to deposit, and where else are they going to deposit it? Plus…. per the “functional finance” definition – those US dollars came from the US gov. Sure, you did work to earn and then save – but there would be no US dollars to save if there was no US federal “debt”.

    I can hear the “but printing is inflationary” arguments already. But that still doesn’t mean that “debt” is the right word for how our government spends. It is NOT debt. It simply “spending” or adding dollars to the economy, and it adds to the dollars in circulation, which adds to the savings rate. If they taxed it all out to extinquish the debt, then there would be no money in the economy.

  18. Tom Stone

    Jim and Bill blindsided me. I was relaxing and following CR’s blog ahen they called me out. Thanks,I think. Do open houses sell homes? YES! Feet on the floors sell homes and very few agents are going to waste gas showing unqualified buyers around. I am assuming the home is priced correctly, or close to it. Here, we have a broker’s tour on wednsday, Have it open for brokers wednsday, raffle off a bottle of good wine with the ticket beingan estimate of the right price written on a business card. If the asking price seems off, ask the seller to reduce it. Hold open houses that friday,saturday,sunday and monday. You will have solid offers by wednsday if the price is right.

  19. Jakob

    That was awesome. To add to the comments about demographics, population isn’t flat either. SD County is growing at 3% a year, so eventually either the population needs to level off (unlikely), or we need to get a lot more housing constructed.

Jim Klinge

Klinge Realty Group
Broker-Associate, Compass
Jim Klinge

Are you looking for an experienced agent to help you buy or sell a home?

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CA DRE #01527365, CA DRE #00873197

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