The active inventory is increasing!
We’ve been hoping to identify the perfect amount of additional homes for sale that would create more sales without scaring buyers back to the sidelines with shock and awe. I have guessed that the demand would digest a 10% to 15% increase, and maybe 20% without much difficulty. Now the number of active listings are 34% above last year, and the pendings have been flat for the last couple of weeks.
Likely outcomes:
- Buyers wait longer, hoping it will be better/different later.
- Sales slow.
- The prime selling season ends sooner than expected.
Thankfully, the sellers aren’t going to give them away so it will feel like a standoff. Only the buyers and sellers with high motivations will dare to transact when the temptation to wait longer is getting stronger.
If it gets better/different later, it won’t be by much. There might be fewer homes selling over list, and more deals for the buyers who can dig them out.
But that’s it.
The $0 – $1,500,000 Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
15 |
$724/sf |
49 |
23 |
| Jan 8 |
13 |
$645/sf |
58 |
19 |
| Jan 15 |
10 |
$664/sf |
55 |
15 |
| Jan 22 |
15 |
$750/sf |
36 |
15 |
| Jan 29 |
12 |
$834/sf |
36 |
21 |
| Feb 5 |
12 |
$784/sf |
38 |
23 |
| Feb 12 |
10 |
$818/sf |
30 |
22 |
| Feb 19 |
12 |
$731/sf |
17 |
21 |
| Feb 26 |
7 |
$725/sf |
26 |
21 |
| Mar 4 |
9 |
$763/sf |
23 |
21 |
| Mar 11 |
15 |
$742/sf |
14 |
17 |
| Mar 18 |
15 |
$697/sf |
16 |
21 |
The $1,500,000 – $2,000,000 Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
20 |
$866/sf |
66 |
28 |
| Jan 8 |
23 |
$890/sf |
63 |
23 |
| Jan 15 |
32 |
$876/sf |
47 |
35 |
| Jan 22 |
35 |
$823/sf |
43 |
25 |
| Jan 29 |
38 |
$833/sf |
43 |
26 |
| Feb 5 |
39 |
$810/sf |
34 |
28 |
| Feb 12 |
32 |
$781/sf |
39 |
34 |
| Feb 19 |
33 |
$797/sf |
36 |
29 |
| Feb 26 |
33 |
$840/sf |
36 |
31 |
| Mar 4 |
39 |
$827/sf |
32 |
31 |
| Mar 11 |
30 |
$857/sf |
43 |
37 |
| Mar 18 |
34 |
$847/sf |
36 |
37 |
The $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
54 |
$1,046/sf |
65 |
34 |
| Jan 8 |
59 |
$1,034/sf |
57 |
30 |
| Jan 15 |
69 |
$1,094/sf |
44 |
35 |
| Jan 22 |
60 |
$1,108/sf |
42 |
45 |
| Jan 29 |
65 |
$1,126/sf |
41 |
48 |
| Feb 5 |
68 |
$1,120/sf |
31 |
50 |
| Feb 12 |
60 |
$1,123/sf |
34 |
56 |
| Feb 19 |
71 |
$1,130/sf |
29 |
56 |
| Feb 26 |
64 |
$1,138/sf |
30 |
61 |
| Mar 4 |
62 |
$1,202/sf |
33 |
55 |
| Mar 11 |
61 |
$1,211/sf |
29 |
62 |
| Mar 18 |
72 |
$1,143/sf |
32 |
53 |
The $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
33 |
$1,216/sf |
92 |
15 |
| Jan 8 |
37 |
$1,248/sf |
83 |
15 |
| Jan 15 |
42 |
$1,236/sf |
77 |
18 |
| Jan 22 |
43 |
$1,283/sf |
77 |
17 |
| Jan 29 |
42 |
$1,242/sf |
75 |
20 |
| Feb 5 |
36 |
$1,363/sf |
73 |
25 |
| Feb 12 |
40 |
$1,252/sf |
34 |
18 |
| Feb 19 |
47 |
$1,515/sf |
45 |
17 |
| Feb 26 |
50 |
$1,512/sf |
42 |
16 |
| Mar 4 |
50 |
$1,588/sf |
44 |
19 |
| Mar 11 |
50 |
$1,594/sf |
44 |
23 |
| Mar 18 |
60 |
$1,537/sf |
38 |
22 |
The $4,000,000+ Market:
| Date |
NSDCC Active Listings |
Avg. LP/sf |
Avg. DOM |
# of Pendings |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
139 |
$1,858/sf |
116 |
20 |
| Jan 8 |
151 |
$1,896/sf |
109 |
18 |
| Jan 15 |
157 |
$1,879/sf |
106 |
22 |
| Jan 22 |
159 |
$1,824/sf |
104 |
27 |
| Jan 29 |
162 |
$1,758/sf |
108 |
31 |
| Feb 5 |
162 |
$1,718/sf |
108 |
30 |
| Feb 12 |
154 |
$1,705/sf |
107 |
34 |
| Feb 19 |
168 |
$1,685/sf |
107 |
24 |
| Feb 26 |
175 |
$1,691/sf |
105 |
26 |
| Mar 4 |
166 |
$1,692/sf |
97 |
36 |
| Mar 11 |
178 |
$1,663/sf |
90 |
37 |
| Mar 18 |
179 |
$1,691/sf |
90 |
29 |
NSDCC Weekly New Listings and New Pendings
| Week |
New Listings |
New Pendings |
Total Actives |
Total Pendings |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
18 |
10 |
255 |
113 |
| Jan 8 |
43 |
12 |
278 |
100 |
| Jan 15 |
52 |
20 |
305 |
102 |
| Jan 22 |
50 |
29 |
308 |
122 |
| Jan 29 |
44 |
32 |
314 |
140 |
| Feb 5 |
44 |
33 |
312 |
149 |
| Feb 12 |
37 |
34 |
292 |
159 |
| Feb 19 |
53 |
24 |
326 |
143 |
| Feb 26 |
45 |
37 |
324 |
151 |
| Mar 4 |
52 |
45 |
332 |
166 |
| Mar 11 |
53 |
26 |
331 |
165 |
| Mar 18 |
62 |
32 |
355 |
159 |
NSDCC List Price Quartiles
| Week |
1st Quartile |
Median List Price |
3rd Quartile |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
$2,549,888 |
$4,444,000 |
$8,350,000 |
| Jan 8 |
$2,572,444 |
$4,447,000 |
$8,097,500 |
| Jan 15 |
$2,499,000 |
$4,200,000 |
$7,950,000 |
| Jan 22 |
$2,429,000 |
$4,250,000 |
$7,450,000 |
| Jan 29 |
$2,399,000 |
$4,225,000 |
$7,495,000 |
| Feb 5 |
$2,398,000 |
$4,272,500 |
$7,495,000 |
| Feb 12 |
$2,499,800 |
$4,297,500 |
$7,495,000 |
| Feb 19 |
$2,499,400 |
$4,200,000 |
$6,972,500 |
| Feb 26 |
$2,649,400 |
$4,350,000 |
$7,300,000 |
| Mar 4 |
$2,525,000 |
$4,225,000 |
$7,149,500 |
| Mar 11 |
$2,649,000 |
$4,295,000 |
$7,495,000 |
| Mar 18 |
$2,500,000 |
$4,000,000 |
$6,750,000 |
Jim is a long-time local realtor who comments daily here on his blog, bubbleinfo.com which began in September, 2005. Stick around!
