We have a winner of the contest to guess the number of detached sales in 2Q09:
This morning’s number is 5,886 – Genius, congratulations, you won the tickets for six box seats at the track!
Here were the guesses:
Guess Guesser
4,850 T
5,250 tj and the bear
5,323 Al in IC
5,325 Kingside
5,358 Kirk
5,406 Phil
5,451 Del Sur Renter
5,500 carmelgirl
5,512 3clicks from da beach
5,553 JAP
5,577 justme
5,578 whatif
5,580 mtb
5,675 Wes
5,678 Kwaping
5,681 The Wood
5,742 Neil Diamond
5,767 Stephen Waits
5,800 propertysearch
5,840 Happs
5,846 mybleachhouse
5,900 Genius
5,950 Erica
5,955 Strider
5,983 CA renter
5,991 osidebuyer
6,000 doughboy
6,001 AlexSD
6,021 bobfather99
6,021 Jaclyn
6,037 KO
6,090 Poorhouse
6,116 IRE
6,127 Nathan
6,200 JG
6,250 KlangOside
6,351 m
6,375 Sol
6,378 Scooter
6,400 Myriad
6,551 Casasolana
6,560 The Blur
6,565 Bryce
6,601 UCgal
6,625 REB
6,700 OCVulture
6,720 Local Boy
6,848 FuturesWatcher
6,856 pigpen
6,942 FirstTimeRenter
7,001 greenlander
7,017 Mike C
7,050 shoppingaround
7,179 mab
Year # of Sales $$/sf
2000 6,620 $174.86
2001 6,358 $196.19
2002 7,358 $221.47
2003 7,371 $254.73
2004 7,960 $377.54
2005 7,724 $361.65
2006 5,767 $368.96
2007 4,899 $357.88
2008 5,020 $278.15
2009 5,886 $223.01
The $223.01 represents a 41% decline since 2Q04.
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We also had the contest to guess the eventual sales price of the REO that listed for $314,900 on Dixon in Oceanside. It sold for $351,000 – Congratulations Myriad, you have four tickets to a Padres game coming your way!
Guess Guesser
$344,800 Rob Dawg
$345,000 doughboy
$346,000 Atenbrown
$346,800 FreedomCM
$347,000 sd nerd
$349,000 Don Q
$349,500 Myriad
$355,000 Mojo
$362,000 Stephen Waits
$415,000 newbie
My SWAG — way off on the low side — was based upon a simple extension of the sales rate at the time the contest was announced. Either I calculated entirely wrong (which is a distinct possibility) or things really ramped up later in the quarter.
Jim, do they break the numbers down week-to-week within the quarter?
Congrats Genius, when are we going? 🙂
Bahhhh – 300 units off. The power of the knife-catchers is strong. Though according to Jim’s recent posts, I should be jumping for joy. Interesting to see what Spring ’10 has in store for us.
Aw, SO close! Congrats Genius 🙂
Good news is we can put that 10% late reporters rule to bed. Looks like agents are doing a better job reporting closed sales.
Congratulations, Genius! 🙂
Woohoo! Thanks all. I’m actually busy packing to move down there, hopefully by the end of next week, so this is rather cool timing.
Congrats Genius, only off by 14.
Looks like my WAG somehow worked…
Thanks for running the contest Jim. How does this work? Do I get to choose a certain day?
How long did that take to close escrow anyways? Is that typical of REOs?